📉📈 JP Morgan vs Silver Ratio: Signs of a Secular Top and a Potential Shift Toward Monetary Metals The JP Morgan / Silver ratio ( $JPM / $SI) shows a fully developed long-term price structure. After completing a full impulsive Elliott sequence, the chart displays a 5th-wave failure, a rare event in strong trends and often a precursor to a major directional reversal. This weakness is reinforced by a long-lasting bearish momentum divergence, visible since the end of wave 3, signaling underlying buyer exhaustion. Following that failed high, the ratio appears to have entered a structural corrective phase, labeled A–B, with a potential C-wave decline still pending. The gradual weakening around the Ichimoku cloud supports a scenario where systemic banking underperforms silver, a historical monetary asset that tends to strengthen during periods of financial restructuring, persistent inflation, sovereign risk concerns, or credit-cycle stress. In simple terms, the chart suggests we may be transitioning from a bank-driven financial leadership phase toward a cycle in which hard monetary assets regain prominence. If confirmed, this narrative aligns perfectly with the previous analysis on a potential secular rotation into precious metals and mining stocks, also reflected in the XAU/SP500 and SOX/XAU ratios. 📌 Three converging macro-ratio signals significantly increase the probability of a major cycle shift. #Silver #Gold #Miners #Commodities #Macro #FinancialCycle #JPMorgan #SafeHaven #HardAssets #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketRotation #PreciousMetals #Inflation #RiskOff

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You know what, I found this important chart in Lacy's latest quarterly report. Salute. #FinancialCycle #FinancialCycleIsLeadingIndicator #MondeySupply Global Storm..........

When the Fed's economic strategy looks like a never-ending cycle of stair climbing! 📈📉 #Economics #Fed #FinancialCycle

🌞💼 Understanding the Significance of the Macro/Crypto Summer! Raoul Pal elaborates on this pivotal phase in the financial landscape, highlighting its importance in "The Everything Code" cycle. #MacroCryptoSummer #RaoulPal 🔍 According to Pal, the Macro Summer closely follows the Financial Conditions Index, typically preceding the cycle by around ten months. The ISM index, a key economic indicator, bottoms out during this period, signaling the start of GDP growth. #FinancialIndicators #EconomicHealth 📈 Pal's thesis emphasizes the cyclicality of the ISM business cycle, driven by liquidity dynamics and the debt refinancing cycle. Liquidity, which bottomed out at the end of 2022, plays a crucial role in the Macro/Crypto Summer and Fall phases. #LiquidityDynamics #BusinessCycle 💡 Understanding the dynamics of liquidity is essential during the Macro/Crypto Summer, as rising liquidity is a core component of "The Everything Code" thesis. #MarketInsights #FinancialStrategy 🚀 Don't overlook the significance of the Macro/Crypto Summer – it's a period of rising liquidity and pivotal economic indicators, shaping the trajectory of financial markets. #MarketTrends #EconomicAnalysis 📰 Read more about the Macro/Crypto Summer and its implications in the full thread by Raoul Pal. #FinancialCycle #InvestmentInsights (Note: The summary has been condensed due to character limitations. Let me know if you need further details!)

How To Quickly Recognises Where We Are At In the Financial Cycle #forex #forextrading #financialcycle #USD #fxtrading #ytshorts #trader #TRADINGTIPS

#SUERFpolicybrief "Mind the gaps: Financial Cycles and Output Gap in the euro area" by Justine Guillochon (@CUNY) and Julien Le Roux (@banquedefrance) #OutputGap #PotentialOutput #FinancialCycle #MonetaryPolicy

#SUERFpolicybrief "Navigating the Tightrope: Balancing Financial Stability and Inflation in the Age of Persistent Financial Cycles and Crises" by @kockerols (@NorgesBank, @ecb) Erling Motzfeldt Kravik (@Finansdep), and @YasinMimir (@ESM_Press) #MonetaryPolicy #FinancialCycle

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#SUERFpolicybrief “Latent Fragility: Conditioning Banks’ Joint Probability of Default on the Financial Cycle” by Paul Bochmann (@ecb), Paul Hiebert (ECB), Yves Schüler (@bundesbank) & Miguel Segoviano (@IMFNews) #SystemicRisk #FinancialCrises #FinancialCycle

New #discussionpaper by Bundesbank #researchcenter: The global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks bundesbank.de/dp-en/2022-43 #tailrisks #financialcycle #monetarypolicy #gdp

🔗 Link to the paper 👇 #EconTwitter #macroeconomics #global #FinancialCycle #Cycle #Fed #MonetaryPolicy #RiskAssets watermark.silverchair.com/rd…

🚨 US Monetary Policy and the Global Financial Cycle 👇 — Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Héléne Rey #EconTwitter #macroeconomics #global #FinancialCycle #Cycle #Fed #MonetaryPolicy #RiskAssets