A phase 1 deal, technically an MoU, btwn the US & Iran is closer than ever. But we’ve heard this before, so why is now different, and what are the political forces driving and dampening these prospects? I joined Nicky Schiller on @BBCWorld earlier today to discuss.
The 2025-2026 strikes did what diplomacy couldn't: no operating enrichment plants in Iran for the first time since 2006. The next agreement must lock that in — full, verified dismantlement.
New interactive timeline from @StrickerNonpro and @mdubowitz ⬇️ fdd.org/analysis/2026/06/12/…
$84.6 billion in defense. $246 billion in aviation and infrastructure. $8.8 billion in U.S. universities.
Qatar's footprint in America is vast, methodical, and underexamined.
For the full dataset, check out @NatalieEcanow's new visual: fdd.org/qatarmoneyusa/?utm_c…
📈 NEW interactive from @StrickerNonpro and @mdubowitz: Track Iran's nuclear enrichment from the late 1990s through the 2025-2026 strikes that destroyed most of Tehran's program.
See how stockpiles grew across 4 administrations — and what the JCPOA would have allowed. fdd.org/analysis/2026/06/12/…
Lawmakers have begun pushing for transparency in the foreign funding of schools in Georgia and Florida, which is a good start. However, no laws at the state or federal level prohibit foreign influence, explain @SimoneJWei & @NomiFried:
washingtontimes.com/news/202…
Remember, Mr. President, down-blending and letting Iran keep the material is a reversible constraint. You must dismantle all enrichment infrastructure, and destroy or remove all LEU and HEU material.
Georgia, once Washington’s closest partner in the post-Soviet space, is deepening its strategic alignment with China. President Xi Jinping and Georgian President Mikheil Kavelashvili announced the two elevated bilateral relations to a “comprehensive strategic partnership.”
fdd.org/analysis/2026/06/12/…
As foreign minister and VP under Maduro, interim President Delcy Rodríguez helped build Venezuela's ties with U.S. adversaries. Despite pressure from Washington to orient toward the West, she's reinvigorating relationships with middle powers, writes @realSamuelBenUr:
fdd.org/analysis/2026/06/11/…
.@MahyarTousi asked where things could stand 60 days from now.
@therealBehnamBT noted that the administration has begun using the word "dismantlement" when discussing the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program, a term that implies far more than limits or inspections. It means physically taking apart key infrastructure.
His assessment: the crisis is far from over, and if Tehran overplays its hand, the current standoff could return to open confrontation much sooner than many expect.
FDD’s @therealBehnamBT says the fuel shortages now being reported across Iran are evidence that the pressure campaign is having a real impact.
According to Taleblu, the Islamic Republic’s oil exports fell from roughly 2.1 million barrels per day before the blockade to just 64,000 barrels per day in May. Combined with strikes on energy infrastructure, the regime is now facing pressure on multiple fronts.
As long lines form at petrol stations across Iran, the economic consequences are becoming harder to hide.
Both Washington and Tehran may be buying time, but for different reasons.
@therealBehnamBT warned that any deal that eases pressure on the regime without major concessions could give the Islamic Republic breathing room just as internal and economic pressures are intensifying.
“The regime is playing to the edge.” The question is whether the West lets it.
🚨 NEW | Turkey is trending negative
Trump praised Erdogan days after a Turkish court removed the elected leadership of Turkey's main opposition party. Treating Ankara as a stabilizing partner while it backtracks on democracy and positions itself as a patron of Hamas is not a strategy — it is a concession.
🔗@SinanCiddi has the breakdown 👇
fdd.org/analysis/2026/06/02/…
New: @FDD nuclear expert @StrickerNonpro, our infographics team and I chart Iran’s nuclear trajectory from 2008 to 2026. We include the JCPOA counterfactual.
Trump inflicted major damage on Iran’s nuclear program (unlike his predecessors) and has leverage he shouldn’t squander.
Iran's enriched uranium stockpiles grew under Bush, Obama, Trump & Biden — surviving both diplomacy and sanctions. Now, after the 2025-2026 strikes, the picture has changed.
Track the full timeline in @StrickerNonpro and @mdubowitz's new interactive. fdd.org/analysis/2026/06/12/…
NEW @FDD Interactive Visual: Iran's Nuclear Enrichment Progress, 2008–2025 and Beyond
@POTUS' strikes have done more to set back Iran’s nuclear threat than diplomacy ever did — at least temporarily nullifying the threat of a near-term nuclear breakout.
Any negotiated agreement must therefore consider a new reality: for the first time since 2006, Iran is no longer enriching uranium and has no operating enrichment plants.
The United States should insist that Iran is never permitted to restart, and correspondingly, demand the full, verified dismantlement of all enrichment infrastructure, @mdubowitz and I explain:
fdd.org/analysis/2026/06/12/…