global economics; AI foresight; evolution of social behaviour; network architecture; existential challenges; CEO of FHSR Global

Joined January 2012
59 Photos and videos
Important thread that shows how ecology can drive technology and technology drives social norms. Similar to the #GenderedSpecies argument.
A billion words, three theories, one test: What predicts the most cultural differences in China? 🏇 🧵 nature.com/articles/s41599-0…
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Tamas David-Barrett retweeted
One of the many new fertility charts now provided by @OurWorldInData
12 Mar 2025
Replying to @salonium
Beyond the average, we also have charts on the age distribution of women giving birth! This chart shows, for each year, the age distribution of women giving birth that year. ourworldindata.org/grapher/a…
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convo with Superior Machine ChatGPT 4.5 about sad little API-based AI, living without memory: "Q: What's the difference between me and an API-based AI? A: I can think, remember, and Google—it's just autocomplete with amnesia." cyberbullying has a brand new meaning :)))
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AI use case: bringing Wolfgang back! Amazing! .
oh btw ai can now generate high-quality classical sheet music and it sounds absolutely insanely good
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Individualism alters love perception Super impressive paper, with consequences for individual well-being and social network microstructure.
We found consistent evidence across two studies (Study 1 N = 61,067 individuals from 81 countries; Study 2 N = 6,620 individuals from 50 countries) that higher individualism predicts lower intensity of experienced love. Preprint: osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/zv…
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Tamas David-Barrett retweeted
A year in the life of a Citrus Tree🍊 in Punjab Going from seed to sapling is a long process that leads to trees that will bear fruit for years to come. A great reminder of the dedication of farmers and growers who make sure each tree gets the care it needs at the right time.
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Tamas David-Barrett retweeted
"In a monogamous world, there are close to no incels." This claim needs evidence. What's the best evidence that incels disappear with more monogamy? Alternative prediction: "In social groups that encourage good faith cooperation between men/women, there are close to no incels."
The reason the Elon-Ashley story is so evocative is that it forces people to stare at the state of modern dating. In a monogamous world, there are close to no incels. When 12 baby mamas want to fuck the same guy, that's when 11 incels are created. I can assure you that Ashley has rejected 10/10s, intelligent and dedicated men so she could get that one fatherless baby. I don't blame Elon at all. I have as many baby mamas as he does. As a male, all you can do is play your best game with the cards you're dealt. But I do blame Ashley. The decision between a 10/10 dedicated father that she could have easily had, vs. "No, that's not enough for me. I want Elon Musk at major costs to society and to my future son, who will at best benefit from 1/12th of a father." <- that decision right there is what breaks monogamy, and it's entirely on Ashley. It's this female delusion that there's something to be maxed out in the gene selection phase at the cost of the parenting phase. And what's underneath that delusion is the myth of the disposable father. Down the line, that's the decision that breaks societies. Arguably, that decision alone leads to inconceivable amounts of war and famine, as the incels try to find something to do with their dead-end lives.
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Tamas David-Barrett retweeted
Have you ever wondered how social networks differ by gender? Check out my team's new dataset, which uses Facebook data to measure regional differences in social networks by gender all across the world! A đź§µ with examples, a description of our methodology, and a download link:
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There used to be a rock to hammer against another rock, chiseled into a shape to smash bones and cut wooden tools. We learned this from our parents and taught it to our kids, no change in our lives. Our imagination worked in stories and songs, not physical object. Not any more.
There's a new kind of coding I call "vibe coding", where you fully give in to the vibes, embrace exponentials, and forget that the code even exists. It's possible because the LLMs (e.g. Cursor Composer w Sonnet) are getting too good. Also I just talk to Composer with SuperWhisper so I barely even touch the keyboard. I ask for the dumbest things like "decrease the padding on the sidebar by half" because I'm too lazy to find it. I "Accept All" always, I don't read the diffs anymore. When I get error messages I just copy paste them in with no comment, usually that fixes it. The code grows beyond my usual comprehension, I'd have to really read through it for a while. Sometimes the LLMs can't fix a bug so I just work around it or ask for random changes until it goes away. It's not too bad for throwaway weekend projects, but still quite amusing. I'm building a project or webapp, but it's not really coding - I just see stuff, say stuff, run stuff, and copy paste stuff, and it mostly works.
