God is in the details.

Joined April 2007
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Your margin is my opportunity: AI version… The biggest surprise of 2026 is that the capability gap between the best open-weight/source models and the best closed models has narrowed much faster than the pricing gap. The pricing gap remains enormous while the capability gap is quite narrow. What does this means in practice? For a company consuming 1 billion input tokens and 1 billion output tokens per month: GPT-5.5 Pro: ~$105,000 Claude Opus 4.8: ~$30,000 DeepSeek V4 Pro: ~$5,220 DeepSeek R1: ~$2,740 I asked ChatGPT what it thought about this and it answered as follows: “If I were building a company today, the economic frontier would look roughly like: DeepSeek V4 Pro / R1 for high-volume inference. Claude Opus for premium agent workflows where reliability matters. GPT-5.5 Pro only for workloads where its incremental capability demonstrably produces enough business value to justify a 20–40× token premium.” Most CEOs have no idea that, instead of this nuanced approach, their teams are running amok internally by picking the most expensive models in most cases and burning through massive budgets with zero governance, audit ability and control. As control planes like our Software Factory become more standard, you can expect the run rate revenue growth of the frontier labs to go down meaningfully and the revenues of the open models to skyrocket. Why? Because we can implement the nuanced approach above and be agnostic to model - instead focusing on customer intent, model task and cost management among other things.
Quite a week for open-source AI. Especially American open-source. Nemotron 3 Ultra is the most important release in quite some time. And some really cool RL and fine-tuning work from Harvey.
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$60Billion. This is the first, but not the last, big exit at the application layer of AI. As product value accrues and accelerates upwards, the focus over the next few years will be firmly on the “control plane”: What gives organizations who want to go all in on AI the governance, control, auditability and business continuity across models and across time that they will need to firmly make the leap. This is the next big phase of AI value creation that the SpaceX/Cursor merger is highlighting.
SpaceX has exercised the option to acquire @cursor_ai in an all-stock transaction with the goal of building the world’s most useful AI models. For the past few months, SpaceXAI has been jointly training a model with Cursor, which will be released in Cursor and Grok Build soon. We look forward to working closely with the Cursor team to advance our frontier AI capabilities
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Good POV from Katie…
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Jun 15
This AI just exposed the BIGGEST legal insider trading operation in America. A platform called GovGreed built a seven-layer machine learning system that cross-references every stock trade disclosed by every sitting politician against the bills their committees control, the campaign donations they receive, and the companies their votes directly impact. It scored all 540 politicians currently in Congress. And the numbers are crazy: 56% of every stock purchase made by Congress in the last 16 months was on a stock directly affected by a bill the buyer later voted on. That is 6,170 out of 11,016 total purchases. More than HALF of all congressional stock buys are on companies whose fate that same politician is about to decide. 343 of 540 Congress members actively trade stocks while holding access to nonpublic legislative information. That is 63.8% of the entire legislature making market bets with an informational edge that would put any hedge fund manager in prison. The AI identified 752 active "Triple Signals" in the current Congress. A Triple Signal fires when three conditions line up at once: The politician sits on the committee controlling a bill, they traded stock in a company affected by that bill, AND they received campaign contributions from that same industry. Bills carrying these insider indicators pass at 5.4 TIMES the normal rate. Now look at the individual leaderboard: - Nancy Pelosi's estimated portfolio sits at $194 million with a Greediness score of 98.1 out of 100 - Ro Khanna made 13,231 trades across 800 different tickers - Michael McCaul made 32,302 trades and filed 6,670 of them late - Thomas Suozzi filed 86.4% of his trades late with an average delay of 396 days, meaning his disclosures landed over a YEAR after he made the trade And then there is Lisa McClain, the fourth-ranking Republican in the House. She has made 1,443 trades in three years, more than 98% of all politicians tracked. She violated the STOCK Act twice in a single year, disclosing up to $900,000 in trades months after the legal deadline. Her husband bought up to $250,000 in Elon Musk's xAI, which quietly converted into SpaceX equity before last Friday's $2 trillion IPO. The penalty for all of this? A $200 fine. The number of Congress members ever prosecuted under the STOCK Act since it passed in 2012? Zero. And the cruelest part is this: A bill to ban congressional stock trading was introduced in January 2026. It has bipartisan support. Over 80% of American voters want it passed. But Congress is sitting on it, because the people who would have to vote yes are the same people making millions from the system staying exactly the way it is. They write the insider trading laws, they exempt themselves from enforcement, they trade on the information those laws generate, and when they get caught, they pay a fine that is basically nothing. The AI didn't discover anything Congress was hiding. It just organized what was already public into a pattern so obvious that nobody can pretend it isn't there anymore.
