Wow $STRL flying

Por fin supero mi DD!

unusualbreakouts.com now have charts and theme detection became much stronger

Latest NAAIM number is now overbought which means my breakouts algo will now do 1/2 size (backed by my backtests). So holding full size only $ONDS and $CENX from the favourable regime (70-90 NAAIM)

IF CLAUDE/AI IS SO USEFUL, WHY ARENT PNLS GOING UP? I just made an important point on the @smbcapital call. You can’t go a day without reading tweets about traders using Claude. For 6 months now, Claude has been the talk of many trader calls. Yet from what I’ve seen, it’s not translating to pnl for most traders. Why? Because almost always, more data and information is NOT the constraint. The traders that outperformed in April did so because of their systems and execution. It isn’t that Claude and AI shouldn’t be used or isn’t at all useful. But AI and Claude can become a distraction AWAY from the actions and changes that actually matter and translate into PNL. If I were a betting man, Claude might have improved workflows for traders, but net, it has probably reduced trader pnl through distraction away from what matters.

$ASTC last one im done with day 1

🚨 THE ENTIRE AI BOOM MIGHT BE BUILT ON FAKE REVENUE. Latest corporate filings show that OpenAI and Anthropic alone make up over half of the entire $2 trillion future cloud backlog held by Microsoft, Oracle, Google, and Amazon. This massive pipeline is actually being created through a circular accounting trick called a round trip revenue loop. But how it works ? A tech giant gives billions of dollars to an AI startup as an "investment". But hidden in the contract is a strict rule forcing the startup to hand that exact same money straight back to the tech giant to rent their computer servers. Look at the documented case of Microsoft and OpenAI. When Microsoft invested $13 billion into OpenAI, it didn't just give them cash; it gave them "cloud credits" to use Microsoft servers. OpenAI used those exact credits to train its AI models, and Microsoft then turned around and recorded that server usage as brand new "cloud revenue" from a customer. The tech giant is literally paying itself with its own money and calling it a sale. This is why OpenAI’s annual cloud bill has ballooned to over $60 billion, double its actual revenue of $25 billion, kept alive solely by this recycled funding loop. Anthropic runs the exact same play, spending $2.66 billion on Amazon Web Services in just nine months, which was basically 100% of all the money it earned at the time. This manufactured demand triggers a second accounting trick where tech giants book massive paper profits. Every time a startup gets a higher value from a new funding round, the tech giant updates the value of its investment on its books and counts that unearned paper gain as direct profit. In Q1 2026, Alphabet reported a record $62.6 billion profit, but $28.7 billion nearly half, was just a paper markup on its Anthropic investment. In the same quarter, Amazon reported $30.3 billion in profit, but $16.8 billion of it was just an Anthropic paper gain. While Amazon reported record profits, its actual free cash flow collapsed 95% to just $1.2 billion because it had to spend $44.2 billion in real cash to build physical data centers. This has created a massive danger where these giant companies rely heavily on just one or two unstable startups. Microsoft has 49% of its $627 billion future backlog tied to OpenAI, while Oracle has an incredible 54% of its entire $553 billion pipeline relying on OpenAI alone. This perfectly mirrors the 2001 dot-com crash when Global Crossing and Qwest Communications swapped identical fiber-optic network capacity with each other just to book fake sales. Qwest had to erase $1.4 billion in fake income, and Global Crossing went completely bankrupt. The only difference is that the dot-com swaps were illegal, but today's AI loop is fully legal under current accounting rules. This legal loop inflates tech company stock prices, forcing automatic retirement accounts and index funds to buy even more of these tech stocks. It is a self feeding loop where investments, sales, and stock prices all go up on paper without the AI technology ever making real cash profits.

The Simplest NQ Strategy for Beginners Mark the range formed between 9:30 AM – 10:30 AM EST (Initial Balance / IB) • If the IB High forms first and IB closes between 0 to 0.25 of the range → target the IB Low • If the IB Low forms first and IB closes between 0 to 0.25 of the range → target the IB High What is IB? IB = Initial Balance (the first hour of New York Open) 📊 1 Year NQ Stats via @edgeful • IB High forms first close between 0–0.25 → 84.48% probability of sweeping the low • IB Low forms first close between 0–0.25 → 92.13% probability of sweeping the high Simple, Clean, Statistical edge.

Can Shorting Stocks Make You the Next Market Wizard? Ahead of the sixth edition of Market Wizards, @jackschwager and co-author @gfc4 joined Moritz Seibert on the Top Traders Unplugged podcast for a preview of what readers can expect. Surprisingly, some of the new market wizards built their fortunes doing what older generations of traders would have strongly warned against... shorting small-cap stocks. With that in mind, we thought this would be the perfect opportunity to revisit a signal that has been sitting in our internal research archives since last year. If you have ever searched for stocks to fade, we think you may enjoy this read. Link to the article in the first comment. #SystematicTrading #QuantFinance #ShortSelling #SmallCaps #TradingResearch #MarketWizards #QuantTrading #AlgorithmicTrading #StockMarket #TradingStrategy

Big news from Cobra Trading! Starting June 4th, Cobra Trading is lowering its opening account minimum to $10,000. Same pro-level service. Same platform access. Same short-selling support. Now with a lower entry point for active traders ready to step up. Built for traders who want: 📷 High-touch service 📷 Multiple locate sources 📷 Fast execution 📷 Direct access platforms 📷 Support from a team that understands active trading Learn more at CobraTrading.com Trading involves risk and is not suitable for everyone. Member FINRA / SIPC. #CobraTrading #ActiveTraders #DayTrading #DirectAccessTrading #ShortSelling #TradingPlatform #StockTrading #DASTrader

This is super interesting. Tested it real quick and NAAIM readign at 70-90 seems to be the sweet spot. Next I need to test > 90 trimming and loosing up flag breakouts conditions for 70-90 readings.

@CFlanders7 mentioned NAAIM exposure index I run some analysis with NAAIM old data and corellation with QQQ - to detect bull and bearish market. Maybe you can try bactest with: