Associate Director of Foreign Policy @JINSADC University of Michigan and King's College London grad. Views are my own. RT/Like ≠ endorsement
Joined September 2009
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Apr 7
Iran’s military losses alone will not stop the regime from surviving and rebuilding. I explain in this @jinsadc insight how the U.S. and Israel should keep pressure on the tools the regime uses to control, surveil, imprison, and kill the Iranian people. jinsa.org/jinsa_report/finis…
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Ari Cicurel retweeted
Jun 14
There is no reasonable explanation for these repeated displays of extreme desperation. Humiliating for the U.S. if true
Jun 14
Trump will soon announce that he is "giving something" to the Iranians in exchange for them not responding to the Israeli attack in Beirut, according to Israeli assessments -N12
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Ari Cicurel retweeted
A terrorist drove a car bomb into a synagogue preschool in El-Sayed's state. El-Sayed blamed Israel, calling it 'displaced rage.'
Do any of El-Sayed's defenders believe he'd offer the same excuse if a Jew tried to murder Arab American children over that conflict?
Can someone give me a GOOD reason why El Sayed is a bad candidate? Besides him being a Muslim. I am so confused.
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Ari Cicurel retweeted
Jun 13
It’s really worth reflecting on the fact that for all the Washington claims to the contrary, the MoU as flagged by senior U.S. official does cover Lebanon — precisely as Iran claimed it had to.
That probably tells you something about shape of rest of deal.
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Jun 12
The emerging U.S.-Iran deal remains murky, with competing accounts describing very different arrangements. @jinsadc has detailed the different accounts of the deal now taking shape, all involving major U.S. concessions to the Iranian regime.
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Jun 12
A U.S.-Iran deal is not durable if it lets Tehran turn a 60-day pause into leverage.
As I told @MatthewShea__ @jewishinsider, any sanctions relief or unfrozen assets would enable Iran to rebuild and expand pressure on the Strait of Hormuz.
jewishinsider.com/2026/06/u-…
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Ari Cicurel retweeted
Jun 11
I haven't seen anyone outside the administration peddle the "it was regime change, this is a new regime" line. Don't know anyone who buys that spin. It's disappointing that President Trump continues to use it despite the regime doing everything it can to show it hasn't changed
Jun 11
🚨 JUST NOW — REPORTER: You have said before that Iran and the United States were close to a deal. It has not happened yet. Why are you so convinced that this time is different?
PRESIDENT TRUMP: "Because they've taken a pounding. They've taken a pounding like very few people could take. And they want to make the deal a lot more than I do. And we could have had it done the other way, I guess, but it would have taken longer."
"They got hit very hard recently, as you know. And I don't like to have to do things that way, but I felt it was necessary. It's a great deal for the United States and for the Middle East."
"And I think ultimately, it's great for Iran because they'll be able to build up their country and their country. I really believe it's a regime change because I find these people to be much more rational than the people that are no longer with us."
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Jun 9
I told @MatthewShea__ for @jewishinsider that Trump's attempts to restrain Israel against Iran and any perception of daylight between Washington and Jerusalem creates a danger that undermines the president's objectives. jewishinsider.com/2026/06/tr…
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Jun 7
Trump publicly repeating Biden’s mistake of essentially telling to Israel to “take the win” has far worse consequences today than in 2024.
Jun 7
🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷Trump tells me he will ask Netanyahu not to strike back at Iran. My story on @axios
axios.com/2026/06/07/trump-i…
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JINSA's @AriCicurel tells @jewishinsider Hezbollah has deployed FPV drones similar to those used by Russia against Ukraine, adding that the group has adopted fiber‑optic control cables to mimic Russian tactics and evade electronic countermeasures.
jewishinsider.com/2026/06/is…
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Ari Cicurel retweeted
May 31
I hate to be the guy to pour cold water on the reports of IDF troops reaching the Beaufort Ridge in Lebanon, but I struggle to understand why this is being celebrated.
For anyone who lived here in the 1990s, the Beaufort is not a symbol of success. It represents Israel's long and costly presence in Lebanon - something that claimed too many soldiers' lives and ended without Israel achieving its strategic goals.
The fact that the IDF can reach the Beaufort today is obvious and - despite the media festival - is not even close to a victory. The real questions are different: How does Israel eventually leave? What is the political endgame? And are we possibly witnessing the beginning of another prolonged military presence in Lebanon without a clear horizon for how it ends?
Because here is what we already know way too well - getting into Lebanon is always easier than getting out.
