Weather forecasts help farmers better plan their day-to-day work 🚜 But what if they could have predictions in the long term?
@CopernicusECMWF developed a prototype service with predictions of drought conditions for wheat crops up until 2025
Have a look:
climate.copernicus.eu/decada…
ALT Global map with a highlight over Granada in Spain. The map shows decadal predictions of multi-year averaged SPEI6 for 2021-2025. SPEI6 is an estimate of climate water balance accumulated over the six-month period prior to the wheat harvesting month.
This global map provides information on the most likely tercile category for multi-year averaged SPEI6 for the years 2021-2025 and its probability of occurrence (shown as %). For instance, the most likely category for the selected area (Granada, Spain) is the below normal category with a 64% likelihood of occurrence and hence the chosen area is presented in red on the global map. Darker shades of red, yellow and blue correspond to a higher probability of the event falling into the below normal, normal and above normal category of SPEI6, respectively.