My Results-Based Matchup Charts for every character - that’s right LITERALLY THOUSANDS OF MATCHUPS
Disclaimer: This is insanely difficult to make accurate because there is just so little high quality data for a lot of these matchups. There are 3400 matchups in smash ultimate and some are a lot less common than others. It’s probably the hardest piece of statswork I’ve worked on yet because of this challenge. That being said, I’ve worked hard to put my best effort forward at making this as accurate as possible!
Also, because of the sheer number of matchups, it’s hard to visualize all of them well, so do feel free to use your favorite tier list maker to make your main’s slice of this chart for you and other players of your main to see!
How the graphic works:
Each cell is the row character’s matchup against the column character’s matchup. For example:
- Steve has an advantage over Diddy Kong ( 1)
- Sonic has a strong advantage over Kazuya ( 2)
- Olimar has a dominant advantage over Samus ( 3)
- Yellow means the matchup is roughly even, like Steve vs Rob
The character in each row/column is repeated 3 times (once on each side and in the middle) so it’s easier to see who is in each column and row
Grayed out squares means there’s not enough data to say what the matchup is. What exactly “enough data” means is explained in the methodology(linked in the thread), where I also have a spreadsheet which shows the best guess based on the limited data
The characters are in order of the results-based tier list, split into 3 segments: high tiers, mid tiers and low tiers. The image on this post has high tiers vs high tiers and the posts in the thread have the other 8 combinations.