A 4-Sharpe crypto fund. 27 of 28 months positive.
Leigh Drogen (
@LDrogen) is CIO of Starkiller Capital, a crypto quant fund running momentum and market-neutral crypto strategies.
His edge is diligence — and a "never lose more than 1%" position rule.
We cover:
- Why block space is worthless — and the fiber-optics-in-1999 analogy that explains every L1 collapse since blobs launched on Ethereum
- Starkiller's "never lose more than 1%" position sizing rule (how it compounds into 27 of 28 positive months)
- The Ripple / RLUSD / USCC trade — borrowing at 2.5% against a 5-8% yielding tokenized basis fund, hidden in plain sight on Aave Horizon
- How Starkiller dodged the Kelp DAO hack, lending USDC at 17-18% APR while the rest of DeFi was on fire
- Why momentum is the only actual persistent alpha (it's the only persistent behavioral characteristic of humans)
- "F*ckery risk" on the short book — why Drogen runs a more diversified short book than long book, even when his thesis screams short
- Why "sales is way overcompensated" relative to the difficulty of the job — and what that means for ambitious young quants
- The 2019 DM from a 21-year-old that became Drogen's biggest career miss — and how Polymarket's Shane Coplin (
@shayne_coplan) actually solved the SEC problem ("USDC and VPNs")
Highlights:
00:00 Intro
01:09 Mechanics of a 4 Sharpe market neutral DeFi strategy
03:24 Quantifying protocol risk and code provenance
06:40 Case study: Exploiting incentivized spreads in carry trades
10:53 Three primary sources of alpha in liquid crypto markets
14:28 Capacity constraints and institutional yield compression
18:54 Position sizing via the 1% max loss rule
21:38 Pro-cyclical returns and the risk modulation framework
26:44 Compounding capital through trend following and cross-sectional momentum
33:35 Why momentum is the only persistent behavioral alpha
48:39 Extracting alpha from token unlock schedules and market structure
51:20 Lessons from building Estimize and the SEC/ForceRank fight
55:00 The Polymarket origin story: Arbitraging regulatory hurdles
01:01:45 Career risk premia and the value of "eating sh*t"
01:05:34 Table selection: Positioning your career on the right macro curve