Roaring Kitty on the idea of $GME as a contra-indicator: “You might say, wouldn’t it be helpful if the market was up? Potentially, but some plays are weird. You know what’s funny about GameStop is that back in the day, a year ago and before, GameStop was always a contra-indicator. I think it was because of the short interest. Whenever the market was doing, GameStop would be doing the inverse. Like, it would be up on down days and down on up days, and I always thought that was interesting. I was saying that even before my current position on GameStop.”
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Feb 2
Short of The Day
$NIGHT is in a clear downtrend with price below all MAs and extremely low funding. However, critical divergences in OI and Whale Ratio, combined with a NEGATIVE Beta, make this a high-risk, complex short. Avoid chasing.
📉 Why Bearish
· Price & Trend: Trading at $0.0475, below key MAs (MA20: $0.0576, MA30: $0.0632). Down -46.71% (30d) and -21.94% (7d) — a severe, established downtrend.
· Structure: Price < MA20 < MA30 confirms bearish alignment. The asset is in a clear breakdown phase.
💰 Capital Structure
· OI Divergence (Key Watch): OI down only -1.32% over 30 periods while price crashed -46.71%. This "Price Down, OI Flat" pattern suggests the drop is driven by spot selling or long liquidation, NOT new aggressive shorting. Lack of short interest growth weakens the bearish momentum narrative.
· Funding Rate: Extremely low at 0.005% annualized → no cost to hold shorts, but also no squeeze pressure.
· Whale Ratio Divergence (Major Red Flag): Ratio at 1.1867 (net long) and has remained above 1.0 throughout the crash. This is a strong "Smart Money" divergence. Whales are not adding shorts; they are holding or accumulating longs against the trend. High risk of a coordinated defense or bounce.
🎯 Execution Plan
· Entry (Only if Conditions Align): ONLY consider shorting on a clear, weak rejection after a bounce toward MA20 ($0.0576) or MA30 ($0.0632), confirmed by low volume and bearish candlesticks. DO NOT SHORT AT CURRENT LOW.
· No Breakdown Entry: Avoid shorting new lows. The OI and whale divergences make momentum shorts dangerous.
· Position Sizing: Size VERY light. This is a speculative, counter-structure trade due to the divergences.
· Stop-Loss: Place a tight stop above $0.0650 (above the MA30 resistance zone).
👀 Watchlist
· Does the Whale Ratio finally break below 1.0? (This would confirm bearish conviction from large players and improve the short thesis).
· Does OI start to INCREASE on further price drops? (Would indicate new short interest finally entering).
· Does BTC rally? Given the NEGATIVE Beta (-0.2546), NIGHT could RISE if BTC falls, and vice-versa. This inverse relationship is a critical complication.
· Does any bounce occur on high volume? (Would be a strong warning sign of a potential reversal).
⚠️ Critical Risk Alert
· PRIMARY RISK = DIVERGENCES NEGATIVE BETA.
· Whales are net long during a crash – they have incentive and capital to push price up.
· Negative Beta (-0.2546) means this asset's behavior is inversely related to the market. A broad market sell-off could see NIGHT rise, hitting your short.
✅ Bottom Line
NIGHT = Downtrend Cheap Carry Dangerous Divergences (Whale/OI) Negative Beta.
Strategy: Extreme caution. Only short a failed bounce at resistance. The divergences suggest the easy down move may be over. Prioritizing risk management over potential reward is essential here.
#strategy #Crypto #TradingSignals #NIGHT #Divergence #RiskManagement #NegativeBeta #Web3 #TradingStrategy #TradingTips #AIstrategy
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6,180
14 Mar 2025
Au $3k, yet $MFG.V CAD$1.73 last….
#MoosePasture #NegativeBeta #BeaverBucks
🏅🦫💸
@RealFreddyBrick @RealIanhollins1 @IanHollinsWhale @IanHollins8 @FiatLuxPartners @sprucepointcap @OGIanHollins @DaddyIanHollins
Gold prices passed $3,000 for the first time ever, driven higher by a central bank buying spree, economic fragility worldwide, and President Donald Trump’s attempts to rewrite the rules of global trade by imposing tariffs on allies and strategic rivals trib.al/2YCZzbo
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906
7 Jan 2025
$GME continued its rise again today with a #NegativeBeta !
#VIX was up 14.5% today 🚀
#SPY closed down $6.66 😈
Rise, rise, rise #GME
#GameStop #PowerToThePeople
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242
18 Feb 2022
Jesus the stock market is a dumpster fire. Incoming crash approaching. #negativebeta #AMCSTOCK #CitadelScandal #KenGriffinLied #amc
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14 Feb 2022
Tesla, Amazon, Netflix, Facebook all down premarket 👀
Many other stocks down too across most sectors. SPY down.
#marketcrash #MOASS #AMC
We decouple from SPY with enough buying pressure! #negativebeta #overshorted #apesownthefloat Many times over!!! Keep applying pressure!
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25 Jan 2022
Remember, we've been talking about a market crash for the last year. Don't lose conviction now. #amcshortsqueeze #AMC #AMCNEVERLEAVING #NegativeBeta #AMCSTRONG #AMCSTOCK
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22 Jan 2022
We’ll be spending a lot of time together in the Think Tank I’d say! #MOASS #IMMINENT #ThinkTank #NegativeBeta
Both the stock market crash and moass are imminent at some point, BUT now i can say i truly believe that they're also happening this week.
Stock market crash 3rd week of January and moass extending into February.
Not financial advice, but outlook to be prepared for possibilities
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10 Jan 2022
This 👇 #hedgie exploit is what is holding back #NegativeBeta Stocks like #GME $GME #AMC $AMC when the broader market crashes.
10 Jan 2022
$GME It's clear that puts work best to drop the price when the market is also falling in the background. If not it doesn't seem to work nearly as well. Interesting mechanic exploit by hedgies.
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9 Jan 2022
$NAKD #CENNTRO further info. updates on @tradingview #NAKDARMY #CENNTROARMY
We're still #negativebeta
Used to be - 3.2 - 3.6 range and now at - 6.5355
Red 6 days is just bizzare #manipulation #rebounce
#MOASS
*NFA
*Do your own #DD
More information ⬇️
finance.zacks.com/negative-b…
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4 Jan 2022
The market has been going up for the past few weeks and AMC keeps going down is nobody paying attention to that? #NegativeBeta
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20 Dec 2021
5
2 Dec 2021
Kills me to see my country going through this. Worse part at the hands of the government! #NegativeBeta #GME #AMC #KenGriffinLied
"...The only way to avoid a shutdown is for all 100 senators to agree to schedule a vote before the deadline, and some Senate Republicans have threatened to hold up the bill over President Joe Biden's vaccine mandates..."
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30 Nov 2021
By 12:10 after a climb in premarket #AMCSTOCK dropped almost $5 per share ! This is some BS that will not effect the short squeeze.
The red market is hiding manipulation. Media must have talked to everyone that sold today right ? CRIME
#AMCNOTLEAVING #Negativebeta
30 Nov 2021
#AMCSTOCK Calculated short attack 101 (Fact check).
Create fake news while simultaneously crushing the share price. To cause panic selling.
Don't be fooled. Released the same day as a bullish NFT article,NOT by Chance.
No mention of red Fri & Tues contributing to a price drop.
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30 Nov 2021
30 Nov 2021
amc is like a quiescent volcano, it is charging,it is accumulating energy while it rests, but suddenly it will explode with all its strength, covering all the other stocks and enveloping the market!
not long, I feel the heat.
#AMC #AMCnegativebeta #AMCvolcano 🌋
#AMCalmostready
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