Remember this post?
Well, the selectiveness I talked about becomes even more obvious when you look at where VC funding is actually flowing currently.
Investors are betting on sectors they believe can survive tighter liquidity conditions and generate long-term value.
So while overall funding is in decline, some sectors are still attracting heavy conviction and absorbing a disproportionate share of the capital left in the market.
March 2026 was a good example of this shift. Despite crypto VC funding hitting $2.6B in March, the capital was not distributed evenly across sectors.
In other words, the market is not simply reducing capital deployment, it is repricing what deserves to be funded. And lately, the strongest conviction areas have been:
➣ Stablecoin and payment infrastructure
Stablecoins are increasingly being viewed as the most viable crypto product category. As a result, payment infrastructure and settlement rails are receiving stronger institutional attention.
➣ DeFi protocols with real revenue generation
Investors are still willing to bet on DeFi, but the focus has shifted towards protocols with sustainable revenue models, institutional integrations, stablecoin utility, and liquidity efficiency.
➣ On-chain financial infrastructure
If blockchain is going to power global finance, then the infrastructure layer enabling that transition becomes incredibly valuable to investors.
➣ AI x crypto infrastructure
AI is currently one of the strongest funding magnets, but investors are not just funding “AI tokens”. They are backing infrastructure that enables autonomous agents, decentralized compute, data marketplaces, AI coordination layers, and M2M economic systems.
➣ Blockchain services and middleware
Middleware has quietly become one of the safest bets for VCs. These include developer tooling, indexing systems, data infrastructure, interoperability layers, compliance tooling, analytics platforms, and backend systems that support the broader ecosystem.
➣ RWA tokenization
Investors see tokenization as one of the clearest bridges between TradFi and blockchain infrastructure, so the market is moving beyond theory into actual deployment of tokenized treasuries, private credits, and real-world financial assets.
Infrastructure has become the dominant theme because investors now care more about durability than narrative. Even broader VC sentiment outside crypto reflects the same pattern.
Across tech markets, VCs are aggressively prioritizing AI infrastructure, fintech, deep tech, enterprise software, cybersecurity, healthcare, and systems-level platforms instead of consumer speculation.
While overall deal counts are declining, average check sizes are increasing. Meaning investors are making fewer bets, but betting big on high-conviction projects.
This is a very different situation from the 2021 cycle. The easy money era is fading, and only projects that plug into the new reality will survive this downturn.
Venture capital (VC) funding has been in decline since reaching its peak in 2021. But it is not simply about less money being available in the market.
Some sectors are seeing more decrease than others. Crypto, for example, dropped significantly as VC funding in April 2026 fell from $2.6B to $659M. This marked a 74% decline from March’s figures and the lowest monthly level since July 2024.
In 2021, global VC funding reached well over $600B. By 2023, funding dropped largely ($285B) and even with a rebound in 2025 ($425B), it still has not bounced back.
However, let us look beyond the total funding. The real issue is how capital is distributed.
Deal activity has been falling even when funding rises. In 2024, deal count was down 17% YoY, while larger deals took a bigger share of the total capital. At the same time, average deal sizes increased.
Fewer startups are getting funded, but those that do are raising more capital. It is a pattern that shows up consistently across sectors and there are several factors causing this move:
➤ Higher interest rates and less appetite for risk
➤ Weak IPO market, slower exits and less recycled capital
➤ AI is pulling in a huge share of funding
When you compare yearly and quarterly data, the instability is clearly visible:
➤ Q1 2025 funding rose to around $80B, partly driven by a single large AI deal
➤ Q2 2025 dropped from around $114B to $91B quarter-to-quarter
➤ Overall, 2025 rebounded compared to 2024, but still remained below the 2021 high
It creates a misleading picture. Funding appears to recover, but most of it is driven by a small number of large deals. Remove those and the underlying market still looks weak.
If this downtrend continues:
➤ Fewer startups get funded
➤ Investors gain more power
➤ More acquisitions happen, resulting in fewer independent companies
➤ Funding inequality expands
➤ Innovation becomes more selective
So the bottom line is this: VC funding is not just declining, it is becoming more selective. It shows in the numbers, deal structures and how the market is inching toward funding what is proven instead of funding everything.