“The best way to predict the future is to invent it.”
-- Alan Kay
Prediction markets add one wrinkle:
if you invent the future you predicted, the CFTC may want a word about your MNPI.*
* Material Nonpublic Information
#PredictionMarkets#CFTC#Kalshi#Polymarket
Mental models for termination:
- Everything that has a beginning has an end
- Memento mori
- Chekhov's gun
- Lindy Effect
- Armageddon
- MAD (Mutually-assured Destruction)
- Nick Bostrom's Existential Risks & Doomsday Scenarios
- Paperclip Maximizer
- Halting Problem
- Lyapunov f
In refining 0x328519 : 0xB81C6 (Longbranch) in 00h 05m 13s 462ms I have brought glory to the company.
Praise Kier.
2️⃣5️⃣3️⃣7️⃣1️⃣
9️⃣9️⃣0️⃣4️⃣1️⃣
6️⃣8️⃣5️⃣0️⃣2️⃣
2️⃣4️⃣5️⃣1️⃣0️⃣
9️⃣2️⃣2️⃣6️⃣8️⃣
#mdrlumon#severance 🧇🐐🔢💯
lumon-industries.com
"Build a company that even idiots can run, because eventually they will."
-- Warren Buffet
"Build a company that even agents can run, because eventually they will."
-- @nivertech
"Prediction markets” is a misnomer.
The standard narrative says traders predict outcome probabilities.
But so does anyone buying stocks, real estate, or gold.
Markets optimize for payoff, not truth.
CC is still a tool, it cannot set goals & achieve them autonomoulsy
For that u need a Dark Factory & that beyond a huge R&D CapEx of $200K, will also cost u $1000/day per dev, for 6-9-9 it will be $30K/mo per employee
Humans r much cheaper, esp. offshore
x.com/trikcode/status/203315…
Software engineers are the happiest people on Earth now.
They pay $100/month for Claude Code to do the work.
Their employer pays them $10,000/month for the results.
$9,900 profit for sipping coffee and talking to AI.
The funniest part?
Not a single dev with a full-time job will ever admit this publicly
What a time to be alive.
🧵dark fiber
💻dark silicon
🗄 dark data
🕸 dark web
₿ dark money
🏦dark pools
📦 dark stores
🍔 dark kitchens
🏭 dark warehouses
🚁 dark drones
🖥 dark IT
📋 dark Jira
⚙️ dark factories
🕶 agents went to the dark side
🌑 the future is dark
Enough with poker metaphors: Big bets, Doubling down, Going all in. a) Building products isn't a bet - we have ways to validate ideas and assumptions. b) Professional poker players never bet out of intuition or gut-feeling. They bet based on available info and probabilities.