cofounder of @lygosFinance | ex @anchorage bitcoin, markets, credit, interesting things

Joined October 2013
164 Photos and videos
Jay retweeted
I hate to admit it but the loop people were right
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Jay retweeted
Jun 16
Was it all just a weird fever dream?
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Jay retweeted
In Michael Saylor's capital structure, Bitcoin forms the basis of a different kind of digital money for credit markets. But don't be fooled. Bitcoin is a monetary protocol. You can pay someone with bitcoin:native for goods and services. You can send Bitcoin around the world, quickly and cheaply. I always feared that this would be the direction that this went. Buy Bitcoin, hold it in self-custody and use it as it you will.
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Jay retweeted
Ya the solution is literally just IPOing sooner? Everyone and their mother wanted Anthropic stock, you really think they’re gonna give up some allocation to a few Redditors?
I think it’s time to revisit the accredited investor laws in the US. Companies are staying private longer, where only accredited investors (aka rich people!) can invest. Retail investors can only come in after IPO, when much of the upside has already been captured. These rules were created with the best of intentions, to protect regular people from scams - a noble idea. Unfortunately, in practice they've often made it illegal to get richer, unless you're already rich. A regressive tax! We have to judge policies based on their outcomes, not on their intentions. These are two possible routes I see: 1) Replace the rule with something merit-based, like a financial literacy test. Pass it and you're accredited. Having a qualification based on competency rather than your bank balance or income seems far more fair. 2) Remove the rule entirely. Let consenting adults assess their own risk. Disclosure requirements stay and fraud enforcement stays to punish bad actors.
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Jay retweeted
Ray Dalio logs on once a quarter to remind you he’s still sidelined and btw China might win
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Jun 15
and there you go
JUST IN: UK Government clarifies adults will still be able to use social media by verifying their identities with digital IDs, facial recognition, passports and credit cards.
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Jun 15
Am I missing something with this whole class of mortgage "hacks"? Its purely psychological you only pay down faster because you are paying more
When you realize that making biweekly mortgage payments on a $400,000 mortgage saves you $47,000 in interest and cuts 5 years off your loan without changing how much you pay each month.
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Jun 15
you are either money, or you are not money
ETH was trading below it's 200 week SMA for the first time in history, and then Tom Lee plowed $18b into it to save it Now its once again 30% below the 200 week SMA Where will the next $18b of buying come from? I am unsure
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Jay retweeted
This was one of the best sports weekends of my life. Thankful to @AnthropicAI & the @WhiteHouse for turning Fable off. 🙏 🙏
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Jay retweeted
Bitcoin treasury companies are a distraction from separating money and state. Idgaf about Twenty One Capital, Strategy, NAKA, etc. None of this has anything to do with freedom tech. "DUdE the MnAV! cASh diLluTION!" I don't fucking care. Anything other than destroying fiat is a distraction.
Jun 13
"If selling equity for cash is not dilution, then I can't have a conversation." @jackmallers on why he asked Saylor to define mNAV on stage.
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Jun 15
They would never use the mandatory KYC for age-verification to restrict free speech would they...
BREAKING: The United Kingdom arrest 33 social media users daily who post and criticize government, free speech is under threat in UK.
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Jay retweeted
The data center story is one of just 7 states: VA, TX, OH, IL, PA, AZ and GA account for virtually all planned data centers. All eyes on PJM and ERCOT
It gets worse: the grid connection requests active at the end of 2023 were more than double the total installed capacity of the US power plant fleet (2,600 GW vs. 1,280 GW). It's well more than 3,000 GW. There will be $trillions in semiconductor paperweights over the next decade
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Jay retweeted
Jun 14
My interpretation of this: Right now, Anthropic and OpenAI are making a killing by selling enterprise FDE services to F500s, building workflows for them on top of proprietary models, then using the traces and context from this to build RL envs to improve the models. This is crazy amounts of leverage - instead of buying this data they're getting paid gigantic consulting fees to extract it. This also goes way beyond typical consulting in scope - organizations are effectively outsourcing key learning curves and domain knowledge to the AI labs. Despite that, it's so far been worth it for them because the value of skilled FDE is so high and the ROI so fast, and orgs are willing to pay a premium for competent AI implementation. But in the long run, one of two things happens: either orgs are gonna get hooked on this and end up paying for the model training that replaces their business, or they find a way to build and own their own model ecosystem. What that looks like is developing some combination of AI models, evals, RL envs, and workflows. Initially probably the model will still be an off-the-shelf frontier model from a top lab. But as firms build out more sophisticated eval / RL env (increasingly the same thing) infra, it starts to become viable to post-train an custom model on top of an OSS base. Cursor have done this successfully with their Composer model RL'd on top of Kimi. Sidenote, this is the same conversation that a lot of national governments in Europe are having in the past week. When we look at what the rhetoric about 'sovereign AI' in the UK actually boils down to, it's doing custom post-training on top of an OSS model, and then running it on local GPUs. Ultimately, the current feeding frenzy for AI services in all of its guises - FDE, AI consulting, etc - should raise questions about long-term sustainability. If consulting services are truly a value add and competitive advantage, then in the long term you want to in-house.
