I think the people with money against Spencer Pratt on
@kalshi are low IQ. He's at 37% chance. I don't even think they teach math in LA anymore, but let's do some anyway.
Pratt is up by ~40k votes with ~300k votes left.
A bulk of those, say 100k, will go to Karen Bass.
So that means Nithya Raman out of the remaining 200k, would need to get about 120k to Pratt's 80k to pass him. That's about 40%, when right now she's at rate of 22%.
It's LA and all votes are not created equal, but I would put my money against Nithya getting 40% of the remaining votes.