This doesn't surprise me at all. Though the possibility of the Federal NDP falling even further will change the game. 40% will be the new 32%
Further to my post the other day about Voter Segments (in Ontario) - here's an end-of-year look at what I was talking about. 👀👀👀
2 things stand out:
1. Roughly half of the electorate is "less partisan" compared to the other half which is "more partisan". The LPC dominates with the "less partisan" voter segments. ⚖️⚖️⚖️
2. The LPC is drawing 24% of the "hard-conservative, right-wingers, high income" voter segment. This is mainly the over 65 crowd who make up this voter segment.🧓🧓🧓
One other thing that doesn't stand out - but I will point it out (because it's 🤔🤔🤔):
3. Doug Ford's PCs get more votes from the "hard-conservatives, right-wingers, high income" voter segment than Pierre Poilievre's CPC does. 🤷🤷🤷