Exploring the market's runoff.

Joined September 2016
5,866 Photos and videos
Jun 12
Second-order effect: PFOF becomes more lucrative. Tailwind for $HOOD $BULL etc.
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Jun 12
As a deal becomes more likely, isn't it a threat for $BWET, the tanker shipping ETF? High shipping prices esp on Gulf --> China routes lifted this ~10x over the past year. They may not necessarily crash, but are further hikes really probable?
The Necessary Evil Given President Trump's clear reluctance to return to war with Iran, and given that Tehran was never going to surrender its core demands regardless of military pressure, this agreement should be understood for what it is: a necessary evil. After the failure of the military option to achieve its key objectives, the administration found itself facing hard realities. The United States could not reliably prevent Iran from threatening the Strait of Hormuz, nor could it force the removal of the roughly 440 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60% that remain inside Iran. Under these circumstances, Washington had limited leverage and few attractive alternatives. The agreement is far from ideal, but the realistic alternatives were either a prolonged conflict with uncertain outcomes or continued escalation without a clear path to resolving the underlying problems. Critics will undoubtedly argue that the deal rewards Iranian intransigence, and that criticism may yet push Trump to reconsider. But his fundamental challenge remains the same: there is no obvious military option that can simultaneously reopen the Strait, eliminate Iran's enriched uranium stockpile, and avoid a wider regional war. This is not an agreement born of choice. It is an agreement born of necessity. A necessary evil. #iran
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Jun 11
any confirmation from Iran?
BREAKING: President Trump says he has cancelled scheduled strikes on Iran and the time and place of a deal signing will be “announced shortly.”
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Jun 11
Why is $SKLZ rebranding now? Wouldn't surprise me if it sells off the Skillz business after the current litigation is resolved (or maybe even as part of a settlement).
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Jun 11
$CD Chaince Digital once was a failed bitcoin miner. Then it pivoted to shitco investment banking. The 10-Q filed less than a month ago said "the financial services and advisory business has become the Company’s primary operating focus and a core component of its long-term strategy." That business was also a disaster. Last quarter it generated revenue of $507k and losses over $1m (excluding even more losses from discontinued crypto biz). Now, these geniuses say they are going to leverage their legacy of failure to four new businesses: - space-based data centers - AI/HPC infraastructure - quantum cooling systems - brain-computer interfaces Sure. I remain short otm calls.
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Jun 10
this seems true, which is unusual for a statement attributed "US official to Barak Ravid"
US strikes on Iran have started - US official to Barak Ravid
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Jun 10
.@deltaone has a serious challenger for breaking headlines. @chitrader is a must-follow for me.
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May 22
First I heard of $YB. Thanks @stock_logging for raising this and your transparency. I like the idea. Bought a starter position but won't size unless the price trend turns positive.
$YB IMO if you talk about stocks publicly, you also have to be transparent about your losers. Yuanbao is one of those losers for me. The stock has lost more than 50% since my writeup at the end of July 25. I completely sold my position on May 12th and rotated the money into HROW. The frustrating part is that my assessment of the business in the deep dive was spot on. The fundamental development played out almost exactly as I expected: top-line growth of >30% in the quarters following my analysis, coupled with expanding margins and outstanding cash generation. But none of that helped the stock price. The market seemingly couldn't care less that the stock is now trading at an NTM FCF yield of probably 45% and a fwd PE of roughly 2.5, while currently holding 97% (!) of its market cap in cash & equivalents on the balance sheet. In my writeup back then, I correctly highlighted selling pressure from legacy shareholders and the low free float as risks. However, I clearly underestimated their magnitude. It seems the early VC investors are creating constant selling pressure by offloading their shares. Consequently, the chart looks absolutely catastrophic, and not just since today’s news regarding $FUTU and $TIGR. Of course, management's ongoing refusal to initiate shareholder returns, despite hinting at it multiple times during earnings calls, isn't helping as well. At the current valuation, a C-suite that actually cares about its shareholders should be announcing a buyback program for >50% of the outstanding shares. Why this still hasn't happened is beyond me. Ultimately, before selling, I asked myself whether I would average down again, and the answer was no. With HROW, I had that conviction, which is why I rotated my money. Of course, all of you should know that I’m not giving financial advice here, but I am still truly sorry for anyone who discovered the stock through me and lost money on it. But I guess losing is just part of the investing game.
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Jun 10
nice report today. $YB announced strong results, a $1.26 per ADS annual dividend, and a $15m share repurchase. Adding.
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Jun 10
Brutal action in gold $GC today (this is Dec contract). Starting a position here...this is the place if its going to take a stand.
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Jun 10
Beware of that press release about $FFAI coverage this morning. Although the PR is silent (I think illegally), the full report admits that it was bought and paid for by the Company.
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Jun 10
Say what you will about housing, but furniture stocks did great today
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If ebola news gets more alarming, the next stock pumps will be among this crowd: sec.gov/edgar/search/#/q=ebo…

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Remember 2 years ago when y'all were sure that the Apple Vision Pro was going to change the world? That was cute.
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Another eVTOL that will probably beat $EVTL $EVEX to zero:
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$EVTL continues to make technical progress. Still think its a lousy business and am short long-dated far otm calls.
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$RGTI director sells $2.6m worth of stock per Form 144. Form 4 expected by Wednesday.
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who does this hit worst? $STLA?
Here is a China story with giant global implications. Car sales in the world's largest market have been dropping for 8 straight months. In May they plunged 22% YoY. That's a 400,000 car tank in a single month. Chinese automakers have reacted by doubling down on exports to markets worldwide. Gotta keep the factories running. 2022: 3.1M 2023: 4.9M 2024: 5.8M 2025: 8.3M 2026: 12M (f) Chinese cars are coming to your neighborhood, ravaging legacy automakers in Australia, the UK, Spain, Mexico and Brazil. reuters.com/world/asia-pacif…
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$18 million!! 🚨 What a fucking scam of a company. $QBTS is nothing more than a wealth extraction scheme.
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SG retweeted
Replying to @stockgutter
Scanner data says prices going up x.com/BevInsights/status/206…

Celsius Holdings (including Alani Nu) volume up 11.9% with a 2% avg price increase for 4 wks thru May 16, per NielsenIQ. That's down from a 19% gain for 12 wks. Alani Nu volume up 46.5% with a 5.2% avg price increase for 4 wks.
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I need to look at this one... $ENR looks like it is carving a bottom technically as fundamentals improve.
Aqua Capital has bought $3.5M of the stock over 4 purchases in the last couple of weeks
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