a few prediction markets social apps on my radar right now and all different shapes, all worth a try
the pattern they share: they're financial products where the social graph is the core primitive
>
@sharexyz is the cleanest example where polymarket trades become a feed. you follow wallets the same way you follow accounts copy-trading with profit-sharing on top (really impressive ui/ux branding)
>
@TradeOnsight is a polymarket client built for traders. visible positions, mutuals' calls in your feed, payouts tied to being right
>
@hivy_alpha prediction markets become group activity. shared positions, collective alpha, rewards for participation not just pnl. closer to a discord trade channel than a market interface.
>
@useperminal (underrated) does it on
@HyperliquidX. social prediction feed, one-tap copy, you get paid every time someone copies your call or a referral trades.
apple pay in, crypto out
>
@turfsports_ is using a very interesting approach. they're partnering with polymarket to turn fan takes into priced positions, and they shipped sdk markets on base: a parimutuel toolkit where any community can spin up markets on anything, resolved by AI oracles that scrape ESPN, sleeper, X, podcast transcripts, whatever.
every group chat becomes a potential market.
some more thoughts on my side:
in theory, the best distribution layer for this right now seems to be
@base (for onchain). it's the only ecosystem treating consumer as the actual thesis
~550k daily active addresses and the part that matters most for consumer apps: 9.3m monthly active coinbase trading users sitting one tap away
we're getting there