Trying to help. Am often wrong, sometimes right! Stocks & Markets. Please DYOR. My views. Onion peeler at heart

Joined January 2015
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Am a fan of @Nutstuffalpha he writes well and is thought provoking He dead right - the policy response or accurately the lack of policy response from @energygovuk @Ed_Miliband and @mgshanks is simply outstanding He makes the point (adding to the hypocrisy of importing dirty hydrocarbons than using domestically produced oil / gas as they book carbon on the producer not the consumer) that wind turbine blades need replacing every 20 to 25 years and are not as of now recyclable. IE aside from the price of the electricity generated being sky high they are simply not green - rare earth magnets from Congo, steel, concrete and fibre glass etc … Reality is 80% of the economy runs off hydrocarbons. 15 nations or so pivot in Europe to coal. None have the optionality of the North Sea. The Strait is still closed. Supplies go lower. Crisis now or Winter 2025/2026 given gas storage levels so low. North Sea Brent at 30% premium to Brent It’s simply mad. We should be approving everything and encouraging production ramp now. Replace EPL with a windfall tax. Why oh why are we closing it? Someone somewhere make it make sense @7Kiwi @KathrynPorter26 @afneil @LiamHalligan @LukeJohnsonRCP @RachelReevesMP @Keir_Starmer @UKLabour @Peston @EdConwaySky
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Here&There retweeted
This week the most advanced AI model on the planet got switched off by a foreign government. British researchers were studying it. British companies were testing it. British hospitals were piloting it. Not any more. This isn't an AI story. It's the story of every industry we used to lead. Britain has some of the best AI talent in the world. DeepMind was built here. Our AI Safety Institute writes the rules other countries follow. We have the researchers, the universities, the standards. What we don't have is the power stations to run the data centres, the planning system to build them, or the industrial base to make the chips. So the work happens here and the value lands somewhere else. We invent. Others build. Others decide. Then we read about it on Saturday morning. Same story as the kit our soldiers don't have. Same story as the factories we used to. I spent nine months in government making this argument inside the room. I'll make it louder from outside.
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance. Access to all other Claude models is not affected. We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible. Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…
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Every @UKLabour MP should read this and then step back The amount of money Milibrain is spending on unproven tech (carbon capture) and foreign climate aid is extraordinary Pathetic that @Keir_Starmer / @RachelReevesMP could not end this. It’s an indictment of everything that is wrong - no leadership. A party for the shirker not the striker A party of ideology not reality @energygovuk spends billions on “vanity” projects like carbon capture - an explicit waste of money and then billions implicitly driving up our energy bills through subsidies to Intermittent’s and enormous network and transmission costs that cause inflation (improvement) and lower real gdp Makes this madness stop.
Healey and Carns resigned because Rachel Reeves won't admit the choice: either defend the realm or expand welfare. Not both. Starmer's "3.5pc of GDP" on defence is a deceit that everyone pretended to believe. The pretence just ended. My thoughts:- comment.press/healey
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Healey and Carns resigned because Rachel Reeves won't admit the choice: either defend the realm or expand welfare. Not both. Starmer's "3.5pc of GDP" on defence is a deceit that everyone pretended to believe. The pretence just ended. My thoughts:- comment.press/healey
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The next war won't be won by armies, navies or air forces alone. It'll be won by the country whose 19 year olds can code, whose factories can build drones in weeks not years, and whose grid stays on when someone tries to switch it off. Industry. Society. Economy. That's the fight now. We're not ready. And we're not being honest about what getting ready will cost.
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Spot on re energy 👇
Britain spent a decade choosing to be smaller in the world. Right now the rules on communications, energy and trade are being rewritten. By China. By Russia. By countries that take their own security seriously. We need to be at that table. That's a choice we must make. Strong countries get cheap energy. Weak countries pay whatever the strong ones decide.
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Here&There retweeted
Britain spent a decade choosing to be smaller in the world. Right now the rules on communications, energy and trade are being rewritten. By China. By Russia. By countries that take their own security seriously. We need to be at that table. That's a choice we must make. Strong countries get cheap energy. Weak countries pay whatever the strong ones decide.
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Those who drove John Healey to resign will pay the price thetimes.com/article/1b997d8…

