DOCKET FOR JUNE 9TH 2026 - WE ARE GONNA FUCKING COOK TODAY!!
as always, ranked in order of preference and odds are based on the limited (I know I'm working on expanding) sportsbooks I use but please find your bets on whatever books you choose:
This Docket will be a bit different. I am writing with HRs in mind but also total bases. Odds listed will be FOR home runs but I will be building my selections based off both following
@ulxrare's suggestions that you should look for "Who has the most ways to help me cash?"
DATA PROVIDED BY
@PropFinderApp
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SEA/BAL - 14mph out to left field, absolutely a boost to the bats
Mariners - BAL LHP Trevor Rogers has a serious weakness to RHB and while recent performance is a strong indicator, so is past matchups and Randy Arozarena has Rogers' number. 3-9 against Rogers with 2 of those 3 hits being HR, Arozarena already has a HR this year off a Four-seam FB, Rogers go to throw while also netting a decent barrel and HH rate. My only concern is when Randy swings, he swings hard which can cause him to whiff a lot more than I'd like. I could see him going especially with weather conditions like today. I also like that while Rogers might only pitch 3 innings or so meaning most batters could only get one AB against him, Arozarena has STILL been crushing the Orioles bullpen. The more I write about Randy, the more confident I become in him today. If you want another option as well that I don't feel as married to, Julio Rodriguez is cooling down from a strong series against Arizona, but doesn't jump off the page as much.
Randy Arozarena 471 DK
Julio Rodriguez 410 FAN
Orioles - He might be 0-8 in his career against Logan Gilbert, but Adley Rutschman has green written all over him. Lotta LD from him instead of FB so possibly prioritize bases over home runs. Big Meat Pete is also back on the table. I may have to ban him going forward for personal reasons. He looks great, but never goes when I bet on him so it is what it is. Honorable mentions to Jackson Holliday and Colton Cowser as well.
Adley Rutschman 590 FD
Jackson Holliday 880 FD
Pete Alonso 375 FAN
Colton Cowser 575 FAN
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BOS/TB - Closed dome, no weather conditions
Red Sox - Lotta Red Sox players look good today. Willson Contreras looks decent, not as strong as yesterday but absolutely worth of a run back. Ceddanne Rafaela looks questionable but he has been heating up as of late. This would be where I'd put something down for total bases. Same for Mickey Gasper as well. For a platoon advantage, one name sticks out above the rest and that's Mr. Leadoff himself, Jarren Duran. Duran has a fantastic grip on the meat of RHP Nick Martinez's pitch mix and has hit 6 homers off FSFB from RHP. While Martinez favors the Changeup and Sinker more than a run of the mill fastball, I could see him trying to sneak one past Duran and getting destroyed cause of it.
Willson Contreras 410 FAN
Jarren Duran 598 DK
Ceddanne Rafaela 780 DK
Mickey Gasper 920 DK
Rays - The data still shows Aranda as a clear target but again, I will wait until I see he can hit the ball over the fence again. The name to eye today would be Junior Caminero even though Payton Tolle doesn't give much up to RHB, Caminero is batting an insane .490 WOBA and a BA of almost .400. This guy is hitting it WELL and of the 3 previous ABs against Tolle, he's hit one homer off him already. If a RHB where to finally get Tolle on his fastball for a deep one, it might just be Junior. Yandy Diaz continues to look decent as well, not nearly as good as Junior but I'd be stupid if I didn't mention him. If you want to chase a deep longshot, and I mean DEEP, Ben Williamson could do some damage today. I may take him just for a hit but could be a serious total base target.
Junior Caminero 400 DK
Yandy Diaz 500 FAN
Ben Williamson 1220 DK
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LAD/PIT - 11mph winds slightly in and very humid, might stay away from this one
Dodgers - Against Paul Skenes in not great weather, I'll be mainly avoiding but only focusing on chalk. Freddie Freeman looks decent. Ohtani looks much better. I really like the value on Muncy here. 520 ain't bad at all and he can certainly launch a fastball at the right angle and speed. Rushing finally is heating up as well but just doesn't have the history to shine yet. Total bases plays for this game for me most likely.
Shohei Ohtani 320 FD
Max Muncy 520 FD
Freddie Freeman 590 FD
Dalton Rushing 599 DK
Pirates - On the other hand, LHP Eric Lauer has been getting torched lately and the Pirates have some notable batters looking primed for a good day. Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz are slamming the SHIT out of the ball when making contact but don't have as high of a FB rate as I'd like even though the EV is entirely there. Finally, Marcell Ozuna doesn't have the recent numbers to suggest he will be primed for a great day but holy SHIT does he have Eric Lauers number, 6-11 batting .545 with an ABSURD .818 ISO (a good ISO dances around .200-.250) as he has gone for 3 HRs from the 6 hits he has.
Oneil Cruz 460 FAN
Marcell Ozuna 518 DK
Bryan Reynolds 610 DK
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ARI/MIA - 13mph winds coming in from left, be weary
Diamondbacks - One name shines here for me even, Gabriel Moreno who has enough of a good chance against a fairly mixed pitch mix from RHP Max Meyer as you'd hope. Pavin Smith has only 9 games under his belt this year but has previous experience taking Max Meyer deep so could happen again as he warms back up. Finally, while Meyer still looks much stronger against LHB than RHB, the best looking lefty is Corbin Carroll. Carroll has what it takes on his end to go yard, the question is can Meyer let one slip through?
Gabriel Moreno 920 FD
Corbin Carroll 500 FAN
Pavin Smith 820 FD
Marlins - I'd much more prefer Miami in today's bout. Zac Gallen has been getting dumpstered this year and I think this is one of those weird games where the Marlins somehow score 10 or something. Otto Lopez and Xavier Edwards both look okay but not the clear favorites as their LD/GB rates are much higher than I prefer (could be good total bases targets though). Edwards could possibly get a laser LD home run. For more FB chance and what not, Kyle Stowers will be the guy with Jakob Marsee being a weaker option.
Kyle Stowers 500 FAN
Xavier Edwards 1400 FD
Jakob Marsee 1040 FD
Otto Lopez 920 FD
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MIN/DET - 11mph winds coming in
Twins - Troy Melton doesn't have a ton of history this season so this picks are def with a grain of salt as the Tigers look much better this game. For Minnesota, I am very much liking Josh Bell to wreck some havoc this game. Strong ISO and WOBA across the board and a 50% hard hit rate or higher on almost all pitches.
Josh Bell 650 FAN
Trevor Larnach 920 DK
Tigers - Taj Bradley has good games and bad games and today I am prepping for a bad one. Off the bat, Dillon Dingler looks fantastic with not as strong of a grasp on RHP Taj Bradley's best pitch but a wider net cast upon his whole pitch mix where as Kerry Carpenter on the other hand really only homers on fastballs so more centrally focused on just four-seams for Kerry Bonds. Furthermore all three players in mind, Dingler, Kerry, and Greene, have really high barrel rates indicating that they are hitting it hard, fast, and at the right spot which could definitely equal bases.
Kerry Carpenter 460 FAN
Dillon Dingler 500 FAN
Riley Greene 525 FAN
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NYY/CLE - 9mph winds out to center, get ready for a fun one
Yankees - Slade Cecconi has a real weakness to RHB already giving up 6 HRs this year but ironically the best looking Bronx Bombers on today's slate fit the platoon advantage well as they are all LHBs. Rice and Bellinger are chalk looking primed for yet another great day against a weak RHP but Trent Grisham is being tossed around as just as chalk. I understand he went yesterday but McMahon looks like he could go back to back as well. I don't need to get into all the numbers, you can find them yourself but everybody looks good and that leaves me to chase total bases a lot, or see who is in the lineup at what spots.
Ben Rice 280 FAN
Trent Grisham 346 DK
Ryan McMahon 525 FAN
Cody Bellinger 375 FAN
Guardians - Only two names show up on today's docket for Cleveland, JRam is a run back from yesterday and he looks not as good but still solid to build on. And another run back, value longshot play, Steven Kwan looks again like he could possibly take one out of the park. If in doubt, play hits, total bases, or H RBI R!
