Joined September 2025
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Just met one of the teams in the below post (won’t say which one). Came away extremely bullish moly.
Two Japanese firms just shut down their production line, cutting 25% of the world’s tungsten hexafluoride (WF₆) capacity. This is what Chinese critical minerals dominance looks like in action — slowly choking allies’ high-tech economies Kanto Denka Kogyo (sometimes referenced with Showa Denko ties) and Central Glass have notified big chipmakers like Samsung, SK Hynix, and TSMC: inventories run out in June, lines shut for good from July 1. Boom — 2,200 tons of annual global WF₆ capacity gone. This specialized gas is essential for depositing ultra-thin tungsten layers in advanced semiconductors (3D NAND, DRAM, logic chips). Without it, fabs slow or stop Why? China controls ~80% of global tungsten supply and refining. Beijing tightened export controls and licensing on strategic minerals (tungsten included) — hitting Japan hard. Shipments to Japan have plunged, raw material costs spiked, and these specialty gas producers can’t keep operating profitably or at all. Japanese firms were high-quality, reliable suppliers that Korea and others depended on for ~80% of their WF₆ in some cases This isn’t random. Japanese PM Takaichi hostile posturing against China and plan to remilitarize Japan brought about Chinese sanction of dual use critical minerals (tungsten, rare earths, etc.) to Japanese companies. Higher costs, supply chaos, lost competitiveness, and eventual factory pain ripple through the semiconductor chain. Auto, electronics, defense… all feel it downstream. Japan’s been diversifying and stockpiling, but decades of over-reliance on Chinese inputs make this a slow bleed. Allies need to accelerate onshoring, friend-shoring, and alternative processing FAST. Relying on an adversary for the guts of your chip industry isn’t strategy — it’s vulnerability The “just-in-time” global supply chain was efficient until it wasn’t. Now it’s a national security risk. Wake-up call for anyone still sleeping on critical minerals news.chemnet.com/news-6286.h…
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This is what happens when Zucc hooks young women on Instagram reels.
For more than 50 years nine year old girls did better than boys in reading on the NAEP, until 2025
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NEW: White House to reportedly meet with defense firms on ramping up weapons production.
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As it relates to the usual yearly FUD about peak capex, it seems as though Goldman is trying to be brave and differentiated by saying buy the dip. $MU is still cheap my friends.
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What does this even mean
Replying to @mingchikuo
There has been news about Rubin Ultra using SiC interposers instead of Silicon interposers. Will CoPoS eliminate the need for SiC interposer? Could you please shed some light on this?
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Isn’t it time to buy some $LITE on NPO being good not bad
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Most exciting business in Japan @eastdakota not spotted though
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Not going to be good for semis trade in short term but fine in mid term.
BOOM *OpenAI Considers Drastic Price Cuts, Anticipating Costly War For Users With Anthropic -- WSJ
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Day 1 Fable implications: - bio data organization important - people will pay for usage - compute national priority - agentic tasks are going to actually take my “job”
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Should fix deflation and get those unused SiC fabs moving again
CHINA IS CONSIDERING A $295 BILLION PLAN TO ESTABLISH AI DATA CENTERS ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
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mizuho: sees solar mooning mizuho: raises price targets market: 800v szn
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New Science Blog: Why has AI advanced faster in coding than in biology? To agents, bio databases are like cities built before cars—maddening to drive in because they're designed for different traffic. How do we build infrastructure agents can use? anthropic.com/research/agent…
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This isn’t true We have data cuts that show weight independent benefits MACE reduction consistent across all baseline weight and waist circumference categories weight loss at week 20 did not show a linear trend with subsequent MACE risk, while waist reduction explained only part of the benefit. ~33% of the observed MACE benefit was mediated through waist circumference reduction, and concluded the cardioprotection was independent of baseline adiposity and weight loss, implying mechanisms beyond adiposity reduction. utsouthwestern.elsevierpure.… also more studies show that hsCRP falls before weight loss is observed which means inflammation falls first (which is actually how you get heart and neuroprotective benefits)
Nearly all the medical miracles attributed to GLP-1s would likely be similar to simply just losing weight.
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substrates secured @bubbleboi
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lol why is $ww up 69% in 5 trading days.
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😶😶
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Market increasingly looking crypto-y. Not necessarily a bad thing - but Jane street GPUs retail leverage = parabolas and flushes alongside a broader upward direction of travel for the semis / hardware trade. Like really, you nuke semis on Friday post Computex and then just send them all back up again? Will write a longer form piece on this if any interest.
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Everyone is going to bid the obvious names from Computex now. Just needed a lil flush out.
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Murphy also basically blessed disaggregated compute aka memory pooling / storage pooling.
At Computex 2026, Marvell CEO Matt Murphy said that AI infrastructure is approaching a tipping point where connectivity, not computing or memory, becomes the main bottleneck, with optics and CPO becoming essential and the advanced packaging ecosystem central to the transition. Wiwynn a leading taiwanese firm in this field also highlighted its main partners, they are Ayar Labs, GUC, Browave, Corning, FOCI, Molex, SENKO(not listed in japan) and TE Connectivity.
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Back in 2022 when retatrutide was called GGG… And yes, I was following peptides before they were cool. @bubbleboi we need to find the next one
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