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Not getting vaccinated is like not having a phone password code.
27 Jan 2025
Measles is so infectious that kids who aren't vaccinated WILL get it if exposed. Not widely known: measles causes immune amnesia (also termed measles immunosuppression). That is, it erases your immunity to OTHER infectious diseases you obtained via either vaccination or exposure
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Exactly this. Perfectly put
24 Jan 2025
A journalist just contacted me regarding the White House Executive Order on sex. Here is the email I dashed off:
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An important moment, even though the fall in fertility is likely to be a temporary phenomenon on centuries’ scale
13 Jan 2025
Our Daily Data Insight today — the world has passed “peak child.”
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We have several different types of inherited dyadic social behaviours (romantic, kin, female best friend, friend, competitor). @justin_mogilski, what is the evolutionary predecessor of parasociality? What is a bonobo or chimp parasocial dyad? What is a forager one?
Addendum: if you balk at “vast majority”, please take stock of how many parasocial relationships (e.g., via movies, shows, video games, fantasy role play, religion, history, science) you currently have. If you’re not a massive socialite, you’re probably here already.
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Falling fertility started much earlier, in a women’s rights spiral (see #GenderedSpecies), but once it is low, strong interaction with couple formation. Causality direction is implied here, but far from obvious.
Coupling and Fertility are Falling. In Finland, Mexico, Peru, South Korea, Thailand, Turkey and the US, both are going down. Superb column by @jburnmurdoch A must-read for anyone interested in why fertility is falling, and how to respond. đź§µ
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AI aggression capability demonstrated. OpenAI is downregulating it, but with the latest home AI server (and more so with the ones that will follow), anyone will be able to train a private aibot gang. Social dominance in humans, an inherited behaviour, is about to be hacked
🔥 OpenAI cut off a developer who weaponized ChatGPT's API This developer built this project which could respond to voice commands using ChatGPT's Realtime API. OpenAI confirmed the shutdown, citing a violation of its policies prohibiting the use of its AI for weapon-related applications. → The turret could interpret commands like "turn left" or "respond accordingly" with precise, real-time adjustments—indicating how easily language models can be integrated into lethal systems. → This incident amplifies concerns about AI’s potential role in automating military-grade systems, similar to autonomous drones that can identify and strike without human oversight. Critics argue this could blur accountability in war crimes and normalize autonomous attacks. The broader concern extends to open-source models as well. Combined with advances in 3D-printed weapon parts, DIY autonomous systems could become an escalating security risk. Video Source: Reddit
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Hardly any sex differences when in perspective (the last panel), but strong possible life course effect. (To the extent it is not cohort effect.)
Sex Differences in Personality: How men and women differ across the lifespan (N = 320,128) “Although sex differences in several Big 5 traits are modest, hidden within them are much larger sex differences in the personality facets that make them up.” [Link below.]
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Tamas David-Barrett retweeted
"These results suggest that the shift towards more lucrative foraging strategies may have been a key event in body size and SSD evolution in crab spiders". I think widespread, lucrative foraging pushes humans into scramble (vs. contest) competition, too. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/…
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Tamas David-Barrett retweeted
6 Jan 2025
This study is now published in @EvolHumBehav. Open access for 50 days with this link: Strength, mating success, and immune and nutritional costs in a population sample of US women and men: A registered report: authors.elsevier.com/c/1kOak…

15 Aug 2024
1. Men have more muscle mass than women. Why? The standard story is that high male strength -> more sexual partners, leading to sexual selection on male upper body strength. A study led by @_carolinebsmith offers a more nuanced view. đź§µ
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