Jose Ramirez 393 DK
Steven Kwan 1560 DK
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PHI/TOR - 7mph to left
Phillies - I am keeping things light again with two value plays and then Mr. Chalk himself, Kyle Schwarber cause why not. For value, I am liking Brandon Marsh and Alec Bohm. Marsh shines on FSFB against RHP and Cease gives HR out like candy. Marsh does have a higher LD rate than I like but what did I say yesterday? Line drives can be home runs too! Plus Marsh is still hot as hell running things. Bohm's pitch mix against Cease is all red but his last 10 games have been fantastic lately and it might be time for him to turn it into money!
Kyle Schwarber 290 FAN
Brandon Marsh 800 DK
Alec Bohm 1140 DK
Blue Jays - Zach Wheeler is good but he isn't Cristopher Sanchez. Wheeler does get taken out back by LHB of which TOR lineup looks cleanly set up for that. At the top of those lefties, sits Jesus Sanchez who has strong barrel and hard hit rates with consistent FBs being sent off. For more value players I really like Andres Gimenez to go off today but if you don't fully trust his ability, always turn it into total bases.
Jesus Sanchez 520 FD
Brandon Valenzuela 650 FD
Andres Gimenez 1120 FD
Nathan Lukes 930 DK
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STL/NYM - 15mph going straight out, HR derby incoming
Cardinals - Peralta has a significant weakness to LHB giving up a high 1.53 HR/9 the clear cut choice tonight is Alec Burleson who honestly might be the biggest lock of the day. Beyond him, famed seller to me personally sits JJ Wetherholt who doesn't look as sexy as Alec but can still produce if need be. Finally, I could also see Nolan Gorman going but a lot less likely. If you wanted to focus on an unstoppable force meeting an immoveable object, for RHB batters which Freddy Peralta cooks, Jordan Walker could just maybe eek by.
Alec Burleson 525 FAN
Jordan Walker 440 FAN
JJ Wetherholt 490 FD
Nolan Gorman 540 FD
Mets - This could be a wild one. I am unbelievably sold on Carson Benge cooking but old man Marcus Semien looks like he's still got it as well. Fellow young bucks Jared Young and A.J. Ewing also look fantastic. This game will either be 12-8 or 1-3. No in between...
Carson Benge 650 FD
Marcus Semien 800 FAN
Jared Young 620 DK
A.J. Ewing 1260 DK
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TEX/KC - 13mph winds out to left
Rangers - Two bats deep in the order and one chalk pick at the top are the focus for todays picks. Carter and Duran both boast good mixes against Kolek who mainly struggles against RHB. Seager and Pederson we keep an eye on simply because it is Seager and Pederson, ya know... chalk is chalk for a reason.
Ezquiel Duran 980 FD
Evan Carter 820 FD
Corey Seager 411 DK
Joc Pederson 525 FAN
Royals - Targeting LHB since Eovaldi gives up 1.88 HR/9 and Royals are ready for it. Michael Massey is the top selection for me carrying a high .463 WOBA rn and batting .353 so this guy hits it and hits it well. For a more longshot play, target Isaac Collins and for more chalky touches, Vinnie P. is the main pick.
Michael Massey 640 DK
Vinnie P. 549 DK
Isaac Collins 1040 FD
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ATL/CWS - 7mph winds out to right
Braves - Erick Fedde with an astonishing 3.45 HR/9 against RHB and Braves very own Ronald Acuna Jr. looks like a cheat code tonight, his odds being 376 DK actually seem like good value funny enough. We are also looking for the other RHB as well meaning Ozzie Albies and Austin Riley.
Ronald Acuna Jr. 376 DK
Austin Riley 446 DK
Ozzie Albies 575 FAN
White Sox - Sox without Murakami are all value/longshot plays, nobody looks super chalky. Benintendi would be the favorite in the lineup on this side but apart from that if you want value, chase Meidroth and Antonacci. Meidroth in particular has the LA, barrel and FB rate that could equal a HR, I am liking him a LOT!
Andrew Benintendi 478 DK
Chase Meidroth 1160 DK
Sam Antonacci 980 DK
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LAST 5 GAMES COMING LATER!