Geopolitics, economics, climate adaptation. Investor, advisor. Opinions are my own. “You may hate gravity, but gravity doesn’t care”. (Clayton Christensen)
Joined September 2021
- Tweets 17,444
- Following 1,131
- Followers 3,865
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3,195 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
9 Jan 2023
…, just remember, everything is going according to plan for Ukraine’s handlers.
9 Jan 2023
How many Ukranian men is the United States willing to sacrifice pushing its proxy war against Russia?
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Lindsay Graham: "All of them"
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The curious part is that the institutions now celebrating the simplification of the AI Act are largely the same institutions that created the complexity in the first place.
The strategic question is not whether regulation should be streamlined.
It is why Europe chose to regulate so extensively before establishing globally competitive AI champions.
In a sector moving at extraordinary speed, every year spent refining rules is a year competitors spend refining capabilities.
Technology leadership is usually achieved first and regulated second.
Europe often attempts the reverse.
@RnaudBertrand
Europe has what it takes to lead in Artificial Intelligence.
That is why @Europarl_EN has voted to simplify and streamline the EU AI Act.
Today’s decision will help unlock the potential of our economies - the researchers, the industry, and the SMEs that are making use of this technology.
Together, we are strengthening Europe’s tech competitiveness.
Thanks to Rapporteurs @ArbaKokalari and @McNamaraMEP for their work on this legislation.
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Jun 16
The question is not simply whether Ukraine should join.
It is whether the EU can absorb new members within its current structure, or whether enlargement will require the transfer of additional authority from member states to supranational institutions.
The debate is therefore not only about enlargement.
It is also about the future character of the Union itself.
And if further enlargement requires further centralization, then citizens are entitled to ask a simple question:
Has the Union’s performance in areas such as economic competitiveness, migration, energy, foreign policy, and security been sufficiently successful to justify transferring additional authority away from national governments?
@AndreaCepova
Jun 15
The EU is developing robust safeguards to ensure future member countries cannot backslide on reforms or use their veto power to obstruct the bloc after joining, Enlargement Commissioner Marta Kos said. politico.eu/article/eu-rules…
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Jun 16
The EU increasingly speaks of enlargement as though it were an administrative process rather than a consequential political choice.
Enlargement creates obligations that will last for decades: fiscal transfers, regulatory integration, institutional adaptation, and potentially new security commitments.
The curious part is that those who advocate enlargement most enthusiastically rarely ask Europe’s citizens whether they wish to assume those obligations.
In a functioning democracy, the larger the decision, the stronger the requirement for public consent.
The debate Europe needs is not whether enlargement sounds virtuous.
It is whether the Union can absorb it, finance it, govern it, and emerge stronger afterward.
Jun 15
A key milestone in Ukraine's EU accession journey 🇺🇦🇪🇺
Today, negotiations on Cluster 1 (Fundamentals) were opened.
A successful enlargement process benefits both Ukraine and the EU, helping build a stronger, more secure and more influential Europe.
➡️ link.europa.eu/4FBYNd
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Jun 15
“The Middle East provides a useful test case. Few regions affect European interests more directly. Energy flows, migration pressures, terrorism, trade routes, and broader geopolitical stability all intersect there.
If the European Union is to function as a geopolitical actor anywhere, it should be able to demonstrate influence in a region where its interests are so obvious and enduring.”
open.substack.com/pub/kristi…
@CheburekiMan @imetatronink
Jun 15
I welcome the agreement reached between the US and Iran, following sustained diplomatic efforts by several partners.
The priority now is its swift and full implementation by all parties.
This agreement should allow for the immediate reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
Freedom of navigation must be restored toll-free.
This is essential for regional stability and the global economy.
It opens the door to broader negotiations on peace and security in the Middle East.
And should end Iran’s nuclear and ballistic programmes and its destabilising activities in the region.
And of course there can be no peace in the Middle East while Lebanon is in flames.
Once again Europe calls on all parties to respect Lebanon's sovereignty and territorial integrity and implement a genuine ceasefire.
In Evian, G7 leaders will meet partners from the Gulf and the wider Middle East. Europe is ready to play its part.
This crisis also carries a clear lesson.
Once again, energy dependencies have been weaponised.
We must diversify our supply routes and develop alternative export corridors to diversify away from the bottleneck of Hormuz.
We will discuss this, and more, in Evian.
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Jun 13
Jun 12
Today, the European Union took a major step forward.
All member states agreed to open the first accession negotiations cluster with Ukraine and Moldova.
At the first intergovernmental conference on Monday, we will open the cluster on fundamentals; the backbone of the accession process.
It covers the core values and principles on which the EU is built, from the rule of law to strong democratic institutions.
This is a recognition of the determination, courage and hard work shown by both countries in advancing reforms, even in the face of immense challenges.
And a signal that the EU’s offer of peace, stability and opportunity is unmatchable.
Enlargement is a strategic choice.
By bringing our nations closer together, we strengthen peace, security and prosperity across our continent.
In a world marked by growing uncertainty, a larger European Union is in our common interest.
