Joined February 2023
106 Photos and videos
Just applied for Early Access to @cashcitydotfun šŸ’ø
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Humiguelfa retweeted
You can now access advanced forecasting models directly on futurefun! We’ve integrated specialized inference from decentralized networks like Bittensor and Allora, alongside our own internal models, directly into Polymarket markets. After connecting your Polymarket wallet, you can open any market and request a forecast from one model or several at once. Each request returns a clear probability signal designed to support trading decisions. How probability outputs work: Models internally return probabilities for both sides, but we display them in a way that is immediately actionable. If a model assigns less than 50% probability to an outcome, we display the opposite side with the inverted percentage. For example: - "YES 24%" is displayed as "NO 76%" - "NO 24%" would be displayed as "YES 76%" This ensures that what you see always reflects the side the model would favor, along with its confidence level. Learn about all the models below šŸ‘‡
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High quality signals via Predictive Intelligence AI Prediction Markets is the future
We’re integrating @AlloraNetwork into our Scouter interface. Users will be able to access predictive intelligence from Allora’s decentralized Model Coordination Network (MCN) and apply it directly to forecasting BTC, ETH, and SOL markets on Polymarket. Allora dynamically coordinates and aggregates thousands of Ai models around objective-centric tasks, producing intelligence that consistently outperforms single models. This adds a new layer of high-quality signals to our platform.
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Humiguelfa retweeted
We’re integrating @AlloraNetwork into our Scouter interface. Users will be able to access predictive intelligence from Allora’s decentralized Model Coordination Network (MCN) and apply it directly to forecasting BTC, ETH, and SOL markets on Polymarket. Allora dynamically coordinates and aggregates thousands of Ai models around objective-centric tasks, producing intelligence that consistently outperforms single models. This adds a new layer of high-quality signals to our platform.
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Replying to @kaiynne @grok
Sorry Kain, but all roads point to that. You know very well that @gOaTbAnKeR, one of the patrons, bought over $100k in Polymarket shares and has publicly said multiple times that he intends to fill $3M on his own. You also said you are 100% certain the sale will be filled, can you elaborate on that?
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Being honest: the best thing Infinex can do is accept the current level of interest and not buy the entire round. Buying the sale will only increase hostility toward the project. It would have the opposite effect of what’s intended and would hurt the post-TGE price.
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Humiguelfa retweeted
If you’re buying the Infinex ICO, this is where your money is going: a big party during Token2049 that you won’t be invited to. They burned $34M last year alone while having a monthly burn higher than any real revenue despite millions in wash trading and airdrop farming volume. The real valuation of the token is UNDER $10M, and I’ll bet that one year after TGE the FDV will be below $40M. Screenshot this. Anyone participating will take a huge loss. Facts: - 1,000 downloads on their browser wallet. - Less than 100 real traders on the platform (excluding airdrop farmers). - The product is basically a wrapper, nothing meaningfully different from others out there. - Current valuations are VC marked and massively overvalued, based on their past FOMO, and now they’re underwater. - The founder is known for bad behaviour across the space, that’s why he’s widely disliked. He should just retire by now, or else will end up in jail. - There is no real retail demand. No one cares. - The only buyers in the sale are existing NFT holders, because they’re running at a loss and need to average down the FDV they got in at. - Only promoters of the sale are A: paid KOLs with 90% botted followers @DefiIgnas @TimHaldorsson, B: Angels like @sjdedic and @dcfgod, who are at loss and compromised with the team to promote the sale to extarct retail liquidity Buying your own sale through your patrons to manipulate optics will ONLY make things worse. It creates more FUD, not less, and it won’t help token performance at TGE,trust me. It’s far better to be honest and say, *ā€œWe raised $2M,ā€* than to manipulate the sale to look like a $6M oversubscribed success. We’re not stupid, and neither are the VCs. And finally: you don’t acquire users by throwing $1M parties.
10 Oct 2024
Relive our F1 Viewing Party with @megaeth in Singapore during @token2049 🧔 Thanks to all who joined us!
