So you are not taking some things into aspects here, there are to many ways that can give different outcomes.
Every country has huge assets in USD and will work against this, most of them half of their countrys assets, Norway, oil countries, China, Japan everyone is depending on that this is the standard and they will help keep it that way.
Your saying politicans have spent tons, and they have. Thats why Bondi this week announced that the 94 new judges will now go deep down and make all of them that has wasted money pay for it, they will be prosecuting everyone DOGE has found and will find. They have introduced death penalty again for harder crimes and they will make examples out of quite a few, thats needed.
Guatanamo was one of the first executive orders Trump signed, 30.000 beds for just this purpose and several new courthouses. That means they are going to take down and process atleast 100.000 a year that have lived on the system for decades, you dont think that involves taking everyones full assets down to the very clothes they are wearing back to the goverment.
That will not cost money for the americans, that could basicly pay half of that dept in one swoop. Some has hundreds of millions, most has atleast a few to be taken in.
I don't think they will play with digital things straight before the infrastructure is there, makes no sence. You have Sachs and other working on implementation of Crypto but in a steady paste long term, backed by Elon, that spends hes servers on Grok now, not Crypto.
They need to be able to create those assets at a large scale. Today China and Russia has alot more serverpower still and they will not let the US be able to beat them at the time.
They need to get the electricity price down as Trump is going for, but the infrastructure for that at the same time as thousands of new company investments are flooding in to the country makes it take years to get down, atleast a cupple. When electricity is steady on a few cents steady then we are talking crypto.
Trump is old school and will not let others push down the dollar that is the worlds only foundational currency. We all use it and everyone would loose at once, so makes no sence, the others wants trade, wants markets to work, wants their sheep working, they want it to stay as is.
Can't think of one real reason even the top guys would want a crash like that, makes no sence. They can spray us with shit from above without its getting stopped, they could kill tons of if they wanted, the power is actually more around them then Trump, how is that a good outcome for that elite.
Restart is abit to late for, a crash would just rebuild something new without them again. They want more power, not loosing what they have left. A crash under Biden and they could have done as they wanted, a crash under Trump would never give them more power in the end. Think wider.
You have in 120 days kicked out 150.000 of the country and are stopping billions a day in wrongfully payouts. That has to save trillions a year, it is reversable long term.
Soon Elons Optimus Robots are in the game and will bring in tons by working 24/7, millions a year is to be made to bring in trillions.
FSD for real for cars is super close now for June and will change the hole basis of transportation where one car takes out the use of 6-8 traditional ones, the hole of US needs 15-20 milion to take out the transportation need out of 100-150 million cars today, every step changes the usage of electricity to go down, you will not waste as before and all that could then go to crypto as will be a asset far far away in time, maby 27-28 if lucky.
The switch of Semi trucks to FSD and 3 times the usage per truck, its trillions just from Elon Musks companys to be expected for the Government.
A collapse would hurt everyone to much, services would stop being used, they dont want a passive population again, they want a working one. I don't see this crash at all really. Basicly the opposite.