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Ari Cicurel retweeted
May 29
Strong statement from Jewish Democratic Council of America CEO Halie Soifer: "We will not endorse a Democrat unless they support Israel’s right to exist as a Jewish and democratic state, and support Israel's security and right to self-defense."
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Ari Cicurel retweeted
May 27
Nation states are a feature of the international system, yet only the Jewish one’s existence is controversial. There’s a reason Abdul isn’t wringing his hands over whether Estonia has a right to exist. Or Japan. Bangladesh. Turkey. Iran.
May 27
SCOOP | Abdul El-Sayed, the far-left Democratic candidate for Michigan’s Senate seat, said at an event with Jewish supporters last week that he struggles to answer questions about whether he believes Israel has a right to exist as a Jewish state.
“I often struggle with the question that people ask in this particular scenario, because what they now ask is, ‘Do you believe in the right of Israel to exist as a Jewish state,’ which, to me, forces the question of a definition of what a Jewish state means.”
Read the full story from @marcrod97: link.ji.news/4u1FAb4
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Ari Cicurel retweeted
For months we were told Kamala Harris lost because she wasn't hostile enough to Israel, that the party’s autopsy report proved it, and that the report was being hidden to protect the U.S.-Israel relationship.
The report is now public, and it doesn't even mention Israel or Gaza once. That’s quite a disconnect from the media narrative.
May 21
Read more about what I have to say here: democrats.org/after-action
ALT Statement from DNC Chair Ken Martin: When I was elected DNC chair, I commissioned an after action review of the 2024 election that I wanted to be honest and transparent, and with actionable and specific takeaways for the future of the Democratic Party. When I received the report late last year, it wasn’t ready for primetime—not even close—and because no source material was provided, it would have meant starting over. I could not in good faith put the DNC’s stamp of approval on the report that was produced. After last November’s massive Democratic wins, I didn’t want to create a distraction, but by not putting the report out, I ended up creating an even bigger distraction. For that, I sincerely apologize. For full transparency, I am releasing the report as we received it, in its entirety, unedited and unabridged. It does not meet my standards, and it won’t meet your standards, but I am doing this because people need to be able to trust the Democratic Party and trust our word.
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Ari Cicurel retweeted
May 19
This person should not be anywhere near public office
Every new statement is somehow crazier and more vile than the last
May 19
TX-35 Democratic candidate Maureen Galindo says she will convert ICE detention center in Karnes County into an internment camp for "American Zionists."
"It will also be a castration processing center for pedophiles, which will probably be most of the Zionists," she added.
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Ari Cicurel retweeted
May 19
First current political candidate suggests concentration camps for American Jews.
This should be national news!
National Democratic leaders must call this out immediately
May 19
TX-35 Democratic candidate Maureen Galindo says she will convert ICE detention center in Karnes County into an internment camp for "American Zionists."
"It will also be a castration processing center for pedophiles, which will probably be most of the Zionists," she added.
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Today’s update on Operations Epic Fury and Roaring Lion.
Trump will convene his national security team to discuss military options on Iran—as Tehran resumes attacks across the Gulf and moves to tighten control over Hormuz.
Key developments 🧵
jinsa.org/jinsa_report/opera…
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Ari Cicurel retweeted
May 14
Exactly. Almost all dual use. If a no weapons promise is what Trump used his leverage for, it was wasted.
Agreed.
China may continue to hesitate about transferring weapon systems to Iran, but in any case, most of its assistance involves components for missile development that can be presented as dual-use items. The importance of such assistance increases significantly in light of the damage to Iranian missile production chains and defense industries, which will heighten Iran’s need for Chinese support.
Regime change in Iran — absolute Chinese opposition.
A “regime change” in the Strait of Hormuz — does not bother China as long as it is not harmed by it, as we have seen in recent days with the Iranian permission granted to Chinese tankers to pass through the strait.
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Ari Cicurel retweeted
May 14
Iran’s ability to threaten the U.S. and its partners in the Middle East has been “significantly degraded” by U.S. and Israeli military operations over the past year, Adm. Brad Cooper, the commander of U.S. Central Command, told lawmakers Thursday. wsj.com/livecoverage/iran-us…
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Ari Cicurel retweeted
May 14
Iran still has the ability to continue strikes in the region, Adm. Cooper says this morning:
“Can [Iran] strike oil infrastructure across the Persian Gulf?” Sen. Elise Slotkin asked Cooper.
“They have a very moderate, if not small, capability to continue strikes,” Cooper said. “And we of course have accordingly prepared for such a contingency.”
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