Reporting on foreign policy. Current: Diplomatic Substack, Just Security ed bd. Al-Monitor Politico Foreign Policy alum. lkrozen threads, lkrozen.bsky, at gmail
Joined June 2009
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Laura Rozen retweeted
Just visited in late April. My favourite city (tied with Vancouver) in Canada. Great food, art, atmosphere
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Laura Rozen retweeted
Best food city in North America
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Laura Rozen retweeted
It is true that Iran used its power over the strait to assume leverage over the US and eventually compel a favorable settlement.
But this obscures what may be the more significant achievement: that after 40 days of bombing, Iran never lost the ability to both keep the strait closed and threaten regional infrastructure. Its missile cities still stand, its launchers survived, its drone/missile arsenal were depleted but, thanks to careful management, remain potent.
In the end, Iranian missiles and drones proved more effective at accomplishing their mission than US TLAMs, F-35s, and strategic bombers.
For nearly a half century, through eight American Presidencies, Iran has employed the most cost-effective tactic of warfare by seizing someone or something of value and holding it hostage. And while Iran has demonstrated its ability to hold out, sometimes for years, for what it wants, the U.S., with its two- and four-year election cycles, has limited patience. Read more about Iran’s hostage tactics: newyorkermag.visitlink.me/Wu…
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Laura Rozen retweeted
the fine print is…interesting
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We have had one knock out meal after another on a trip to Montreal, but highly recommend a newer Persian restaurant on Sherbrooke, called Bous, (which, incodentally, just got its liquor license yesterday). Really excellent
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Laura Rozen retweeted
Tarp security
The Kennedy Center’s name sign is still blocked by tarps and surrounded by security guards more than 12 hours after President Donald Trump’s name was removed from the building.
Just a handful of journalists and passersby waiting for the tarps to come down.
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Trump says Iran higher enriched uranium can be downblended in Iran, which I believe is what the Iranians proposed back in February, before the war:
“At the appropriate time, …we will go in & get the Nuclear Dust, …& downblend & destroy it, whether in Iran” or US
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Laura Rozen retweeted
Meanwhile, Pakistan’s FM tells his Saudi counterpart an electronic signing ceremony for the MOU will be held tomorrow.
Deputy Prime Minister / Foreign Minister Senator Mohammad Ishaq Dar @MIshaqDar50 held a telephone conversation today with the Foreign Minister of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Prince Faisal bin Farhan @faisalbinfarhan.
They welcomed the US–Iran negotiations in their final stage, with the electronic signing ceremony scheduled for tomorrow, and expressed the hope that this important development will contribute to lasting peace and stability in the region.
The Saudi Foreign Minister appreciated Pakistan’s consistent and sustained efforts in support of mediation and dialogue throughout the process.
Both sides also discussed the forthcoming Regional Four Foreign Ministers (R-4) meeting, scheduled to be held in Egypt later this month.
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Jun 13
Lot of leaning on “we’be structured this in a way” from senior US official.
The Jcpoa was very carefully strucitured and in far far more detail.
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Jun 13
US official, in a backgrounder, saying the Iranians are trying to do what the Trump side is clearly trying to do as well: sell the deal as a win domestically: “I think there are a few things to keep in mind here, guys. So, number one is that the Iranian hardliners, some of them want to kill the deal, but I think most of them actually want the deal, but they also want to message it to their internal audiences in a way that maximizes their upside and minimizes our upside. That's totally predictable, but just because they're sort of engaged in domestic propaganda doesn't mean that we have to follow suit.”
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Jun 13
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Sao: “they are committing indefinitely to never procure or develop nuclear weapons. that is a significant concession, something the president cared a great deal about, and then of course there's a separate issue about how do you enforce that, how do you ensure that that that doesn't happen, you know, we're not happy with a well, I just say we're happy with the commitment to not build a nuclear weapon, but we have to verify that, and that's why the deal is structured in the way that it is, is to ensure that there's a verification and inspections regime, and that they don't receive the benefits of the negotiation until we see that they're actually taking the affirmative steps in order to dismantle that nuclear program.
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Jun 13
Sao: … we're happy with the commitment to not build a nuclear weapon, but we have to verify that. & that's why the deal is structured in the way that it is, is to ensure that there's a verification and inspections regime, and that they don't receive the benefits of the negotiation until we see that they're actually taking the affirmative steps in order to dismantle that nuclear program.
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Jun 13
They have committed to first sentence repeatedly.
Jun 13
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Sao: “they are committing indefinitely to never procure or develop nuclear weapons. that is a significant concession, something the president cared a great deal about, and then of course there's a separate issue about how do you enforce that, how do you ensure that that that doesn't happen, you know, we're not happy with a well, I just say we're happy with the commitment to not build a nuclear weapon, but we have to verify that, and that's why the deal is structured in the way that it is, is to ensure that there's a verification and inspections regime, and that they don't receive the benefits of the negotiation until we see that they're actually taking the affirmative steps in order to dismantle that nuclear program.
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Jun 13
.. “Look, I feel very good about this deal. I think the President has got us in a very good spot. The negotiating team has got us in a very good spot. But let's see here, we're not quite at the finish line yet, but we are very close,
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Jun 13
… … “The broad regional peace agreement is broad. I mean. it includes Lebanon, it includes Iran, it includes the Gulf Coast countries, it includes Israel, and we feel quite confident that all of our allies, the Israelis and the Gulf Coast Coalition, will get on board.
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Laura Rozen retweeted
Jun 13
A refreshing awareness of political realities.
Perhaps they really will pull this off.
Jun 13
US official, in a backgrounder, saying the Iranians are trying to do what the Trump side is clearly trying to do as well: sell the deal as a win domestically: “I think there are a few things to keep in mind here, guys. So, number one is that the Iranian hardliners, some of them want to kill the deal, but I think most of them actually want the deal, but they also want to message it to their internal audiences in a way that maximizes their upside and minimizes our upside. That's totally predictable, but just because they're sort of engaged in domestic propaganda doesn't mean that we have to follow suit.”
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Laura Rozen retweeted
Jun 13
Crew at the Kennedy Center fueling up to comply with a midnight deadline on a court order, if the presumption of regularity prevails.
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