Centre for Economy and Growth @orfonline.

Joined January 2017
8,292 Photos and videos
#India#EU Security and Defence Partnership opens access to the €150 billion #SAFE framework, enabling co-development and supply-chain integration, but within strict #EU design authority and 35% content limits shaping outcomes: @rawatra10 & Suryansh Tripathi or-f.org/38311
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Cases like #AAPLvSriLanka show tribunals address host-state conduct but not harm caused by third states. Without #UN compensation mechanisms (as after #Iraq’s invasion of #Kuwait), war costs keep falling on private actors: Jyoti Singh or-f.org/38343
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One shock hit #India's export side. The other hit the import side. #US tariffs at 50% and Brent crude at US$120 tested the domestic-demand growth model simultaneously, and the classical adjustment mechanisms worked only partially: @BardhanArya or-f.org/38455
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War may violate international law, but its #economic costs rarely fall on the state that breaks the rules. In conflicts involving the #US, #Iran, and #Israel, investors and host states absorb losses through disrupted contracts, damaged assets, and regulatory shocks: Jyoti Singh or-f.org/38343
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#YoungVoices | As demand for #lithium, cobalt, and #nickel surges, deep-sea mining offers diversification beyond fragile supply chains. Yet unclear ownership, global commons governance, and ecological risks complicate equitable access and #investment: Priya Noronha or-f.org/38298

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Jun 13
#India signed FTAs with the #EU, the #UK, #Oman, and #NewZealand. UNCTAD ranked it third in the Global South for #trade diversification. This is Vinerian trade diversion as a deliberate strategy, but FTAs with smaller economies cannot replicate the scale of the #US market: @BardhanArya or-f.org/38455
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Jun 13
The #Iranwar and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have added a new layer of urgency. When #GCC governments redirect SWF capital toward domestic stabilisation, #India's infrastructure financing calculus changes — and the window for #China to step in widens: @soumyabh_swears or-f.org/38598
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ORFEcon retweeted
Do read this @orfmiddleeast report “Whither the Board of Peace? Perspectives from #Washington and the #Gulf” Edited by @SinGulfura, the report examines how the #BoardofPeace implicates and intersects with national interests and strategies in the region orfonline.org/research/whith…
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