Rough close.
$ASTS at $83 while SpaceX ripped 19% on debut. Here's what actually happened today.
Funds that held space proxies sold them to chase
$SPCX on day one. Classic rotation - dump the proxy, buy the listing. And judging by the volume, it seems even some
$ASTS holders rotated at least part of their position into the shiny new listing to make a quick buck. Add today's options expiry clearing out a month of call positioning and you get a -17% day on zero company news. Read that last part again. Zero. Company. News.
What didn't change today: BB8-10 launches in 5 days. Radar testing for the Space Force is now active. The $1.2B backlog. The carrier JV. The 2-year head start Roth Capital wrote about this week.
What DID change: SpaceX is now a public company that every analyst will model - including their D2D segment, which they sized at $740B. Every SPCX research report written from today forward is free education on the market where
$ASTS holds the low-band spectrum and carrier trust.
Rotation days end. Launches don't care about fund flows.
I'm as hurt as some of you are today. But when I think about where this price will be at the end of this year - and the end of next - this is noise.
$ASTS 🛰️