Pres. of @SDEWES_Centre, co-Ch. of @EASACnews Energy Steering Panel, Prof. in energy planning, economics, policy, management & system analysis. IPCC AR7 WG3 CLA
Joined September 2010
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Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
The "renewables shield" is the result of Spanish wind and solar growing by a massive 37% between 2021 and 2025.
That expansion slashed gas' influence from over half of hours to just 9%, decoupling electricity prices from volatile gas markets.
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Finally a plan for battle of Narva
Jun 15
🇩🇪 “In the event of a war with Russia, NATO will strike Kaliningrad, the Kola Peninsula, St. Petersburg, and the waters of the Black Sea,” — states the Commander of the German Air Force, Lieutenant General Holger Neumann.
In his first interview with a British newspaper, the head of the Luftwaffe (German Air Force) noted that in the event of an attack on the Western Alliance, its forces will carry out devastating air strikes on Russia.
In another warning directed at Moscow, he emphasized that in NATO “there are no different security zones — this means that an attack on Estonia will trigger exactly the same response as an air strike on London.”
Lieutenant General Neumann added that if NATO is forced to defend itself, the Kola Peninsula in northwestern Russia, Kaliningrad, and the Black Sea will feel the full wrath of the Alliance — “Germany is ready to fight against Russia already today and will defend every centimeter of NATO territory,” — states the Luftwaffe commander.
This is a strong and unambiguous deterrent statement from one of NATO’s key military leaders. It clearly signals that any aggression against a member state will be met with overwhelming force across multiple strategic Russian regions. The emphasis on unified response and the absence of “different security zones” reinforces Article 5 and aims to dissuade Russia from testing NATO’s resolve, particularly in the Baltic region.
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Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Jun 15
Путин считает, что Запад «вымирает и вырождается», а Россия «выбирает жизнь»
Население за годы правления Путина:
🇺🇸 США ( 67 млн)
2000 год: 282 млн
2026 год: 349 млн
🇪🇺 Европа ( 36 млн)
2000 год: 499 млн
2026 год: 535 млн
🇷🇺 Россия (-4 млн)
2000 год: 147 млн
2026 год: 143 млн
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Jun 15
Those intermittent nuclear
Jun 13
France’s EDF warned that it may be forced to curb nuclear energy output due to higher river temperatures 🇫🇷 ☢️
Production restrictions could take place from June 15 for two days at the Saint-Alban nuclear site. Hotter weather risks tightening French power supply this summer
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Jun 15
Europe needs nodal markets.
Jun 14
“The current design of European electricity markets does not sufficiently reflect these physical constraints nor provide accurate locational signals,” Entso-E said in a position paper.
montelnews.com/news/f3233179…
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Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Jun 11
🇪🇺"Do renewables make power cheaper or more expensive?"
Wrong debate.
the below chart settles what actually drives European electricity prices and it isn't the share of wind and solar.
It's how often GAS sets the price.
🔸How pricing works?
in power markets, the most expensive plant needed in any hour sets the price for EVERYONE in that hour even if 80% of supply is cheap wind, hydro or nuclear.
So the question isn't "how much gas do you burn?" It's "how many hours is gas the marginal unit?"
The spread is brutal:
Finland: gas sets the price 14% of hours → €40/MWh.
Italy: gas sets the price 82% of hours → €116/MWh.
Nearly 3x the price, on the same continent, in the same year.
Note the outliers UK and Poland pay less than their gas-hours suggest.
And the broader finding is that more renewables shows NO clear effect on retail prices, but meaningfully LOWER industrial prices.
Renewables don't cut prices by existing they cut prices by pushing gas off the margin.
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Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Good morning with good news: World nears peak gas!
Gas' global share peaked in 2020 at 23.89%, fell to 21.75% in 2025 & declined for 5 years.
Coal peaked in 2007 at 40.84%, falling to 33% in 2025.
What Rose?
RE rose from 18% in 2007 to 33.76% in 2025!
ember-energy.org/latest-insi…
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Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Jun 7
JUST DROPPED: Pakistan's solar boom is one of the energy transition's wildest stories, and nobody planned it.
World's #2 panel importer in 2025, mostly on rooftops. No subsidy, no scheme.
But it also has a dark side.
More in my latest newsletter:
janrosenow.substack.com/p/pa…
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Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Jun 8
It is time to transform Europe into the world’s first electro-continent.
Now is the time to push fossil fuels out of our energy system.
Now is the time to bring Europe’s power to life.
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Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Andrey Bezrukov, an adviser to Rosneft CEO Igor Sechin, said at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum that Russia would remain in a state of war for the next "couple of decades."
According to him, Russia must learn to live with war, while its state system and economy should be structured not only around development, but also around defense.
He also said that Russia would see the emergence of two "wartime generations" and admitted that drone strikes reaching any region of the country have become a serious problem for which Russia was unprepared.
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Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
Jun 3
Laos just implemented a total ban on all petrol- and diesel-vehicle imports, to at least end-2026
>EV and hybrid sales are already 36% of new sales
>Laos wants 30% of all vehicles on the road to be electric by 2030, so EVs will be 75% to 100% of all vehicle sales over the next few years (that's just the math)
>Laos bleeds $1.27b/year on refined petroleum imports alone, in a country with a GDP of $17b. Laos has zero domestic oil reserves and imports 100% of its refined petroleum products. That's macro-economic suicide for a hydro powerhouse with 26.5GW of water-based energy potential, positioned as the “battery of SE Asia”. The ban will drastically cut that import bill
Wires are chewing pipelines
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Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
In our latest analysis, the EU recorded a €128 billion goods trade surplus in 2025, despite a structural €299 billion energy trade deficit.
Without imported fossil fuel dependence, Europe’s goods balance would have been close to €427 billion.
This deficit will not fall to zero, but large-scale electrification over the coming decades could cut Europe’s fossil fuel import dependence by more than half.
Every geopolitical crisis highlights the same energy vulnerability.
The structural response requires accelerating electrification, scaling domestic clean energy, strengthening pan-European interconnectors, upgrading grids and storage, and completing a genuine single European energy market.
Read the full article: renaissanceeurope.org/insigh…
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Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
May 29
‘Electrification is the answer to save Europe’s industry,’ IEA tells Euronews
euronews.com/my-europe/2026/…
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Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
May 28
Swiss nuclear power plants: Dependence on Russia remains immense.
greenpeace.ch/de/story/13263…
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May 29
Domino effect continues. European backward car industry attacked from two sides. Still fighting for the future of Diesel.
FSD Supervised now approved in Estonia🇪🇪. Rollout will begin soon
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FSD is now available in 3 European countries!
🇳🇱🇱🇹🇪🇪
FSD Supervised now approved in Estonia🇪🇪. Rollout will begin soon
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May 28
Demand response finally hits in Europe ... there should be dynamic pricing on 15 min periods.
May 27
France is looking to encourage electricity consumption during periods of high solar generation
🇫🇷🔆
montelnews.com/fr/news/59919…
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Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
May 27
France is using its nuclear fleet to execute an aggressive geopolitical play, attempting to break "The Impossible Energy Trinity" while leading a direct revolt against Brussels.🇫🇷☢️
My new brief on Energy Geopolitics & Statecraft is live
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Neven Duїc 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪🇲🇩 retweeted
May 22
Europe's gas problem is more solvable than the debate suggests.
94% of EU gas demand sits in buildings, industry & power. In all three, electric alternatives are already commercially competitive.
Barrier is deployment, not invention.
More Sunday here: janrosenow.substack.com/
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