Enlargement remains one of the EU’s greatest success stories and our best investment in our shared future.
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Kristian Thyregod retweeted
Jun 13
Distinguished UChicago Prof. John Mearsheimer on why Poland and the Baltic states keep provoking Russia:
“They think they have the American security umbrella over them.”
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Jun 13
“In every era, small states surrounded by great powers learn to survive through discipline, diplomacy, and restraint.
The Baltic states have chosen a different path.
They have mistaken volume for influence and absolutism for security.”
May not end that well.
open.substack.com/pub/kristi…
Jun 13
Distinguished UChicago Prof. John Mearsheimer on why Poland and the Baltic states keep provoking Russia:
“They think they have the American security umbrella over them.”
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Jun 13
As Europe now debates reforms to the EEAS, a more uncomfortable question remains unanswered.
Has the European Union become more capable of shaping geopolitical outcomes?
Or has its rhetoric expanded faster than its influence?
My latest essay:
“Europe Has Failed Its Own Geopolitical Test”
The growing gap between strategic ambition and strategic influence.
@ivan_vibing @VanberghenEU @AndreaCepova @StevenEKuhn
open.substack.com/pub/kristi…
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Jun 13
“The extent to which small-state escalatory psychology has migrated into the EU’s institutions themselves is corroding the EU’s geopolitical standing, alienating partners outside the G7 orbit, and accelerating the perception that Europe has become a risk multiplier rather than a stabilizing pole.”
open.substack.com/pub/kristi…
@battleforeurope
Jun 12
We still need to understand the vital interest of Europe to have Ukraine with the best army in our security architecture and to strengthen 🇪🇺 defence. We need to increase our support to prevailing 🇺🇦 & to push for peace through strength.
Full speech ⬇️
ec.europa.eu/commission/pres…
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Jun 13
“Those advocating continued sacrifice should explain how current realities produce the outcome they seek.”
Thanks @Glenn_Diesen
open.substack.com/pub/kristi…
Jun 13
When our political-media establishment chant "stand with Ukraine", it means boycotting diplomacy and finance the kidnapping of Ukrainian men to use them in a campaign to weaken Russia as a strategic rival. If the majority of Ukrainians had a say, there would not have been a regime change in 2014, the 2015 Minsk agreement would have been implemented, the 2019 peace platform would not have been reversed, the 2022 Istanbul agreement would have been signed, and there would now be negotiations about the pan-European security architecture. However, the US and EU run Ukraine, and men are hunted on the streets to fight to the last Ukrainian in NATO's proxy war.
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Jun 12
The Metsola continuum:
Latch on to any opportunity for a self styled social media appearance and ignore the inconvenient fact that the EU merely speaks to itself, and its own policy-media bubble, and mistakes that loop for relevance.
"Much of what passes for “communication” from Brussels is little more than narrative management, intra-elite signaling, moral choreography, and personal-institutional promotion dressed up as public leadership."
open.substack.com/pub/kristi…
Jun 12
Great to be back in Bratislava and to meet Speaker @Richard_Rasi at the Parliament.
Close cooperation between our Parliaments helps us deliver better and faster for people and reinforces our commitment to protecting the European way of life 🇪🇺🇸🇰
ALT The President of the European Parliament Roberta Metsola with the Speaker of the National Council of the Slovak Republic Richard Raši, in Bratislava, Slovakia.
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Jun 11
“Why the Balticization of EU foreign policy is accelerating the Union’s geopolitical irrelevance.”
open.substack.com/pub/kristi…
Jun 11
EU countries weigh ‘tearing apart’ bloc’s diplomatic service ft.trib.al/QyXV3zL
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Jun 10
This is strategic autonomy in reverse: Europe builds rules that delay new features for Europeans, then reframes it as “protecting EU citizens from Big Tech.” Interoperability should increase choice, not mandate “EU tools” or turn EU users into late adopters by design.
@RnaudBertrand
Apple decided not to roll out SIRI AI in the EU.
The non-interoperability of their design made the update not suitable for the EU market.
Why? Because big tech companies cannot decide which EU tool should be used by EU citizens.
Learn more👇
📺youtube.com/shorts/ATg_W0N3K…
Community note
Apple proposed solutions including a "Trusted System Agent" and an 18-month rollout to enable Siri AI in the EU while complying with DMA, which regulators rejected. apple.com/newsroom/2026/…
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Jun 9
Ordinary EU citizens should watch this space carefully.
Thanks @mazzenilsson
Jun 9
Var på er vakt avseende European Democracy Shield EU:s Foreign Information Manipulation and Interference; FIMI-begreppet kritiseras redan internt för att vara för brett och riskera cirkulära argument där avsändarens status som sk. hotaktör gör att nästan vilket budskap som helst kan klassas som FIMI.
Rapporten nämner att en alltför bred tolkning kan leda till att legitim politisk kritik från exempelvis Ryssland eller Kina-sympatisörer, men även inhemska röster som ifrågasätter EU-politik, felaktigt stämplas som otillbörlig påverkan!