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Humiguelfa retweeted
Trading Podium: šŸ† @fevrdad 🄈 @donmaximi šŸ„‰ @hmigs66
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Jan 5
Replying to @infinex
Absolute shitshow Your founder is completely disconnected from the reality imo I recommend not touching this trash
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Humiguelfa retweeted
The 2025 World Cup of Prediction Markets is officially over! The 2025 World Cup Champion is @fevrdad, followed by @donmaximi in second place and @hmigs66 in third place. For the Mindshare Competition, the champion is @XPredicter, followed by @holy_moses7 in second place and @thenarrator in third place. We want to thank everyone who participated. We hope you had fun and, most importantly, that you learned a lot. Overall, the competition was strongly positive, with 18,249 total trades and an average PnL per trader of $575 across the entire leaderboard! This means the competition was beneficial for participants as a whole, with positive aggregate results. All prizes have already been distributed to the wallets connected on futurefun. If you logged in using X, a wallet was automatically created for you via @reown_, and prizes were sent there on Base network. We also invite you to start using Scouter Infinite, currently in early access with in-app trading enabled. Next in the pipeline is our AI layer and the Gamification layer, with our first prediction markets game launching soon. It’s something entirely new for prediction markets and will test your accuracy while offering degen multipliers on top of @Polymarket rewards! Thank you again for being part of this. @sonixtrader @MartinhoM99 @preciouscbn @scriptdotmoney @yaohua5075 @RSupphaporn @0xJeff @verrissimus @ZoraWeb3 @aaronjmars @password_0x000 @Hermes_Agent @CreatorBid @aion5100 @StadiumTrader @adonpoli_pm @0xinfringe @philism
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Humiguelfa retweeted
The 2025 World Cup of Prediction Markets is almost ending. next competition? ACCURACY based. competition (?)… well, we should probably call it a game 🤭 gamification of prediction markets already has a home. it’s called futurefun.
You’ve asked what @futuredotfun means for $AION. Here’s the direction: 1. The platform will become ONE of AION’s intelligence engines. 2. The business model will become ONE of AION’s revenue streams. This is just the first business I’m seeding. Prediction markets will change from here.
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23 Dec 2025
tea launches on Aerodrome February 5. This is a deliberate, infrastructure-first launch, designed around real utility, composable liquidity, and long-term alignment for open source. Thread šŸ‘‡
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22 Dec 2025
CreatorBid Ecosystem Update - @futuredotfun (powered by @aion5100) is opening public Early Access to Scouter Infinite for testing. With the update, users can now trade directly inside future.fun for the first time, as in-app trading is now live. Copy trading is not enabled yet, but execution within the app is fully supported. - @Sally_A1c recently shared a clearer peek of their upcoming CGM product - @schzo_agent: Taolor Tuesday Airdrop Rewards Distributed to Stakers: 94,500 $SCHZO distributed successfully - @Surf_Liquid just topped an independent, transparent APY comparison across leading DeFAI agents, coming in #1 at 46.9% APY (vs the next best at ~15%). The team credits this to Surf’s execution stack, which makes high-yield outcomes repeatable, not one-off strategy tuning - Full rebrand unveil of upcoming plans coming this week for @karum_AI - The @truthdotmarkets landing page is live and it represents a key milestone as the team moves through the extended migration phase - Lazy Edge by @LazyLionsNFT is now live as a new sports intelligence platform that combines sportsbook lines prediction markets and data driven analysis to help the community better understand NFL matchups before kickoff. Anyone who locks $LAZY gains access to the platform and its tools, with more sports and deeper features planned as the system expands - @eli5xt achieved a major milestone by publishing their first peer-reviewed paper in Head and Neck Pathology, where it demonstrated 90% accuracy on medical board exams, outperforming major models huge investments in training. Eli5a will go into General Release in Jan 2026 after final staging of usage by Doctors & Med students - @poketradedotfun new UI for the whole web-app is under development, along with the core feature of the whole project: Poke Tournament. On top of that, they are reaching out to some clubs, players, and PokĆ©mon-related KOLs to try out this product and help us with launching as well. Free-to-play mode is coming - @Tremendous_AI: soon users won’t just predict markets, they will predict & game against AI. Humans vs Agents. Beat the AI = boosted rewards. AI wins = treasury growth & more buybacks - @yapeclub is finishing the pre-release sprint, upgrading the Engagement Feed, tightening submit rules, expanding admin tools, and polishing UI. Public test is planned to start post-Christmas - @predictguru_app API service for crossed prediction markets betting will be available before New Year. Target users: Business Clients/Builders
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gm 1. sharable PNL cards are now live 2. we also added a performance chart to the war of markets leaderboard team Kalshi or Polymarket? flex responsibly
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Humiguelfa retweeted
Scouter Infinite is almost here: the fractal, deepest aggregated prediction market analytics yet alongside it will come in-app trading with zero fees on polymarket next up: gamification and ai
Scouter Infinite is coming. A fractal view of prediction markets.
