A informative read from DeepState about the real situation in Kostyantynivka. I encourage everyone to read. "📋 The situation around Kostiantynivka 🟡The situation around Kostiantynivka is unfolding in the most difficult scenario, as the enemy has emerged from all sides on the outskirts of the city and is exerting active pressure and infiltrating into the depths of the populated area. There are fixations of the enemy's infantry from the eastern part through Novodmytrivka and constant fixations from the side of Berehstka and Illinivka. 🇷🇺 Having reached the necessary positions, the enemy is gradually moving on to a long-term absorption of the city, where parts of the scenario of Pokrovsk are visible. For some reason, the same mistakes are being made with attempts at chaotic mop-ups of the city, while the enemy has space for advancement and can change its positions as needed. In communication with the fighters, they note the large number of Muscovite infantry, which is disproportionate to the available resources of the Defense Forces. 🏹As we predicted, the enemy is trying to break into the city's isthmus in the northern part and cut off the entire central and southern part from normal supply. The enemy can do this in the simplest way - by physically reaching the area with infantry and arranging ambushes and coordinating their pilots for fire control, as in Pokrovsk. This dynamic of advancements can be seen, in particular, on the map, which is represented by a gray zone. 🚀At the same time, the enemy is leveling the populated area itself and turning it into a complete ruin, which will soon be impossible to even hold. The haste of the Muscovites in their successes forces them to churn out videos with AI about the supposed capture of the city or its individual districts, and reaching the necessary positions, which predict this success in the future, pushes them to active pressure with colossal losses. However, it's worth remembering that the Muscovites don't count their people, so this tactic is normal for them and not a cause for joy. In Pokrovsk, they also lost a lot of infantry, which was constantly noted in the Ukrainian information space, but in the end, they captured Pokrovsk, and we also lost a colossal number of people. ⛳️ Kostiantynivka is the "gateway" for opening the Slaviansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration. The enemy knows this, understands it, and takes it into account for his further offensive actions. Once Kostiantynivka falls (and it's a matter of time), Druzhkivka will be next, which now plays an extremely important logistical role, and after that - Kramatorsk. As soon as Kostiantynivka comes under the control of the enemy, logistics for the Defense Forces in this area will change radically, creating additional difficulties in any movements, and even staying in Kramatorsk will become extremely dangerous, where enemy pilots will do their job. Next, the Muscovites will need to open another "gateway" to Slaviansk and Kramatorsk. And if earlier it was Liman, where there is now active pressure, now they can do it further south on the stretch from Mykolaivka to Malynivka, pushing through brigades that have problems, in particular, with personnel, because, unfortunately, the priority of replenishing troops is still assault units. ⚔️ The battle for Kostiantynivka is still going on..."

🚢Claims about Hormuz reopening are exactly why we built this: If ships start moving through the Strait with AIS transponders on, you’ll see it in the index — updated every 30 minutes alongside Suez, Bab al-Mandeb and Panama.

For months, Ukraine 🇺🇦 has been conducting a series of deep infiltrations on the Velika Novosilka front. Some of Russia’s 2025 gains have already been reversed, with the February counter-attack expanding to a 40-kilometer front. 🧵THREAD🧵1/12 ⬇️

FIRMS last 7 days. Russian glide bombs continue flattening Dobropillia's southern part, most of Kostyantynivka and the Lyman general area, where wildfires are also probably in full swing in the forests.

Das Kiel-Paper zur RU-Wirtschaft benennt viele Probleme richtig, aber die Summary dazu tut wirklich beim Lesen weh. Ok, der Kollaps-Fetisch: geschenkt. Aber dass das BIP nicht über die Inflation, sonder über den BIP-Deflator real angepasst wird, sollte ein Institut schon wissen.

This is going to be one of the hardest questions to answer in the application form 😂

Depuis janvier 2025, cinq cargos russes ont livré chars, blindés et drones au #Mali via le port de Conakry, nouveau hub logistique de Moscou en Afrique de l'ouest. Au coeur de celui-ci, le géant de l’aluminium Rusal joue un rôle clé. Enquête #Russie #Sahel jeuneafrique.com/1799706/pol…

Total net territorial change in May 2026: 15.01 km^2 for Russia. 🗺 playframap.github.io

ICYMI: Mit @ronzheimer sprach ich kürzlich über Russlands Eskalationsmöglichkeiten im (für Putin nicht gut laufenden) Krieg gegen die Ukraine. Besonders aktuell, angesichts des Einschlags einer russischen Drohnen in Rumänien gestern: open.spotify.com/episode/7rx…

With DeepState acknowledging Ukrainian counteroffensive actions in the Novopavlivka/Komar direction after holding OPSEC, many pro-Ukrainians and even some pro-Russians started spreading rumors of possible big Ukrainian counteroffensives and gains. I’d just like to stress in this post that this conception is totally incorrect, and that these counteroffensive actions have been ongoing already since April through slow and methodical advancements and infiltrations. Most importantly, the goal of this series of counterattacks towards Komar is strictly tactical; more specifically, the Ukrainians attacked with good organization and coordination a specific sector, which brought results. Moreover, I’d like people to differentiate between new blue and gray zones on DeepStateMap: what they show is that only a small area was cleared, while in the rest of the territory the Ukrainians simply overlapped their positions with the Russians, which still have a presence in their former March-April positions, and which still have the possibility to infiltrate up to there, while work is being done to turn this area from gray to blue. That said, I call to please moderate your hopes with this information in mind and avoid spreading unfounded hype and rumors.

Die russische Armee hat immer größere Probleme. Militärexperte Michael Kofman erklärt, ob die Ukraine jetzt den Krieg wendet und wie gefährlich Russland für Europa ist zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026…

Medvedev declares war on Russia 😅

I was also shown these screenshots several times yesterday and today. The statement in the post quoted is bluntly false – none of these photos or videos were captured at Starobilsk college. x.com/P_Kallioniemi/status/2…

Lot of work ahead.

Вставлю пять копеек про ролик якобы из центра Воин. Этот центр находится не в Старобельске (это никак не доказано), а в Луганске, частично в здании колледжа автосервиса. Об этом писал Леонид Пасечник, а на стройке был Сергей Кириенко t.me/glava_lnr_info/2123

Die gute Nachricht ist: Ich bin noch am Leben. Die schlechte Nachricht: Tja.

Looks like Ukrainian drones did not hit a rubicon hq as claimed, but some student dormitories and the building of the local college in Starobelsk. 10 people dead so far. That said, this is a rather rare incident compared to russian strikes on civilian targets in UA.

looks like the beginning of a campaign. unclear though, who is trying to convince whom.

In April Russians bought 81 luxury cars, including 26 Rolls-Royce, 25 Lamborghini, 24 Bentley and 4 Ferraris. This is the highest monthly number since November 2021 according to Autostat. Effect of sky-high rouble rate and crisis proofing I suppose.

Vor vier Jahren bombardierte Russland Mariupol. Satellitenbilder, Augenzeugen und Dokumente belegen, wie Putin die ukrainische Stadt zu einer russischen umbaut. trib.al/BAhECeb