📊 Astra Microwave Products Ltd | Broker Report | 𝘉𝘜𝘠 𝘊𝘢𝘭𝘭 🟢
🏢 𝘉𝘶𝘺 𝘈𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘢 𝘔𝘪𝘤𝘳𝘰𝘸𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘗𝘳𝘰𝘥𝘶𝘤𝘵𝘴; 𝘵𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘦𝘵 𝘰𝘧 𝘙𝘴 1580: 𝘔𝘰𝘵𝘪𝘭𝘢𝘭 𝘖𝘴𝘸𝘢𝘭
📈 𝘙𝘦𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘥𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: BUY
🏛️ 𝘉𝘳𝘰𝘬𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘨𝘦: Motilal Oswal
Astra Microwave Products' FY26 results exceeded expectations, driven by robust margin resilience and profitability beats. The company reported a 29% YoY increase in FY26 order inflows, reaching ₹16.6 billion. Notably, export inflows showed strong momentum in 4QFY26, propelled by higher-value RF systems and Software-Defined Radio (SDR) opportunities. 🚀
𝗞𝗲𝘆 𝗚𝗿𝗼𝘄𝘁𝗵 𝗗𝗿𝗶𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀:
Looking ahead, Astra Microwave Products anticipates significant growth from projects like Uttam radar, QRSAM, Su-30 upgrades, Electronic Warfare (EW) systems, weather radars, and strategic space programs. The company's strategic focus remains on developing IP-led and proprietary defense solutions for both domestic and global markets. 🛰️
𝗙𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗛𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝘀 & 𝗢𝘂𝘁𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸:
Motilal Oswal has revised its FY27/FY28 earnings estimates upwards by 7% and 15% respectively, factoring in improved margins and higher other income. They anticipate execution ramp-up beyond FY27 as large-ticket orders are finalized. The brokerage reiterates its 'BUY' rating with a raised target price (TP) of ₹1,580 (up from ₹1,150), representing a 13% upside.
𝗙𝗬26 𝗣𝗲𝗿𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲:
- Revenue grew 20% YoY to ₹4.8 billion, exceeding estimates by 7%.
- Gross margin expanded 420 basis points YoY to 50.3%.
- EBITDA surged 36% YoY to ₹1.6 billion, beating estimates by 39% with a margin expansion of 400 basis points to 33.3%.
- Adjusted PAT increased 44% YoY to ₹1.1 billion, driven by better margins, other income, and lower interest costs.
- Consolidated FY26 revenue, EBITDA, and PAT grew 11%, 24%, and 26% YoY respectively, with EBITDA margin expanding 310 basis points to 28.7%.
- Order book stood at ₹26.1 billion.
- Operating Cash Flow (OCF) and Free Cash Flow (FCF) were ₹4 billion and ₹3 billion respectively in FY26.
𝗦𝗲𝗴𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗹 𝗣𝗲𝗿𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲:
- 𝗗𝗲𝗳𝗲𝗻𝘀𝗲: Revenue remained flat YoY, while inflows increased 4% YoY. The segment continues to scale across radar, EW, missile, and strategic electronics programs. 🛡️
- 𝗠𝗲𝘁𝗲𝗼𝗿𝗼𝗹𝗼𝗴𝘆: Revenue grew 40% YoY, with inflows up 43% YoY, driven by weather radar projects and expansion into specialized applications.
- 𝗦𝗽𝗮𝗰𝗲: Revenue increased 90% YoY, driven by participation in strategic satellite and ISRO-linked programs. 🌌
- 𝗘𝘅𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁𝘀: Revenue grew 48% YoY, with a sharp ramp-up in 4QFY26. The business is transitioning towards co-developed and proprietary solutions, enhancing margins and value addition. 🌍
𝗝𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁 𝗩𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 (𝗝𝗩) 𝗣𝗲𝗿𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲:
Astra Rafael Comsys (ARC) secured ~₹5.5 billion in fresh orders, ending FY26 with an order book of ~₹6.3 billion. The JV targets revenues over ₹6 billion in FY27 with an expected EBITDA margin improvement to ~18-20%.
𝗚𝘂𝗶𝗱𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲:
For FY27, the company targets revenue of ₹13-14 billion (~15-20% YoY growth). Over the medium term, it aims to nearly triple revenue by FY30-31, supported by large strategic programs and improving operating leverage. Capex is expected to be manageable at ~₹400-500 million annually. 📈
𝗗𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗿𝗴𝗲𝗿 𝗣𝗹𝗮𝗻:
Astra Microwave Products is proposing to demerge its Space and Metrology businesses to enhance strategic focus, operational efficiency, and corporate governance across segments.
𝗩𝗮𝗹𝘂𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻:
The stock is trading at ~40.5x FY28E EPS. The 'BUY' rating and revised TP of ₹1,580 reflect the improved order visibility and strong growth prospects.
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