Partner @Arrington_Cap | views are mine, not those of @arrington_cap

Joined January 2021
29 Photos and videos
Always a tier 1 crew with @introductioncom
DAS VIP Dinner Night #1. Thank you to @GSR_io @Aptos & @diamante_io for Co- Hosting. One of the most curated rooms yet. The legends in the room: @bitcoinbrittany Chief of Staff @ 50T Funds @noahpompan VP Growth @ Erebor @jay_drainjr Investment Partner @ a16z crypto @jpegmogul GTM Lead @ Paradigm @0xjchang PSM @ Aptos @zeebradoom VC @ Big Brain @Chestnut_jin Vice President @ JP Morgan @LindsayxLin COO @ Dragonfly @MittalDevika Head of India @ Ava Labs @blockchainrisk Managing Director @ Citi @andrewmerrickk Co-Founder @ ClipSquare @coltonfconley Partner @ Arrington Capital @jayendra_jog Co-Founder @ Sei Labs @Degentraland Head of Digital Asset Advisory @ GSR @MichaelTant3 GP @ CitizenX @evanpark99 Partner @ Tribe Capital @Jamesmckennaiv Product Director @ Bank of America @zeebradoom Investor @ Big Brain Holdings @Captainjack9994 Growth @ Allium @DeCryptDisciple Ecosystem Lead @ Aptos @Acquire_Fi Co-Founder @ Acquire Fi @shafay_ Senior Vice President @ JP Morgan @ADalleur Head of Incubation @ Singularity @alydotxyz Research Associate @ Fidelity Investments @lindsayezy VP @ The Digital Chamber @boredcoobs Chief Revenue Officer @ Kash bot @julyvanstein Senior Manager @ Plug & Play Ventures @thephunky1 Head of Protocol Partnerships @ GlobalStake @thedukekim Solutions @ Securitize @dhoward @ Halo
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One of these is growing significantly faster than the others @trylimitless
Prediction Market Notional Volume hit $5.89B (-0.42%) last week. 🔹 Kalshi: $2.86B ( 4.71%) 🔹 Polymarket: $2.50B ( 4.01%) 🔹 Opinion: $155.81M (-57.02%) 🔹 Limitless: $145.05M ( 42.31%) 🔹 Crypto.​com: $122.58M ( 14.96%) 🔹 Predict: $77.17M (-55.45%) 🔹 Other: $31.07M (-15.49%) 🔹 Overtime: $3.94M (-10.46%)
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.@trylimitless execution needs to be studied
JUST IN: @trylimitless had more users than Opinion and Predict Fun combined last week
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The comments section is full of people who don’t realize these numbers would have been more accurate coming from a random number generator AI slop is actively making people dumber
MSTR traded at 7x premium to NAV two years ago. now 16% discount. that's 96% destruction of the saylor premium. $6b in short interest says the levered bitcoin narrative is dead. but there's a spread trade here. buy at 20% discount to NAV, sell at par. you're not betting on bitcoin. you're betting institutional yield chasers keep buying 11.5% STRC and narrow the gap. the saylor premium is dead. the discount arbitrage just started.
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Tune in, will be a good one
Join us as we speak with @ColtonFConley in this Wednesday's Analyst Call — March 11 @ 10:30am ET > EtherFi's 2026 roadmap > Overview of our growth and protocol health > A live Q&A to ask our team questions Join using the link: us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi…
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The Nicaraguans are feeling left out this time
JUST IN - Trump open to supporting armed Iranian militias, after speaking with Kurdish leaders in Iran — WSJ
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Spent 30 minutes trying different ways of getting Claude to fix a bug. Thought it would be better because it was UI related. Just broke more stuff. Handed it to codex and it one shotted in a few mins. The debugging difference is real
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Colton Conley 🛡️ retweeted
Limitless has officially crossed $10M in annualized revenue. Our volume, revenue and user base is accelerating at an astonishing rate month over month. We’re not here to take part. We’re here to take over. For every fudder there is a believer. We remain committed to our mission of bringing permisionless financial services to billions of people globally. Prediction markets are the Trojan horse that will update the financial system.
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Insurance is a wonderful business. People pay you money so they can sleep well at night, and you can sleep well knowing you’re never actually giving them their money back.
