Just like the internet, the most ambitious forecasts will wildly underestimate the impact of AI

More than 20-years ago, I started calculating global temperature anomaly on daily (and 6-hourly) time scales with numerical weather prediction model data -- a pioneer in some regards -- but it eventually caught on! I just didn't trust the surface temperature record without the data assimilation constraints. Some did not like the methodology, but it's now standard across globe -- at least for monthly averages. I like the higher-frequency data in order to show the dependence of global temperature on weather time scale features (synoptic scale) especially since we're talking about 2-meters above ground, and not sea-surface temperatures. ERA5 and JRA-3Q are the two 5th Generation NWP Reanalysis commonly used. Here's 2009-2026 (as of 3-days ago) Like a stock ticker 📈or heart EKG♥️we can take the daily pulse of the planet. Global temperatures until the El Niño of Summer 2023 were not rising very much hovering around 0.2°C over 1991-2020 climatology (add 0.85°C for pre-industrial) so 1.05ºC. But the spike in summer 2023 was dramatic, and we've slowly planed off from the record high 365-day mean (red line) reached in mid-2024. Is this evidence of "accelerated warming" ? I don't think so BUT this ongoing El Niño is the true test the next 1-2 years. Global warming happens in steps -- are we going to step up again? Daily temperature analysis shows this much better than monthly.

Breakdown of support and the moving average on #CRUDEOIL is shift in trend. Price settling below year-long average can open the range towards 65 levels.

June severe setup with active jet across the north

Limited spots in the 40s this time. Still great for mid June

Because it’s not necessary like it was decades ago. You’d think he would at least mention that.

Sunset this evening is at 8:35pm. We continue to gain daylight up until the Summer Solstice, which is this Sunday (the same day as Father's Day). So, that means over the next four weeks, we actually will lose daylight. We lose 13 minutes of daylight through July 13th. #sunset

Keep squeezing out nights in the 40s here n there yet temps have been well above for months now. Another one?

Update on the $1 Trillion Club: SpaceX $SPCX 20% gain today leaves it worth $2.52 trillion. It's ~$130 billion away from Amazon $AMZN (the equivalent to about one CVS $CVS or Salesforce $CRM). NVIDIA $NVDA is back above $5 trillion.

It’s been a hot start to Summer 🔥

The year is 1825. Inequality is surging as industrial expansion begins to boom across the USA. John Jacob Astor, a fur trader and real estate investor becomes the USA's first millionaire. Socialist politicians explode in anger and tell the American public that this inequality is unfair and we need to ban millionaires so this never happens again. Fast forward 200 years - the politicians were ignored. The USA has become the wealthiest country in human history by a huge margin. The median American is wealthier than 90% of the rest of the world. Capitalism won.

Philadelphia's 1.06" of rainfall on Sunday was the wettest single day (excluding frozen precip) since December 19, 2025 (1.48"). #PAwx Wilmington's 2.17" of rainfall on Sunday was the wettest since June 30, 2025 (2.24"), & broke the daily precip record of 1.60" from 1939. #DEwx

WTI 🛢️year-to-date

Yikes! No rain at all in the Extreme Drought areas. Soaking around Philly.

Finally! First since Memorial Day weekend

What the hell is with these olive green 🫒 dewpoint maps

Encouraging. But a long way to go

Western PA with a severe outbreak just reinforces that we’ve been stuck in the same pattern for the last few years.