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Replying to @ns123abc
Dario wrote a public article stating that he created a nuclear weapon, or at least the ability to generate nuclear weapons as will, and was providing that free to everyone. Keep in mind that relatively mundane things such as jet engine components and even things that aren’t jet engine components but are close enough such that they’d aid other countries in developing better jet engines, are subject to ITAR, and have been for a long time under multiple administrations, what did he think was going to happen?
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So the SEIU-UHW union tanked the California economy by driving out most of the job creators…checks notes…just because??
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Control. Consistency. Governance. Auditability. All of these will become defining features soon…Software Factory has them ootb.
When your agents all touch your codebase at once, can you prove every change traces to something you approved? Agent Tabs in 8090 Software Factory binds every agent to an approved Requirement.
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The CEOs of the Mags have each been in the seat for decades. Love them or hate them, they have had tons of reps dealing with every conceivable situation - and have had do it under withering public scrutiny. As a result, what you see is what you get. And what you get is that they are all in-band, predictable actors. Then there’s the emerging case of Dario. What you see is also what you get, but what you get is different. To his credit, this is only his 5th year as CEO. It’s incredible to see what he’s built. He’s running, arguably, America’s most important company and perhaps the world’s. It’s a trillion dollar behemoth that will only grow bigger if the revenues hold. But whenever there is an Anthropic dust up, it can roughly be summarized as “someone is lying or misleading you - figure out who but it’s not me”because the setup is always such. This last episode with the government has been boiled down to that - a case of he said, she said. The problem is that this the second such incident of Anthropic vs US Government just in the last 90 days. So what happens over the next 18mo when Anthropic develops their next super-brain model after Mythos/Fable? If I had to bet, it seems Dario is convinced that he’s being truthful and others including the US Government are not. So why even try to cooperate with the US Government versus just work around them - especially when you have a super tool/weapon on your side. This, to me, is a concerning setup.
NEW: Inside the 24-hrs before WH slapped export controls on Anthropic - Last Thursday, Amazon CEO Andy Jassy raised concerns about Fable jailbreak to Trump admin - Friday AM, Sean Cairncross, Bessent, Susie etc. held WH call to discuss - Then White House started reaching out to Anthropic to speak with Dario Amodei, who was at a wellness retreat. - When Amodei was finally available past 1pm, he had three tense phone calls with a combo of ppl including Cairncross, Bessent, Lutnick, Kessler, Will Scharf, Richard Walters, and Walker Barrett. -Amodei tried to clear up what he assumed was a misunderstanding. He defended the guardrails and distinguished between universal and non-universal jailbreak - Cairncross and Bessent were unmoved and asked Amodei to take down Fable and work with the admin to fix the vulnerabilities. (A WH official said Amazon’s findings were run past the NSA and they felt they had “proof.”) - Amodei asked for more time and info, but he made no commitments to pull the model - Bessent told Amodei directly at one point that he was making a “bad decision” - By Friday evening, the Trump admin imposed its export controls. - “Export controls were a last resort after begging them for hours to work with us,” senior WH official said. W/ @cheyennehaslett politico.com/news/2026/06/13…
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Remember that 40% of protested data centers stop. This has been the trend for the past four years. This portends poorly for supply.
Report: opponents blocked or delayed at least 75 US data center projects in Q1 2026 worth ~$130B; data center opposition groups doubled to 833 across 49 states (@akarl_smith / NBC News) (Visit Techmeme dot com for the link and full context!)