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Remember, you can’t outsource your understanding to the model. You can outsource the work. You can outsource the thinking. You can’t outsource the understanding.
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Jay retweeted
Satya Nadella – e/acc
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Jun 14
If you are posting this you clearly have never been here. South of broad is probably one of the nicest places in the country to own a home
This is how much houses cost in checks notes *South Carolina* in 2026 lol We’re basically living through hyper inflation already but people just haven’t realized
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Jay retweeted
At almost every conference from 2011 to 2012, we gave away hundreds of physical Casascius and digital Bitcoins. You'd simply walk up to us and ask. Actually, we pretty much forced it on you. 😅 Yes, we gave away billions of dollars. If you were given the opportunity, I bet you'd do the same!
老谣言了。 这个展台是真的,2012 年也是真的,但是注册就送100 个 $BTC,这纯属胡扯。 这些人也不仅仅是“四个年轻人”,他们中包括 BitInstant 这家公司的老板 Charlie Shrem,以及 BitInstant 这家公司的投资人,也就是人送外号“比特币耶稣”的 Roger Ver。 首先,我翻遍了所有的英文资料,没有任何人提出他们注册就送一百个比特币,所有的一百个比特币全部来自于中文媒体和自媒体的二次传播。 其次,这个大会是澳门的一个社交游戏峰会时间,是 11 月 28 号,那天比特币大概 11 刀,100 个比特币价值 1100 刀。 这家公司启动的时候,Charlie从父母那儿融了 1 万美金,从 Roger 那儿融了 12.5 万美金。 如果注册就送 1100 刀的话,意味着只要 100 多个用户来注册,他们公司就被掏空了,你觉得可能吗?
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Jun 14
bad money drives out good
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Jay retweeted
Jun 13
1. if transacting with superintelligent models outside of the boundaries of a lab becomes difficult due to national security / ai safety concerns and so on, it will mean the Coasean boundaries of the labs will grow to encompass all interesting industry, creating a truly cyberpunk chaebol-capitalism type of future, where the goverment sort of runs them but they also sort of run the government 2. as if there weren't already enough reasons to break up your family, leave your home, the Zone of Thought will increase the attractiveness of migrating to try and have your child on american soil, so they can have 1000x the effective brain power of people born elsewhere 3. every country should probably try and either work towards a new ai security pact with the americans immediately or pool every ounce of national resources to try and create their own ASI labs lest you become complete intellectual, economic, and moral vassals to the united states of america and the output byproducts its ASIs (you wont even get to talk to them). if they succeeded (big if) this will imply a more global race and more risk factors than was previously implied by the formerly only "beating china" narrative -- but many will prefer it to the superintelligent monopolar value lock-in 4. the other alternative is to keep the tension between safety and concentration of power at the top of mind and for the government/labs to push for solving it, rather than instrumentalizing all other values to be subservient to minimizing ai harms. insofar as safety means defending properties of the fragile world we like, the diffuse nature of power is one of those properties 5. historically the americans have been really quite Benign about their global public goods hegemony despite the ability to extract significantly more rents than they do, and it makes it easy for people of all stripes to fight for america rather than under it. we probably don't have to, but i hope america overall works towards export promotion of american models rather than export control
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Jun 13
Why not just do a simple cap on the % of the country that can be foreign born. Successful immigration is based on your ability to assimilate. Assimilation is difficult and if you are not a very small minority there is not enough pressure to do so.
The rise of far-right political parties in Europe is pressuring governments to introduce stricter controls on immigration. Switzerland is set to vote on a proposal that would take things to the next level: a 10 million cap on its population. Tap the link for everything you need to know about the crucial vote: bloom.bg/4vL7yZO 📷️: Christian Ender/Getty Images
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