Joined February 2012
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The main hazard for these Line of Storms would be Strong to Damaging Wind Gusts. Hail and Isolated Tornadoes would be possible as well. Greatest potential would along and north of I-64.
A Line of Strong - Severe Storms will likely roll through parts of Central Eastern KY Wed Night into Thurs Morning. They'll be gradually weakening throughout the night but we'll still Wind Shear and Fuel for Storms to work w/ keeping the Severe Potential through the night #kywx
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A Line of Strong - Severe Storms will likely roll through parts of Central Eastern KY Wed Night into Thurs Morning. They'll be gradually weakening throughout the night but we'll still Wind Shear and Fuel for Storms to work w/ keeping the Severe Potential through the night #kywx
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40 mph Non-Thunderstorm Wind Gusts would be possible ahead of the line which that by itself can cause some Tree Damage and Isolated Power Outages. This line of Storms would also determine how Thursday's Setup would pan out which is pretty uncertain as of right now.
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About every model you look at shows a Very Violate Environment across parts of Central IL NW IN after the morning wave passes by. It'll leave a boundary behind which along that boundary would have an Incredible Wind Shear Profile. That is what makes this setup very concerning.
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Assuming that the environment does recover, a Long Track Intense to Violent Tornado or 2 can be possible. If the clouds hang around longer, it can lower instability to the point where the Storms could get sheared out along the Warm Front because the Wind Shear is just that strong
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Another potential factor is that the Storms can be more Linear or in Clusters meaning that it can decrease the potential for Intense to Violent Tornadoes. Let's hope that one of the bust or underperforming Scenarios play out.
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(1/2) Wednesday into Wednesday Night Setup is really something. We'll have a sub 990mb Low roll through the Midwest, 80 kt 500MB Wind Streak, and a 60-75kt LLJ which is very strong for this time of year. Mixing this w/ Summertime Thermodynamics, you got some trouble.
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Portions of Iowa, Missouri, Illinois, and Indiana is where I would watch as this where the best mixing of your Severe Weather Ingredients to line up. A morning MCS can really change of how this setup lines up which something is to watch for. We'll keep an eye on trends closely.
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Storm_101 retweeted
A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for parts of Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia until 9 PM EDT
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A Few Strong Storms are possible across parts of Northern Eastern KY as a Line of Storms rolls through along the Cold Front. Wednesday into Thursday Timeframe is something to watch closely as a very unique Severe Weather Setup shows up. I agree 💯 of the SPC Outlooks. #kywx
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Storm_101 retweeted
Currently, it looks like a strong low pressure system will pass near northern Indiana Wednesday night. This is expected to bring strong winds and severe weather to the region. More details will become available as we get closer to the event. weather.gov/lmk
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Storm_101 retweeted
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Tomorrow could be a big day for Northern Illinois and Southern Wisconsin for the potential for an violate environment that could lead to Strong Long Track Tornadoes. This is something we haven't seen in a hot minute.
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Storm_101 retweeted
#WPC_MD 0374 affecting Southeastern Indiana, #ohwx #kywx #inwx, wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/m…
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I'm a little bit concerned about the Flood Threat later Tonight into Tomorrow Morning as another round of Showers/Storms is expected to roll through Central Kentucky. Some areas have already picked up 2-4 inches of rain and some of us could double that with this next round #kywx
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Localized Significant Flooding is possible in a setup like this when you have Storms training over the same areas from NW to SE. Strong to Severe Storms is possible as well with Strong to Damaging Winds being the main threat. A Brief Tornado cannot be ruled out.
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Storm_101 retweeted
A Flood Watch is in effect for the area today through Wednesday morning. Rounds of slow-moving storms will bring waves of showers and storms with widespread amounts of 1 to-3" of rain are expected. Localized 4-7 " are possible which may result in flash flooding
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The Flood Watch needs to be expanded. HRRR and other guidance has been indicating the potential for Several Inches for some areas which could lead to Localized Significant Flooding later today. Strong to Severe Storms are possible today but the biggest concern is flooding. #kywx
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Storm_101 retweeted
Severe Thunderstorm Warning including Cadiz KY, Lamasco KY and Canton KY until 8:45 PM CDT
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There is good mid-level rotation SW Eddyville KY but it's unknown how strong the rotation is in the lower levels since the Radar Sites are out in the area. #kywx
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