Jun 13
📈 BCA’s #ChartoftheWeek!
After correctly predicting Argentina in 2022, our "Most Important Of All Unimportant Forecasts" now points to France as the most likely 2026 FIFA World Cup winner.
Few sporting events are as macro as the World Cup. Its four-year cycle, limited historical sample, and newly assembled teams create a high-variance setting that rewards BCA’s top-down, multidisciplinary approach.
We wish everyone a great World Cup!
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May CPI: 4.2% YoY, the hottest print in three years. Yet core goods fell 0.1%. Gas is up 40.5% and retailers still can't pass it through. The real risk isn't inflation but an income squeeze. #chartoftheweek
ALT Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index, May 2026. Values shown reflect changes in the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Index for defined baskets of goods and or services. Gas Prices incudes all types of gasoline prices. Core Goods Prices include the aggregated commodities less food and energy commodities prices, seasonally adjusted monthly percent changes. This chart is for illustrative purposes only. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance does not guarantee future performance. The information and opinions contained herein are for informational purposes only, do not purport to be full or complete, do not constitute investment advice and may not be relied on. For more information, please see vsqm.com/disclaimer.
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Jun 12
Chart of the Week - India’s Current Account beats expectations on strong services and remittances.
#ChartOfTheWeek #CurrentAccount #IndiaEconomy #ServicesSector #Remittances #TradeDeficit #InvescoMutualFund #InvescoIndia
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📊 Chart of the Week: AI investment is moving into the physical world
The AI trade is expanding beyond semiconductors.
Japan machine tool foreign orders rose 37.7% in May 2026, pointing to growing investment in the equipment and infrastructure needed for the next phase of AI deployment. Meanwhile, the semiconductor index has surged 170% YoY, continuing its recovery from the 2022–23 trough.
This suggests the AI investment cycle is broadening from compute to the physical economy.
The first wave built the digital infrastructure. The next wave is building the real-world infrastructure needed to deploy it.
🔗pfc.ltd/?MTA2MDg
#AI #Investing #Manufacturing #Automation #Semiconductors #Infrastructure #CapitalExpenditure #ChartOfTheWeek #Montanaro
This material is for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Capital at risk.
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Jun 10
So what did CM Punk (allegedly) do this time? The internet is awash with rumours and we look at some of the more likely options in this week's #WWE #ChartOfTheWeek!
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Jun 9
Steady hiring and reduced layoffs signal a resilient U.S. labor market supporting ongoing economic growth. #chartoftheweek bny.com/wealth/global/en/ins…
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Jun 8
You'd expect Amazon revenue for eCom owners to be breaking records per this chart.
But the opposite is true.
AMZ as a % of total revenue has fallen to 2017 levels, with Amazon making up about ~20% of DTC revenue per our trends report.
More brands are selling there, but making meaningfully less $ than before.
#chartoftheweek
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Chart of the Week - India’s fiscal discipline holds steady as deficit quality improves.
#ChartOfTheWeek #FiscalDiscipline #FiscalHealth #MacroAnalysis #InvescoMutualFund #InvescoIndia
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May 30
📈 BCA’s #ChartoftheWeek!
Markets become vulnerable when the wisdom of crowds gives way to the madness of crowds. @DhavalVJoshi notes:
📊 Efficient markets turn information into accurate prices
⚠️ When crowd behavior breaks down, markets become inefficient and vulnerable
🧠 A loss of complexity can signal that shift in real time
That breakdown creates recurring opportunities for active managers.
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May 25
Remote teams are killing it in eCom.
Faster growth, fatter margins, smaller overhead and team size.
And TWICE the rev/employee? Yes please.
#chartoftheweek
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May 23
📈 BCA’s #ChartoftheWeek!
Strong and broad Q1 earnings are keeping the investment-led cyclical story intact. @WeisbergerNoah notes:
📊 S&P 500 companies are beating estimates at a well-above-average pace
📈 Positive surprises span all sectors
💵 Large-cap margins hit a record 13.9%
Capex expectations are still rising. Geopolitical and credit risks are building, but they are not yet cycle-defining.
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May 18
Being small is hard. 4x harder.
Small business were 4x more likely to report last year as their hardest ever (controlled for business age).
Lesson for small biz? Keep going, build the reps. The moat is forming.
#chartoftheweek
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May 16
📈 BCA’s #ChartoftheWeek!
The Hormuz crisis is likely to disrupt urea markets because supply cannot adjust quickly. GeoMacro analyst Jose Yanes notes:
1. Natural gas alone isn’t enough, urea also needs ammonia capacity
2. Most production is concentrated in low-cost gas producers like the Middle East and Russia
3. New plants take years and billions to build
Some new capacity is coming, but not enough to offset war-related losses.
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May 12
Despite numerous shocks, global equities have remained resilient and are up 11% annualized since 2020. Will the trend continue? #chartoftheweek bny.com/wealth/global/en/ins…
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May 9
📈 BCA’s #ChartoftheWeek!
The K-shaped economy now extends to business investment. @DougPeta notes:
💻 Demand for information processing equipment is growing even faster than in 1999...
📉 ...yet demand for everything else has only kept pace with inflation for 12 years
📊 The K-shaped same divide now shows up in investment, profits, and equity performance
The durability of the tech capex boom will determine when investors should rotate away from the tech-dominated US, and Korea and Taiwan in EM.
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Chart of the Week - US led demand fuels India’s Q3 export momentum across core manufacturing sectors.
#ChartOfTheWeek #IndiaExports #ExportGrowth #USDemand #GlobalTrade #MarketInsights #SectoralGrowth #InvescoMutualFund #InvescoIndia
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May 6
Not only are earnings expectations on the rise right now, but earnings strength is also broadening across industries. #chartoftheweek bny.com/wealth/global/en/ins…
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May 2
📈 BCA’s #ChartoftheWeek!
The dollar is not losing its role, but it is losing its exclusivity. @SavaryMathieu notes:
💵 No single currency can replace the USD
🧩 Reserve managers can now source its functions across multiple assets
📊 That means lower dollar concentration at the margin
The result is a structural bid for reserve assets that replicate what the dollar no longer monopolizes.
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Apr 30
It's Day 2 at Amazon.
More owners than ever, 63%, are selling on AMZ.
Yet AMZ market share of U.S. store revenue has declined to 2017-era levels.
High fees. Brutal competition. Lack of customer ownership.
More brands selling lower revenue than ever?
It's Day 2 at Amazon. H/T to to @philwinkle for the catchy Amazon lede.
#chartoftheweek
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