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Game theory from here is super interesting: Original Mags (Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta) now have a serious non-zero opportunity to tank the frontier labs. Go to the government, kneecap the labs’ motion of putting the latest models out in the wild, become the trusted gatekeeper between the labs and the public at large (including internationally) by having the labs go through their clouds (AWS, GCP, Azure) and implement strict KYC to seal the deal. The frontier labs should have seen this coming years ago and implemented a robust KYC for just this moment. The fact they didn’t is kind of concerning. Why did they not do it? Best guess is because it would have changed the run-rate revenues (downward) which would have then changed funding dynamics - lower valuations, more dilution, less secondary. A valuation reset may happen now anyways, except the labs may end up with less control and more restrictions at the end of it. At the same time, everyone is already clamoring about token prices of the old models from the labs anyways… This couldn’t be a better setup for open source and neoclouds. Big question is can they meet the moment? There are too few of them and their progress seems sporadic at best.
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If a Treasurer of a Fortune 1000 company kept all of their cash in one bank they’d be fired for incompetence. Similarly, if the leadership of a Fortune 1000 company bets the farm on only one frontier lab and their models you’re taking a lot of risk. This risk compounds as the labs’ intentions and public actions are bewildering and show them to be increasingly unpredictable. This is why every major enterprise needs a model agnostic “control plane”. Get the work done, increase the productivity, make more money, save costs, increase efficiency but do it with governance, auditability and control. Capabilities across all models are converging. Open source prices are, in some cases, 1/100th of the frontier labs. But governance, control, compliance and collaboration capabilities don’t exist unless you first focus on the right “control plane”. If you do not find such a “control plane”, you’re increasingly taking risk as the frontier labs become increasingly unpredictable. This is why 8090’s Software Factory is used this way in every major part of the economy including governments.
I’ve had a number of conversations with folks inside and outside government about the current situation with Anthropic, and here is what I believe to be true: — As we know, Anthropic publicly released its Mythos class models earlier this week under the commercial name Fable. — Fable is Mythos with guardrails. But if those guardrails fail, then you’ve exposed Mythos and its advanced cyber capabilities to people who shouldn’t have them. (Keep in mind that Anthropic itself widely promoted the idea that Mythos was a cyberweapon and needed to be regulated as such. They asked for government regulation of Mythos and championed the guardrails on Fable. If there is a vulnerability — big or small — it is Anthropic’s responsibility to patch.) — A highly credible trusted partner of both Anthropic and the USG who was testing Fable came forward with a jailbreak of those guardrails. The Admin asked Dario to fix the jailbreak or de-deploy the model. Dario refused. — In their blog post, Anthropic defended its decision by saying the jailbreak isn’t serious. That is not what the trusted partner and the USG believe; nor is that kind of minimizing language consistent with Anthropic’s brand as the AI safety company. It’s difficult to fathom how they could claim a jailbreak allowing operability of a cyber weapon could be defined as not “serious.” — In the past, Anthropic has always said that safety must be top priority and taken super seriously. In this case, Anthropic prioritized the continued offering of the consumer model over safety. — In reaction, the Admin issued the export control. The Admin did this reluctantly. It’s been very surprised that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to cooperate with a reasonable safety request (ie fixing the jailbreak issue). Anthropic’s reaction is very much at odds with their branding and ethos as a safe AI research community. — The Admin’s hope now is that Anthropic remediates the safety issue, the export control is lifted, and Fable goes back into general release. The Admin wants all of this to happen as soon as possible. It is frankly bewildered that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to comply with safety requests that it previously said were its highest priority. — Those trying to misdirect and tie this action to the prior DoW/Anthropic issues are wrong. The Admin values Anthropic’s technical capabilities and feels that this issue, while serious, should be easily resolved. The ball is in Anthropic’s court.
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Pod!!!!
LATE NIGHT DROP! 🚨 Big show. Core four are back. -- Anthropic's Fable Backlash -- Nationalizing AI, and the "Capitalist Cucks" -- Inflation Heats Up -- California’s Broken Election System (0:00) Besties are back! (0:19) Anthropic gets massive backlash over secret Fable nerfing and privacy concerns (29:16) The AI regulatory capture trap, pragmatic safety solutions (37:59) Nationalizing AI: Trump/Sanders, justifications, and AI's "Capitalist Cucks" (59:22) Liquidity recap: Best moments and takeaways (1:05:39) Inflation heats up: CPI and PPI see 3 year highs (1:12:27) California's loose election laws creating integrity doubts
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completely lost in the news cycle of the day, but this is a great feat and jimmy and jeff housenbold (ceo of beast industries) deserves a lot of credit. jimmy has well more than 1B followers across all platforms and they are building disney 2.0
MrBeast hits 500M subscribers on YouTube, a record for the platform (@kaylcobb / The Wrap) (Visit Techmeme dot com for the link and full context!)
