Indian & Global Markets | Macro | Geopolitics | Sectors
Joined October 2016
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Apr 16
Global nuclear funds returned 123% in 2025 β lapping every clean energy category.
Apr 15
A structured play on India's shift from 8.8 GW to 100 GW nuclear capacity by 2047.
Private capital can now build, own, and operate nuclear plants for the first time since Independence. The government's target is unambiguous: 8.8 GW to 100 GW by 2047 β an 11x scale-up requiring βΉ15 lakh crore in investment.
The real alpha in India is not uranium sourcing β itβs the EPC and precision component supply chain, which is where MTAR, L&T, and BHEL sit.
Nuclear funds up 123% globally in 2025 β leading every clean energy category.
Solar, wind, grid β all beat the market. But nuclear lapped them all. This trend is coming to India too.
The play here isnβt uranium β Indiaβs fuel sourcing is still state-controlled.
The real money is in the reactor-build supply chain.
Early innings. Long runway.
#NuclearEnergy #IndiaInvesting
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NSE IPO should price around 1500, against 1950 in the unlisted market.
At 1500, thatβs ~3.71 lakh crore mcap β roughly 36x FY26 earnings. Rich, but it leaves room for a 25-30% listing pop.
A 5 lakh crore valuation at IPO, where the unlisted market sits today, feels too aggressive. For context, BSE came at ~17x.
And BSE itself looks due for a meaningful correction β the stockβs run up 40x while NSE has done 10x.
Just my read. Letβs see how it plays out.
#BSE #NSE #NSEIPO #BSE #IPO
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Defence blasted today. Top to bottom.
Paras 18%, MTAR 8%, Data Patterns 6.5%, GRSE 5.8%, HAL 4.8%, Cochin 4.8%.
Called the index breakout on the 6th when it was still testing ATH near 9500. The range broke, and the rotation did the rest. Still early.
#DefenceStocks #NiftyDefence #ParasDefence
Nifty India Defence Index breaking out of its long consolidation any time soon.
After months of range-bound action, the weekly chart is testing key levels near its ATH 9500. Defence sector showing clear leadership with strong relative strength.
Rally Leaders:
1. Bharat Forge
2. Solar Industries
3. MTAR Technologies
4. Data Pattern
5. Astra Microwave Products
6. Zen Technologies
7. Apollo Micro System
While many others continue to lag. Classic sector rotation play in motion.
Indiaβs defence push (orders indigenisation) is still in early innings.
#NiftyDefence #DefenceStocks #HAL #BEL #mtar #DATAPATTERN
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Covered Aeroflex at 271 on 25th April.
Today it touched 518. Almost a double in seven weeks. π
Thesis was never complicated β liquid cooling for AI data centers scaling from sub-10% to 30-35% of topline by FY29, margins walking up to 25%, debt-free balance sheet. The data center booster did exactly what it was meant to.
#Aeroflex #StockMarketIndia
May 10
Aeroflex Industries - Covering a few key points and growth guidance.
- Management is expecting 1K Cr top-line by FY29 from the current top-line of 442 Cr.
- Margin expansion from the current 23% to 25%; assembly mix shift liquid cooling margins drive expansion to 25%
- liquid cooling AI Data Center - peak top-line contribution to be 30%-35% by FY29; currently it's below 10%
- Essentially a debt-free company
- The Data Center is the booster for the recent performance
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Posted #ParasDefence at 812 a few weeks back.
Today it's at 1218. Up ~50%.
Drones and missiles are the future of warfare. The market's just starting to price it in.
#ParasDefence #DefenceStocks #Multibagger #Investing #Stockpick
May 24
Massive increase in defence spending by countries - Drones and missiles are the future of warfare.
Paras Defence deals in optics, laser defence, anti-drone, and electromagnetics.
CMP 812 | Market Cap 6500 Cr
π 5 new verticals. Air refuelling. Hydrogen drones. Quantum tech. Laser air defence. Cannons.
π βΉ928 cr order book today
π Potential βΉ1,100-1,200 cr with near-term inflows
π 30-40% revenue growth targeted for FY27 & FY28
π Margins expected to hold or improve
π βΉ12K cr Optics Park from 2028
π Net debt free
#parasdefence
#Investing
#Stockpick
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Bajaj Finserv. Three lower highs since November, every one of them kissing the same descending trendline and getting sold.
But the βΉ1,600 base has held twice now, and price is turning back up.
Target's simple β the trendline itself, βΉ1,950-2,000. The third touch is where a trend either breaks or bends.
Get there and a 7-month downtrend is suddenly on the table.
#BAJAJFINSERV #BREAKOUT
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Motisons Jewellers. βΉ33 to βΉ9 over 18 months, one of the ugliest charts in small-cap jewellery.
Then yesterday β life-high volume, and the multi-month descending trendline finally breaks.
The trigger isn't a mystery. βΉ150cr QIP at βΉ11.05, six institutions stepping in right at the lows.
When this much stock changes hands at the bottom, the tape is telling you something.
#motisons
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Jun 15
#WELENT rebounding strongly & knocking on breakout!
Pushing towards the key βΉ580 resistance zone after a solid base. Volume supporting the move.
Break above here opens fresh upside.
#Breakout #Rebound #IndianMarkets
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Jun 15
#NSDL breaking out! π₯
Weekly chart finally clearing the long downtrend line from the highs.
Was trading at ~βΉ1400 in the unlisted market earlier β now listed and building momentum from the base.
Watch this space.
#Breakout #IndianMarkets #NSE
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Jun 14
Technologies change. Human behavior does not. Investors repeatedly make the same mistakes. They overestimate short-term growth, underestimate competition, and confuse a great invention with a great investment.
β Alasdair βSandyβ Nairn, Engines That Move Markets: Technology Investing from Railroads to the Internet and Beyond
Railroads. Electricity. The telephone. The PC. The internet. Every cycle, same script β euphoria, capital floods in, hundreds of companies launch, most disappear.
Today the engine is Artificial Intelligence. The invention is real and generational. But Nairnβs warning still holds: a great invention is not the same as a great investment. The winners get bought at any price; the survivors get sorted later.
#AI
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Jun 13
Hearing loud noise about a βflash crashβ in the upcoming days.
But no one can perfectly time the market.
What matters: Niftyβs forward multiple is ~17x on FY27 estimates β the lowest since the COVID crash.
Earnings recovery is just beginning rock-bottom valuations pessimism at ATH Fear >> Greed.
This exact combination has historically created some of the best entry points. The setup is building.
#Nifty #IndianMarkets #Investing
Monday Morning. June 8, 2026.
The pessimism around India right now is thick β markets, policy uncertainty, FIIs walking out.
But letβs not forget: India paid a real price for being not into AI. Weβre a services economy, and when the world went all-in on AI infrastructure, money moved away from us.
That trade is now unwinding. AI euphoria is cooling, and capital is looking for the next story.
Tables turn. Always have. No bull market dies with a headline, and no bear market lasts forever.
#India #Nifty #FII #IndianMarkets
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Jun 11
#NASDAQ then vs now.
Dot-com: Oct'98 low β Mar'00 peak ( 351%) β Oct'02 crash (β74%)
Today: Oct'22 low β May'26 peak ( 195%) β ____'26.?
The shapes rhyme. The question is whether history completes the sentence. @riteshmjn
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Jun 11
Sepβ24 peak. Mayβ26 floor.
Inflows peak when markets peak. Inflows dry up when markets bottom.
We are close to capitulation.?
#MutualFunds #EquityMF #SIP
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