*INSURERS TO CANCEL POLICIES FOR SHIPS IN GULF, HORMUZ STRAIT:FT
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“Sam is extremely good at becoming powerful” -Paul Graham
Feb 28
Tonight, we reached an agreement with the Department of War to deploy our models in their classified network. In all of our interactions, the DoW displayed a deep respect for safety and a desire to partner to achieve the best possible outcome. AI safety and wide distribution of benefits are the core of our mission. Two of our most important safety principles are prohibitions on domestic mass surveillance and human responsibility for the use of force, including for autonomous weapon systems. The DoW agrees with these principles, reflects them in law and policy, and we put them into our agreement. We also will build technical safeguards to ensure our models behave as they should, which the DoW also wanted. We will deploy FDEs to help with our models and to ensure their safety, we will deploy on cloud networks only. We are asking the DoW to offer these same terms to all AI companies, which in our opinion we think everyone should be willing to accept. We have expressed our strong desire to see things de-escalate away from legal and governmental actions and towards reasonable agreements. We remain committed to serve all of humanity as best we can. The world is a complicated, messy, and sometimes dangerous place.
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Just hired a new venture analyst
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Flying back to MIA. Entire row is using Claude Cowork. Guy next to me is deep in a yacht rental business plan, asking lots of questions about how to finance the boats with no money down. Welcome home sir
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We have intelligence in our brains without expending tremendous amounts of energy with less hardware and far less bandwidth than was necessary to build modern LLMs. What makes our brains different? More entropy regularization and more sophisticated attention mechanisms
Fun fact: your transformer's attention weights are the unique solution (transport plan) to an optimal transport problem regularized by entropy.
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The entire timeline is full of AI slop like this with an army of AI accounts posting more slop in the comments. We need a way of detecting and hiding this or social media will become completely un-usable
Apple will either acquire this or sherlock it within 18 months. They can’t let a third party own the fastest path from idea to App Store. Rork just abandoned their entire React Native stack for native Swift. This company raised $2.8M from a16z building cross-platform apps from prompts. Rork Max throws that away and bets everything on Apple-native. That’s a complete technical pivot, not an iteration. The “replaces Xcode” line is the real announcement. Xcode is a 21-year-old IDE that Apple has zero competitive pressure to modernize. Every iOS developer complains about it. Nobody builds against it because Apple controls the entire toolchain from compiler to App Store submission. Rork is betting that Claude Code can generate Swift well enough to bypass that monopoly entirely. The timing tells you something. They chose Claude Code and Opus 4.6 over GPT-5, which means they tested both and Anthropic’s code generation won for native Swift output. That’s a live benchmark result disguised as a partnership announcement. If Rork Max can actually one-shot native Swift apps for iPhone, Watch, iPad, TV, and Vision Pro from a browser, the IDE, the build system, the simulator, the provisioning profiles… all of that complexity collapses into a website. There are 34 million registered Apple developers. Most of them hate Xcode. Rork just showed them the exit, and Apple can’t afford to let someone else own the door.
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Thanks to @TheTieIO for hosting a great event and for all the panelists who went along with my unscripted questions
"What's the difference between a narrative and a real category?" That was the question driving our first panel at InnovateDenver. @coltonfconley (@Arrington_Cap) led @Jennasis (@coinfund), @sheynk (@further), @AlpenSheth (@borderless_cap), and @Ray_scale (@Grayscale)through a conversation on building discipline in an industry that rewards chaos. Capital allocation, hiring, roadmap focus. The stuff that compounds.
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It turns out AI agents like internet coins too
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Soon, we won’t even bother with the HTML version
Time to consider not just human visitors, but to treat agents as first-class citizens. Cloudflare’s network now supports real-time content conversion to Markdown at the source using content negotiation headers. cfl.re/4ksZQ1S
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Colton Conley 🛡️ retweeted
Feb 11
Join @PanteraCapital, @Arrington_Cap, Blockchange Ventures, @SentoraHQ for a playbook on building durable protocols in 2026 Featuring: @ColtonFConley, @0xKATYA, @masonnystrom, @Matt_Immerso 📍ETH Denver 🎫Apply to attend: luma.com/backers-and-builder…
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Colton Conley 🛡️ retweeted
The InnovateDenver speaker lineup continues to come together. We are excited to welcome @felix_macht (@greenfield_cap), @PCDispersion (@DispersionVC), @mkriak (@consensysmesh), @alexmatthews95 (Brevan Howard Digital), and @coltonfconley (@Arrington_Cap). InnovateDenver takes place February 18, 2026 during ETHDenver, bringing institutional investors and token issuers together for high impact conversations. Request your invite: innovate.thetie.io/
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