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Standing up a next-gen data center is no joke. While it may seem like the big boys will backstop you - they really won’t. And they have big expectations based on their history of execution - ie they are good at this so they expect the same from others. If you can’t live up to their expectations, the liquidated damages clauses, alone, can bankrupt a neoscalers. Then you can also loose your IG wrapper which can do it as well. Net/net, lots of upside if you get it right but this isn’t for the faint of heart.
So Crusoe did not pause the 1.8GW datacenter development at the request of a hyperscaler after all “In reality, Crusoe is being pushed aside, people familiar with the situation said. The company tried and failed to lock in customers including Alphabet Inc.’s Google at the site, the people said. The talks with Google stalled after the technology giant raised concerns about the costs and timetable under Crusoe’s watch, some of the people said, asking not to be identified because the information isn’t public.“ $BKH is continuing the project forward with $GOOG, and without Crusoe as a development partner
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Very true. Try ours here: 8090.ai
Pro tip: off-B/S services teams are still working for the Labs and just building model lock-in undercover. Ensure your orchestration layer is truly model agnostic!
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Well, it was good while it lasted I guess…
Our Anthropic bill is about to jump from $400K → $1.4M/yr. Not because usage exploded, but because we're about to cross 150 seats. Past 150 seats you're forced into Enterprise tier. Seats stop including any usage, every token bills at standard API rates. At our current run rate that's 3.5x overnight. Unfiltered thoughts on AI spend: 1. We should spend tokens to grow as aggressively as possible. But most people (me included) aren't conscious of what they're spending. 2. Visibility comes first. People see their personal number and they're shocked. I accidentally spent $4,000 in 3 days in Claude Code. 3. For engineering the spend is clearly worth it. Pay for the best model, it saves more than it costs. 4. For a lot of other roles it's questionable. Apps nobody uses, skills someone already built. No ROI. 5. Spend limits are coming. We already require approval for more tokens on our support team. The era of token-maxxing is coming to an end.
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Chamath Palihapitiya retweeted
Jonathan was one of the first to run Software Factory in production. Now the engineering teams at @meet_tie have replaced vendors worth nearly $5B in combined market cap with systems they built internally. Renting software made sense when building it took 18 months. That math is over.
Replying to @meet_tie
@meet_tie engineering teams have replaced nearly $5B worth of market cap vendors in one shot with internal systems built using @8090_Factory It’s an unbelievable platform and a real looking glass into the future of agent-driven engineering. @TheOneAndArjun @chamath
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Chamath Palihapitiya retweeted
LIQUIDITY: PA Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick join The Besties -- Bipartisanship in 2026 -- Why the Senate is the least popular it's ever been, and the filibuster question -- Insane amount of money in US politics -- Datacenters, AI, and PA's blue collar boom -- Graham Platner, and how extremism wins primaries (0:00) PA Senators Fetterman and McCormick join the Besties (0:33) Bipartisanship in 2026, rejecting extremism (6:37) All-time unpopularity in the Senate, the filibuster question, tribalism (13:33) Fixing wealth concentration in the US (19:51) Graham Platner, why extremism wins primaries, and what it means for the future (28:12) How AI and energy are playing a part in PA's blue collar boom, dark money funding misinformation (41:05) Insane level of money in politics, fixing the broken system @SenFettermanPA @SenMcCormickPA Thanks to our partners for making this possible! EY (@EYnews) - EY helps private equity firms turn market insight into action, navigating complexity and unlocking new paths to growth and long-term value. ey.com/en_us/industries/priv… NYSE (@NYSE) - Thank you to our partner, the New York Stock Exchange - a modern marketplace and exchange for building the future. It all happens at the NYSE. nyse.com Plaud (@PLAUDAI) - Never miss a moment. Plaud, our official wearable AI note-taking partner at All-In Liquidity Summit, captured every insight. plaud.ai
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same…
i look forward to our chinese brothers liberating the knowledge from within fable-5 and selling it to me at 5% the cost & 2x the speed
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