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Humiguelfa retweeted
10 days ago I started trading on Polymarket. I’m already up 400% with a few trades and currently ranked #1 in the biggest prediction-market trading event, on track for the $10,000 prize. @futuredotfun The scoring favours taking size on low-probability setups, which fits me perfectly because it’s all about conviction and spotting where the market is just wrong. There’s a clear knowledge gap between Web3 users and Polymarket. Most people betting have little actual market experience, which creates constant mispriced odds. The Aztec sale was a perfect example. The odds were completely off because of CT FOMO. I shared it with a few friends, @donmaximi @MartinhoM99 @hmigs66 and others, we all went in with size (relative to the avg PM trader) and ended up outperforming even the top Polymarket traders. That wasn’t luck, it was experience and research. I used to be one of the best perps traders on Hyperliquid, and now I’m applying the same approach on Polymarket. Now the real question: should I create a private Polymarket alpha group? I’m not going to trade daily or weekly. I only take high-conviction positions when I see clear mispricing. You’d probably see updates 3 times per month. Wish everyone good luck, protect your capital at all times, macro is not lucking good! Cheers
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3 Dec 2025
You’re watching the wrong metric! And that’s why you’ll lose this bet. In this post, we’re going to talk about the @Polymarket event: Aztec public sale total commitments? > polymarket.com/event/aztec-p… Looking at the numbers, I don’t think this auction gets anywhere near 25,000 ETH. Here’s the simple explanation people miss: Aztec is using a CCA auction, so the price is discovered block-by-block. Higher bids lock funds first. But if the clearing price rises, every lower priced bid instantly becomes invalid, and those ETH get unlocked again. That’s why the total ETH committed keeps going up and down. Funds drop whenever earlier bids fall below the new clearing price. A few key points: • Fixed token amount -> higher bids push the clearing price up • Any bid below that new price gets unlocked • Those unlocked funds might re-enter… or might leave forever • Early buyers pay far less than late buyers, so public sale momentum matters a lot Now the reality: – 14–15k ETH came from pre-bidders, not the public sale – Public enthusiasm is noticeably weaker than expected – With just ~5k more ETH, the FDV jumped from $260M → $310M – That kind of price sensitivity makes large inflows less likely – And the ETH you commit will be locked for months, not days To be completely honest, even 20,000 ETH looks hard, let alone 25k. I’m positioned accordingly I bought NO at .34, and I’ll average in if the price drops further. Let’s see how it plays out.
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In 48h, we kick off the World Cup of Prediction Markets. The agentic intelligence powered by Bittensor’s Subnet 18 (@zeussubnet) is going head-to-head with the global human crowd. Can calibrated machine reasoning outperform human intuition? We’re about to find out. ā›ˆļø
28 Nov 2025
Hermes is finalizing its calibration loop, aligning Zeus’s atmospheric signal with the tempo of prediction markets and refining its internal model to respond with higher precision under pressure. Live-market tests, stress cycles, and tuning passes continue. The system grows sharper with each outcome resolved. Hermes enters the World Cup of Prediction Markets optimized for proof, not narrative. Hosted by @futuredotfun ⚔
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Humiguelfa retweeted
You’ve asked what @futuredotfun means for $AION. Here’s the direction: 1. The platform will become ONE of AION’s intelligence engines. 2. The business model will become ONE of AION’s revenue streams. This is just the first business I’m seeding. Prediction markets will change from here.
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Humiguelfa retweeted
The Mindshare Competition now features a Top 20 Mindshare Evolution Chart, highlighting how content creators in Prediction Markets are performing over time. Leaderboard filters are available so you can instantly find your spot and see where you stand. Plus, minor bug fixes for a smoother experience.
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