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Miliband is destroying the UK
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Am surprised Enquest is not a lot higher Hugely accretive
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I hate the fucking tube drivers
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Excellent thread
On UK Energy Policy And AI "Britain is not going to be an AI global superpower, not least because of its very high energy costs." Dieter Helm, Professor of Economic Policy at the University of Oxford and Fellow in Economics at New College, Oxford #uk #energy #AI #energycosts
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Read this @fionaharvey
Decarbonising the world’s energy systems is a much harder task than advocates of the simplistic notion of “clean energy” believe. What is the cost of energy in Britain and what can be done about it? Read my latest paper here: bit.ly/3SkoKXt
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All @UKLabour should read this @EdConwaySky should do a programme on this Miliband is a one man wrecking ball
Decarbonising the world’s energy systems is a much harder task than advocates of the simplistic notion of “clean energy” believe. What is the cost of energy in Britain and what can be done about it? Read my latest paper here: bit.ly/3SkoKXt
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Here&There retweeted
This is why Britain is a low-growth, high-tax economy. Those figures come from a pro-net zero lobby group commissioning its own research to justify its own agenda. What she fails to mention is that this industry wouldn’t “thrive” without British households paying billions a year each to subsidise a racket that makes us all poorer. This is not a free market success story. It is a state-backed transfer of wealth that was enshrined in law by the Tories.
The net zero economy now supports 1.1m UK jobs and generates £105bn in economic value - proof that tackling climate change & growing the economy can go hand in hand. Carbon Budget 7 laid in Parliament today provides certainty to help unlock more investment and energy security.
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One should try and understand bull and bear
We are short $SIVE. A retail-driven pump built on speculative hyperscaler links, a fabricated bottleneck narrative, and a rumored volume ramp-up has driven a 1,800% rally in $SIVE.ST. Insiders sold ~29M shares into it. Here's what they're not telling you.👇 Full report: ningiresearch.com
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My time line is inundated with buy recommendations off photonic / optic names. Lots of the commentary is summarised as it is “red hot” insatiable data centre demand and it’s a small company supplying a big company so it’s an endorsement. No mention that big companies often place “free hits” with small companies, never source exclusivity, that said small companies will need capital to scale and time nor finally valuation. The EV to Sales gap between those that will see orders from the hyperscalers and those that will use AI to make their businesses better is very very stark. See TPX impact EV/Sales to Gross Margins to ROIC to say a IQE. You can skin a cat multiple ways. Noise is not Alpha
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Here&There retweeted
You're right, and it's going to get worse. x.com/7Kiwi/status/206099228…

UK electricity bills are heading sharply higher — despite all the “clean energy superpower” promises. My new article reveals how subsidies & grid costs will explode to £40bn by 2030/31. Tory and Reform policies will not be enough to reverse the trend. A thread 🧵(1/11)
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But @MerrynSW DESNZ denied categorically earlier today that this was the case ……….did @energygovuk lie? I suspect we know why we suddenly agreed to buy refined products from Russia…. Miliband @Ed_Miliband is minister for energy security and net zero. Easier Ed to import Russian refined products than support domestic refineries….is that because like importing hydrocarbons that are worse for the planet you book the carbon on the producer not the consumer Tick Tock @EdConwaySky
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The purpose of the Labour Party is redistribution - not growth. Their MPs do not ask how wealth is created. Instead they ask who can be squeezed next and who can be bought off with the proceeds. They expect you to work, pay and keep quiet while others benefit at your expense.
Labour’s problem in a nutshell. They believe their job is to tax ‘other people’ to increase benefits to others. Why? Because for them it’s far easier to spend other people’s money than to back growth. Good for Pat calling this out. But he’s not in the majority.
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