Dad. RGA Investment Advisors. Soundview Equity Partners. GARP investor. Mets, Jets, Isles fan. Compulsive reader. In awe of nature. Co-host @twiii_podcast.

Joined December 2008
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Incredible new episode with Doug O'Laughlin of @fabknowledge and @SemiAnalysis_!! On how the semi industry is leading AI forward, the winners of the AI race, an intriguing investment opp in the newest bottleneck for the industry & the deep recession in the non-AI semi world.
.@ElliotTurn and @mihaljevic welcome Doug O'Laughlin of SemiAnalysis and Fabricated Knowledge. Doug shares insights into semiconductors, how the industry leads AI forward, AI winners, opportunity in an industry bottleneck, and the non-AI semi recession. podbean.com/eas/pb-m8t6a-17c…
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Bottlenecks create supply. People forget.
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People don't like the 1999 comparison bc we don't have enough big caps with triple digit PEs, but IMO this is where it's most on point. Everything not AI is sold to buy more AI every day the market is open.
So, again, this is just shouting into a void. But this is the most new lows within the S&P 500 $SPY on a day the index poked above a prior all-time closing high. Ever. Like EVER, ever.
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This was a great one from Monday x.com/i/status/2053928596389…

"GS High Beta Momentum Pair is having its biggest 1-d move higher in 5 yrs today …up 866 bps today (laggards down 2-3%, leaders up 5-6%) ..zooming out, the $QQQ is now up 28% since the 3/30 close with only one day of anything larger than a 57 bps daily pullback along the way"
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At any one time about half the stocks outperform the S&P and half underperform, but not now! x.com/i/status/2055245092433…

Only 24% of S&P 500 members outperforming the index over the past 3 months ... going back to the 1970s, there are only a handful of other periods with lower %s. @NDR_Research | past performance is no guarantee of future results
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Elliot Turner retweeted
So, again, this is just shouting into a void. But this is the most new lows within the S&P 500 $SPY on a day the index poked above a prior all-time closing high. Ever. Like EVER, ever.
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Great episode with @peter_mantas covering turmoil at the FDA & it's impact on biotech & life science! It's not every day that you schedule a guest in advance and end up with an incredibly timely headline right before recording. Learn how Makary's firing impacts investments:
New episode: @ElliotTurn and @mihaljevic chat with @Peter_Mantas about the FDA shakeup and what it means for gene therapy approvals, the $QURE saga, AI and drug discovery, and valuing biotech "picks and shovels" companies like $CLPT and $RGEN. Don't miss this biotech masterclass.
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Elliot Turner retweeted
New episode: @ElliotTurn and @mihaljevic chat with @Peter_Mantas about the FDA shakeup and what it means for gene therapy approvals, the $QURE saga, AI and drug discovery, and valuing biotech "picks and shovels" companies like $CLPT and $RGEN. Don't miss this biotech masterclass.
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Someone should ask @DrMakaryFDA and @NIHDirector_Jay about this directly. They want you to believe there wasn't malicious intent behind de-funding what could be a profound breakthrough in cancer to settle political scores.
That is literally a lie, as Bhattacharya wrote an op-ed trying to explain their move. He essentially was arguing that the "brand" of mRNA is tainted by public backlash to the COVID vaccine. washingtonpost.com/opinions/…
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That is literally a lie, as Bhattacharya wrote an op-ed trying to explain their move. He essentially was arguing that the "brand" of mRNA is tainted by public backlash to the COVID vaccine. washingtonpost.com/opinions/…
I asked FDA Commissioner Marty Makary if the promising new signs about the mRNA-based vaccine for pancreatic cancer made HHS reconsider its decision to cancel half a billion dollars' worth of federal funding for mRNA vaccine projects.
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Always interesting to hear what members are thinking and where they're finding opportunities. Especially excited for @ElliotTurn's latest thoughts!
We are hosting a member call today at 2pm ET. Hope you can join! Check the latest Latticework Weekly Inspiration newsletter for the link.
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This was an awesome episode! I didn't know Shaun beforehand and instantly wanted to learn more. I loved heraing his origin story, process and investment case studies. Please do give this episode a listen!
New episode is out! @ElliotTurn and @mihaljevic sit down with Shaun Heelan, CIO of MAAT Investment Group, for a masterclass in PE-style diligence and value investing. Shaun explains passing on Vistry Group and shares a current high-conviction idea. Enjoy! podbean.com/eas/pb-eiup9-1a9…
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To think this admin spent the eve of this war picking a petty, public fight with Anthropic over their terms of service. It's almost like they purposely forgot to plan it.
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Life science tool sales are running at 2019-ish levels (less on unit basis), and utilization levels are elevated after a multi year downturn from the burn off of Covid overbuild and slowing end mkt funding / investment levels. If the Dario/Anthropic view of a looming biotech innovation boom is right, this industry has the potential to go to extreme COVID-like shortages, or possibly even more severe. On COVID peak earnings the group is quite cheap, and w/ recurring revenue base expansion, unit inflation, and buybacks, the next cycle peak earnings should be much higher. $DHR $TMO $DIM FP $MKGAF $RGEN
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Follow my son @realTomBayes for hot takes and podcasts on prediction markets before he graduates from middle school.
This kid is 13? What the heck?
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DAY 5 of attempting to cure my dog's cancer using AI UPDATE: We finally found a way to sequence Rosie's DNA. A thread 🧵
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Replying to @ElliotTurn
Reminds me of the illusion of greater accuracy with more info:
Replying to @investingdpark
More information doesn't lead to better investment outcomes: A study was conducted with horse racing and showed the illusion of accuracy with more information Only a few key variables drive results, it's better to ignore the rest aei.ag/2022/05/31/horse-raci…
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So there's still hope for us human investors before our robot overlords take over!
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