The year is 2030. It’s Friday, May 10th, and Bitcoin is trading at $746K. This comes after a brutal five-month drawdown since it topped at $1,047,255 in December 2029. Skeptics on X are calling for $500K, and the WSJ just ran a piece on Michael Saylor titled “Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin Bet Just Lost $500 Billion. He’s Still Buying.”
Over in Japan,
#Metaplanet’s share price corrected to 1.3x EV mNAV, and their market cap is trading 5% below the value of their Bitcoin holdings. Last month they closed with a stack of 451,200 BTC, worth $336.5B — 2.15% of every coin that will ever exist. Management expects to cross 500K BTC by the end of the year.
On the macro front, the yen had depreciated to ¥220 per dollar by late 2028, on the back of Takaichi winning her second LDP presidency that October — Abenomics 2.0, but this time with conviction and a mandate. The BOJ trilemma (pick two: stability, yield, or currency) resolved through the currency, which is the path her government had been walking deliberately since she came in.
For years now, Metaplanet has been running the largest and most sophisticated Bitcoin options desk in the world, monetizing volatility through their BIG business line. In FY2029, BIG brought in ¥1.3 trillion ($5.7 billion) in premiums, a ~1.7% return on their total Bitcoin holdings.
Project Nova — rebranded as Metaplanet Financial Services in 2027 ahead of the Bitcoin ETF launches — pulled in ¥420 billion ($1.9B at ¥220/USD) in recurring revenue in FY2029. Metaplanet stopped being a treasury company somewhere around 2028 and transformed into a financial conglomerate with the treasury at its core.
All that recurring income exists for one reason: to service the preferred stock book.
The math is simple. At a blended dividend rate ~5%, every $1 of recurring income covers dividends on $20 of preferred issuance. Income leverages 20x into preferred capacity, which is then used to buy more Bitcoin.
MARS, the Class A senior preferred Metaplanet announced in late 2025, was designed straight off Strategy’s
$STRC playbook. Adjustable monthly dividend with no conversion/dilution to common. Built specifically for Japanese institutional capital that needed a yen-alternative short duration product, which the BOJ kept making more pressing every year.
MARS listed on the TSE late 2026 and has since scaled to ¥10 trillion ($45B) outstanding. MERCURY, the junior Class B convertible, converted into common in late 2027 during the post-halving rally — the instrument retired itself, exactly as designed.
Since then, Metaplanet has further built out the Bitcoin yield curve in Japan, launching JUPITER and SATURN with combined total assets of ¥4T ($18B). The company’s amplification ratio sits at 35% following the Bitcoin price drawdown, up from 25% at the cycle peak.
With operating income running at a ~70% margin, in FY2029 Metaplanet brought in ¥1.2T ($5.4B), covering preferred dividends at about 1.7x.
One structural decision in 2027 made all of this possible at scale. Metaplanet’s TSE listing graduated from Standard to Prime that fall, and TOPIX index inclusion followed shortly after.
Suddenly Metaplanet sat in every passive index fund tracking Japanese equities. And today, around 1.5 million Japanese retail shareholders hold the stock, up from 220,000 in 2026. Nippon Life, Dai-ichi Life, and Tokio Marine all anchor the MARS preferred book.
Meanwhile on X,
@gerovich posted “Morning Planet!” at 6:47am Tokyo time. And
@DylanLeClair retweeted a daily Bitcoin chart with the caption: still bullish.
Financial stats:
•Market cap: ~$320 billion (¥70T at ¥220/USD)
•FD share count: ~3.0 billion
•Sats per diluted share: ~15,000
•Metaplanet share price: $125 (¥27,500)
$MPJPY $MTPLF