@IsraelPolicy4m chief policy officer, Israel and Turkey observer, Red Sox obsessive, and father of three adorable kids. All opinions solely my own.
Joined January 2009
- Tweets 20,227
- Following 470
- Followers 11,483
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83 Photos and videos
(((Michael Koplow))) retweeted
New episode of the Iran Reckoning on what Israel will and won't accept, with @mkoplow & @AOstovar
warontherocks.com/episode/th…
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Jun 15
Let’s see what’s in the MOU and whether there’s anything beyond reopening Hormuz in return for ending the blockade, but don’t hold your breath for anything to happen at the end of the 60 day negotiating window. This was Trump’s MO with Gaza, and the Iran agreement has the hallmarks of the same pattern: negotiate a first phase that ends hostilities and gets the obvious stuff out of the way, promise a phase two that has all of the actual thorny issues and that never emerges, and declare victory and that peace has come to the Middle East.
I’ll be thrilled to be wrong, but my prediction is that the U.S. does not go back to war and also doesn’t get a deal that definitely ends the nuclear threat but rather downblends uranium that remains in Iran and gets some vague promises about future enrichment. Israel will have to swallow all of this, and concentrate all its efforts on the more immediate and proximate threat of Hezbollah, and tearing up the immunity card that it has just been given.
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Jun 11
The Israel-Iran-Hezbollah exchange on Sunday and Monday shows the box that Israel is in, though it also provided some new opportunities for Israel to probe. Here are three lessons for Israel to take away. israelpolicyforum.org/2026/0…
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(((Michael Koplow))) retweeted
Jun 11
🎧Latest #IsraelPolicyPod w/ @mkoplow @RCBrandenburg, recorded Tue:
—This week's Iran-Israel escalation
—Trump still seeking elusive Iran deal
—Lebanon front as likely spoiler
—US-Israel talks on new MOU
—Politics of Israel in the US more.
Listen: israelpolicyforum.org/2026/0…
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(((Michael Koplow))) retweeted
Jun 11
Auditing PA's prisoner and martyr payments (pay-to-slay) reform is the right call: trying to assess online rumors or relying on opaque public statements doesn't help the U.S. learn the real state of the reform or what might be needed to finalize it. The challenge is that whatever audit occurs needs to satisfy both Israeli and American concerns: the best way to do that is a U.S. government-led audit. 🧵
Jun 11
🧵New: Preliminary results of external audit determine PA welfare program reform properly implemented to ensure recipients no longer awarded based on whether relative carried out attack against Israel, 2 Western diplos briefed on matter told ToI (1/21) timesofisrael.com/external-a…
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(((Michael Koplow))) retweeted
On this #IsraelPolicyPod, @NeriZilber, @mkoplow, and @RCBrandenburg discuss this week's escalation between Israel and Iran, the ongoing negotiations over a new U.S.-Israel security assistance deal, the politics of Israel in America right now, and more. israelpolicyforum.org/2026/0…
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Jun 10
Very well done from my friend and former IPF colleague @elikowaz kowaz.substack.com/p/leaving…
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Jun 4
Israel's supporters often look at U.S. security assistance as the core of the strategic relationship. Israel's detractors often look at it as effective leverage. Neither is right, which is why everyone should start moving beyond the question of aid israelpolicyforum.org/2026/0…
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Jun 2
Much has changed over the last decade since the last U.S.-Israel MOU was signed, and a new agreement should reflect those changes while maintaining the critical strategic partnership that benefits both countries. This means focusing less on assistance, more on cooperation and the next generation of threats, and ensuring that the U.S. pushes to maintain shared democratic values while not letting real disagreements over those values doom the strategic relationship. Check out our full report and recommendations 👇
The time has come to chart the next phase of the U.S.-Israel security relationship.
Our new report by @RCBrandenburg, @GabrielEpsteinX, @elisaewers44, and @mkoplow lays out a vision for the next MOU: moving from a provider-recipient framework to a greater partnership.
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(((Michael Koplow))) retweeted
Jun 1
1/ Today, @IsraelPolicy4m released a new report: Partnership Recalibrated: The Next Era of U.S.-Israel Security Cooperation. As the U.S. and Israel begin discussing a new memorandum of understanding (MOU), the authors @mkoplow @RCBrandenburg @elisaewers44 @GabrielEpsteinX argue it's time to prep the security partnership for a new era. 🧵
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(((Michael Koplow))) retweeted
The time has come to chart the next phase of the U.S.-Israel security relationship.
Our new report by @RCBrandenburg, @GabrielEpsteinX, @elisaewers44, and @mkoplow lays out a vision for the next MOU: moving from a provider-recipient framework to a greater partnership.
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(((Michael Koplow))) retweeted
On this #IsraelPolicyPod, @NeriZilber, @mkoplow, and @ShiraEfron discuss the looming deal between the U.S. and Iran, what the agreement likely includes and critically omits, what impact it could have on the ongoing fighting in Lebanon, and more. israelpolicyforum.org/2026/0…
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May 27
Whether or not Trump's mandatory request that countries join the Abraham Accords as part of ending the Iran war goes anywhere, the notion behind it will leave Israel worse off in the region and with the U.S., and flies in the face of Accords themselves israelpolicyforum.org/2026/0…
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May 26
I have lost count of how many times in the past few months I have spoken to a Jewish audience and someone asks me why Netanyahu doesn't understand the impact of what he's doing on American Jews. The answer is that he absolutely understands; he just doesn't care even one iota.
May 26
Breaking: Netanyahu appointment for Israel’s Consul General in New York is his adviser Caroline Glick.
For years, Glick has promoted a highly confrontational line against the Reform and Conservative movements, which make up the majority of New York’s Jewish community.
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(((Michael Koplow))) retweeted
May 21
1/8 Hamas hasn't agreed to disarm. Israel hasn't agreed to withdraw. @nmladenov's new 15-point Roadmap is serious and worth reading — but it's built on assumptions that don't yet hold. 🧵
May 21
Following today’s #UN Security Council briefing, I am publishing the core elements of the proposed 15-point “Roadmap to Complete the Implementation of President Trump’s Gaza Comprehensive Peace Plan” in plain language.
• Points 1–5: Principles
• Points 6–11: Security
• Points 12–14: International Stabilization Force and IDF Withdrawal
• Point 15: Reconstruction
A thread (1/16) 🧵
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May 21
Israelis are focused on whether or not fighting will resume with Iran, what will transpire in Lebanon, and the coming elections. Gaza is on the back burner, but it won't be for long, as events are pushing a resumption of full-scale military operations israelpolicyforum.org/2026/0…
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May 20
Making Ben Gvir a minister was a choice. Making him the minister in charge of the police specifically was yet another choice. His conduct and views have not changed from then until now, and yet he has remained in place for 3 1/2 years. That makes Bibi’s disavowals meaningless.
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(((Michael Koplow))) retweeted
In this Inside Israeli Politics, @xlederman assesses whether Netanyahu's coalition is collapsing and unpacks current dynamics in the relationship between Netanyahu and the Haredi parties. Read here: israelpolicyforum.org/2026/0…
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May 14
European sanctions targeting groups and people in the West Bank are not about settler violence, but settlements. There is a straight line between Trump and Smotrich's upending of the status quo with Europe and on the ground, and what the EU is pursuing israelpolicyforum.org/2026/0…
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May 13
Enjoyed returning to @Hartman_Inst Identity/Crisis with Yehuda Kurtzer to talk about the Iran war, its impact on U.S. and Israeli politics, and the consequences of all this for American Jews podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
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