Joined August 2021
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- Followers 8,338
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866 Photos and videos
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13 Nov 2024
To whom it may concern,
You can also follow me at jonnyc.bsky.social
Best wishes,
JC ๐
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Jun 11
i liked this bit
This week at @SolioAnalytics we shared Season Reports with Tier 4 subscribers!
It contained lots of cool & novel stuff. My favourite part: we simulated 2000 full seasons of outcomes for 3.5m active FPL managers.
I won 3 of these!
Also, 25% of my sim'd top 1ks were top 100s.
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The โscouting bonusโ in #WCFantasy seems fun
We made a small, free tool to track:
โ
newly eligible players
๐ players drifting <5%
๐ players drifting >5%
โญ your team/watchlist
Updates dynamically - could be total chaos near tomorrowโs deadline ๐
๐ wcfscouting.solioanalytics.cโฆ
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JC ๐ retweeted
Jun 10
It took an inordinate amount of time to collect the data and make this graphic, but at least we now have conclusive proof that Sweden is, in fact, colder than Texas
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JC ๐ retweeted
โฝFINAL EPISODE - SEASON SIXโฝ๏ธ
What We Learned This FPL Season
What we did right, wrong and where we can improve with the help of The Best (And Worst) Fantasy Manager in The World - @FPL_Spaceman
Sponsored by @CryptoBlockDan๐ฅ
#FantasyPremierLeague
Audio -> bit.ly/AAFPLSpotify
Video -> bit.ly/AAFPLYouTube
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Jun 4
Very pleased with this for our first season
Jun 4
Model was great:
โข player level: 23,810 player-gameweeks, average error โ0.02 pts. It's well calibrated.
โข manager level: projected vs actual season points, basically on the diagonal.
Unbiased overall selected shortfall at the optimized top.
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JC ๐ retweeted
Jun 4
We built eos.solioanalytics.com (type your #FPL ID and see your season vs model projection for your team, against 13.1M managers or 3.5M active managers who used 6 chips)
Some people loved it, but not everyone is happy with it.
A short thread on what "luck" actually measures.
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JC ๐ retweeted
Jun 1
Got to talk with Annie Duke about decision-making, probabilistic thinking, and using fantasy sports as a decision training ground.
If you want to better understand football or fantasy sports and haven't read Thinking in Bets, you're leaving so much on the table.
Enjoy ๐
Jun 1
Two things determine how your life turns out:
Luck (which you can't control).
And the quality of your decisions.
I spoke with @AnnieDuke about what it actually looks like to improve the second one.
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JC ๐ retweeted
Jun 3
#WCFantasy Official game model is now liveโบ!
Top 3 players per position for MD1:
GK๐งค
๐ฅBaumann 6.5*
๐ฅNyland 6.06*
๐ฅC. Vargas 5.6*
DEF๐งฑ
๐ฅKimmich 8.8
๐ฅKadioglu 8.2*
๐ฅD. Sanchez 8.0*
MID๐
๐ฅYamal 8.9
๐ฅWirtz 8.5
๐ฅMusiala 8.4
FWDโฝ๏ธ
๐ฅNunez 8.9*
๐ฅ Son 8.0*
๐ฅHavertz 7.2
*Scouting Bonus applies
โบFinal model run: June-10
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Jun 3
25/26 multi-format season review
the trick to fantasy football is to play seven different versions of it simultaneously so statistically one of them has to go well. you're welcome
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JC ๐ retweeted
Jun 2
Free World Cup 2026 Predictions ๐
Teams: Goals. Clean sheets. Win %.
Players: Goals. Assists. Goal Involvement.
Completely free. No ads. No login. No paywall.
Enjoy ๐๐
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JC ๐ retweeted
Jun 1
We have released a tool to see your #FPL season expectations versus where you actually finished, based on Solio projected points.
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May 31
Elliot Anderson was such a game-breaker at his price with his consistent DefCons that everyone bought him oh wait
Elliot Anderson had his best-ever #FPL season in 2025/26 ๐
โฝ๏ธ 4 goals
๐
ฐ๏ธ 5 assists
๐งฑ 52 defensive contribution points
โ 16 bonus points
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May 29
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May 28
#FPL Season Review 2025/26
OR: 6,620
Highlights definitely have to be:
- FH17 with double triple clean sheet stacks coming in, a penalty save, and a defender brace
- FH23 with Marmoush cap after Haaland leaked not to start, leading to a most unusual chip line through the doubles and blanks in the late season
- Elliot Anderson
1: Relative gain TOTY (fploptimized)
2: Data rankings (fplreview)
3: Predicted vs realised performance (fploptimized)
4: Season overview (nextXI)
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May 28
All-time rankings and performance by season (premierfantasytools & fplresearch)
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May 27
Can we stop calling any online tool or website "AI"
May 27
How I won fantasy football in my first ever season - without using AI bbc.in/4wINsR8
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May 24
#FPL GW38
=====================
IN: Foden, Bowen
OUT: Cherki, Haaland
(2/2)
------------------------------
Foden (c)
------------------------------
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May 24
#SDT GW37
=====================
IN: Muรฑoz, Sarr, Foden, Bowen
OUT: Nunes, Tielemans, Rogers, Watkins
(4/4)
------------------------------
Muรฑoz (c)
------------------------------
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