Slow Down and Zoom Out: Crypto Is Still in the 1980s Internet Era
Crypto today is fractured in almost a 1:1 fashion to how computers were networked back in the 70s and early 80s. In the 1980s, there wasn’t one internet -- there were ARPANET, BITNET, CSNET, and dozens of other isolated networks. Fragmentation and interop are terms crypto borrows from the compute networking past, not first principles. Crypto’s L1s, L2s, and L3s is just a new version of an old problem.
Most of the energy in crypto today is going into infrastructure and protocol development. Chains, market making, restaking, interop, DEXs, borrowing/lending; it is all plumbing. Essential for the system to work, but invisible to most people (as it should be). It’s the same as the 1980s, when TCP/IP, SMTP, and DNS were being hammered out at the protocol level of standardization.
Back then, mostly just engineers and researchers were computer networking fiends because the systems were so complex to deal with, just as only the terminally online today understand the memetics and game theory of early DeFi. In the 80s, internet users were concentrated in universities, research institutes, and governments. The analog in crypto is VC-backed chains, fintechs, and money managers: BlackRock with stablecoins, Stripe with payments, Wyoming with state-backed tokens. These are different organizations, but the same types of people.
This isn’t to say the infra isn’t world-changing in crypto. It just isn’t consumer-facing yet. Just as the internet was invisible before Mosaic, crypto hasn’t had its browser moment. Wallets are clunky, exchanges hard to onboard to, UX mediocre (though improving). There are not enough use-cases that allow people to *use* crypto, outside of just buying bitcoin and watching it go up.
Early computers and internet had similar UX issues. But Netscape was the level-step for the web in terms of onboarding the masses. It took complex protocols and made them interactive; finally there was something to click and magic to feel.
The most obvious candidate for a level-step in crypto is stablecoins paired with a simple payment app. I think stablecoins are email — the first real use case for crypto networks that everybody will need. I think a payment app might be Netscape — the moment crypto becomes obvious: money that moves instantly, globally, without banks in just a click for less than a cent. This will probably look/feel like a wallet, if I had to guess. Lots of people want to speedrun history, but that shortchanges how big an idea crypto really is.
I just do not think we are in the app age yet. It is still an era of B2B; of onboarding the networks that coordinate value (banks, governments, fintechs). Actual users are downstream of these networks. In general, believe we haven’t even hit the personal computer phase yet of cyrpto -- no super simple, felt experiences for everyday people. Social money, where payments and value flow like media (what Zora hints at now), is still decades away. Just as Facebook was 15 years after Mosaic (which was 15 years after arpanet), crypto’s social layer is still far off from being felt at scale.
Crypto is the best money technology invented since government and it's going to take awhile for it to spread across humanity and such. Don't get me wrong: crypto is here, it’s inevitable, but the work right now is infrastructure, of networking the networks of civilizations. Get institutions issuing assets, get employers paying in crypto, connect banks and fintechs -- the same way early computers first connected governments, firms, and universities. Woo