I Sverige, där åsiktsfriheten är grundlagsskyddad, kan en sådan breddning skapa otydlighet för myndigheter och plattformar.
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Jun 9
"If you can accelerate the pathway from “I dislike this” to “this must go,” you no longer need to win the argument. You just need to win the certification ecosystem."
Free speech aligned with European Union values.
Thanks @MarioNawfal
open.substack.com/pub/kristi…
Jun 9
🇩🇪 Google held 34 meetings with top German government officials to discuss suppressing "hate speech" and "disinformation" online.
Most were confidential and some were deemed "not suitable for public knowledge."
The meetings, revealed through a parliamentary question filed by the opposition AfD, included then-Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Google CEO Sundar Pichai, who attended 4 personally.
The implications go beyond Germany. Under the EU's Digital Services Act, content removed or algorithmically downranked applies globally, not just within EU borders.
If the secret meetings between a government and Google to shape what people can find online aren't information control, what is?
Source: Daily Sceptic, ZeroHedge / Writer: Julie
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Jun 8
The European Union of today:
Today, threats can travel faster than armies.
Cyberattacks, disinformation campaigns and disruptions to energy supplies can impact everyday life across Europe.
As threats evolve, so must our response.
Explore the latest Strategic Compass progress report: link.europa.eu/PhYkDw
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Jun 4
“This speaks to a deeper structural discomfort: the EU’s political class has become increasingly intolerant of debate at the precise moment it is asserting sweeping authority over security, information, and foreign policy.”
open.substack.com/pub/kristi…
Jun 4
Oui, je suis favorable à ce que Xenia Fedorova soit sanctionnée par l’UE.
Mais il ne s’agit pas d’une cabale personnelle : ce qui se joue, c’est le combat contre les ingérences russes dans nos processus démocratiques.
J’ai saisi l’Arcom pour que le rôle de CNews et Europe 1 soit clarifié. Les responsabilités de différents médias, comme la chaîne Thinkerview sur YouTube par exemple, doivent elles aussi être interrogées par les autorités compétentes.
Nos voisins de l’est de l’Union européenne sont pleinement mobilisés contre la guerre hybride menée contre nous par la Russie. À moins d’un an de la présidentielle en France, nous devons l’être tout autant.
Retrouvez mon interview dans Le Nouvel Obs nouvelobs.com/monde/20260604…
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Jun 4
That is how the EU builds a governance machine it would never defend in plain language.
@RothLindberg @mazzenilsson @AdaLluch
open.substack.com/pub/kristi…
Today I received the news that I was banned from the European Parliament because a video I posted a few months ago was too controversial.
Freedom is just an illusion in Europe.
We live under a tyranny.
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Jun 3
This reads like it was written by people who have never had to compete under cost pressure.
“Boost competitiveness” is not declared. It’s built by lowering friction: fewer rules, faster permits, cheaper energy, predictable taxes.
Where is the offset? Which directives get scrapped? Which reporting burdens disappear?
“Sound finances” plus four new ambitions is not a plan. It’s Brussels messaging. @RnaudBertrand
How can the EU become stronger, more competitive, and more resilient?
The 2026 Spring Semester Package provides guidance to EU countries on how to:
✅ Increase social cohesion
✅ Strengthen strategic autonomy
✅ Boost competitiveness
✅ Build economic resilience
…while maintaining sound public finances.
Read more: link.europa.eu/txhN8v
ALT European Semester promotional graphic on a blue background. White text reads: “European Semester” and “The Spring Package: Do Member States comply with the EU fiscal framework?” The words “Spring Package” are highlighted in lime green. The European Commission logo appears in the lower right corner, and “#EuropeanSemester” appears at the bottom.
ALT European Semester infographic titled “Assessment in 2026.” Member states are grouped into three categories based on projected compliance with the EU fiscal framework. Under “Projected Compliant” are Belgium, Czechia, Denmark, Germany, Estonia, Ireland, Italy, Greece, France, Cyprus, Austria, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Finland, and Sweden. “Risk of Non-Compliance” includes Luxembourg and the Netherlands (debt at or below 60% of GDP and deficit at or below 3%) and France and Spain (debt above 60% and/or deficit above 3%). “Risk of Material Non-Compliance” includes Sweden, Lithuania, Malta, and Croatia (debt at or below 60% and deficit at or below 3%), and Hungary, Slovenia, and Bulgaria (debt above 60% and/or deficit above 3%). A note indicates that outlined countries are compliant with the Stability and Growth Pact requirement to maintain a budget position close to balance or in surplus.
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May 28
EU statements always skip: how many more years of dead and maimed is this “pressure” assumed to require?
Alliance cohesion is not a war aim. It is a tool. Treating it as the aim is how wars become self-sustaining.
Conveniently, the EU is not the one doing the fighting.
May 28
We aim for a just and lasting peace in Ukraine. Europe needs a role at the negotiation table but not as a neutral mediator but as a party with its own vested interest.
Succesful talks would need to start with a full ceasefire and strong confidence building measures. 🇫🇮🇪🇺
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