Many of those who indicate their support for Hanson in polls do so in the expectation that she won't win: the Abeline paradox. In effect they are protesting against the major parties, knowing an actual election is years away and Hanson will be exposed as totally ill-equipped for government or anything more than infantile burka stunts and repetitious claims of having "a gutful" of something. She will make absurd statements against immigration but is far too lazy to do any policy development or even turn up to fulfill her Senate duties. She will also avoid the media except for her embarrassing cheersquad at @SkyNewsAust that no-one watches. Those who claim to represent battlers don't fly in private jets gifted by a billionaire mining magnate. When it all falls apart, and it won't take long, it will have achieved nothing other than splitting the conservative vote and the Murdoch press. @AlboMP must not be able to believe how lucky he is!

The entire discussion about whether Israel will or will not accept any agreement between the US and Iran is a waste of time, nothing but an exercise in smoke and mirrors. Israel will do as it is told because it has no choice but to do precisely as it is told. If Israel rejects or acts to undermine the agreement, and does so without consequence, that is because it has been authorized and perhaps encouraged to do so by Washington. It really is that simple.

Netanyahu has decided to accept the Iranian deal. Security officials are despondent and see it as a disaster. Ynet brings some high level quotes from them: 1) A senior Israeli official said "Nobody is happy with this. We understand it is not good for us, and that it harms Israeli interests. What is troubling is that Israel cannot influence it. Its voice is not being heard." 2) The anger at Trump is palpable.: "Trump screwed us, we took the hit. We're no longer in the loop and can't really influence anything." 3) Israelis fear Iran will be economically revived: "They've blown money on the Iranians, who are getting everything they want. They'll build a missile corps, and we'll have to pour money into interceptors." Israel sees oil revenue flowing back into the exact capabilities the war was meant to degrade. 4) They don't believe a deal will adequately deal with the nuclear issue: "The real test of the deal is removing the uranium and destroying it. If that doesn't happen, the sense of a bad deal will turn into something more concrete." 5) They fear this will embolden Iran: "Iran has smelled that it can achieve things by force, and it will use that against its neighbors and against us." 6) The deepest worry is not military. It is perception. After months of direct fire, Iran is seen across the region as the side that took the pressure and did not fold: "the regional working assumption will be that it was signed under Iranian pressure and American capitulation, rather than the reverse." Israel is concerned that Iran will be stronger, the US will be weaker and that the future for it will be bleak in the region. This war has been a disaster for Israel.

It won't be long before @PaulineHansonOz's confrontational rhetoric - nudged along nicely by the media - turns to violence. Mark my words.

Why we are in the middle game of the worst Escalation Trap in US history Not the endgame And things will get worse

Iran FM: The end of war on all fronts, including Lebanon, will be announced... US commits to not initiating war or using threats... Strait of Hormuz and lifting of the naval blockade are included in the agreement... A mechanism has been formulated for Iran's frozen funds.

Friends, many of you have contacted me about the FreePress "story" and that I am set to be deported. I haven't had a chance to write, but will do so shortly on my Substack to explain what happened. Thank you all for all the support you have shown! tritaparsi.substack.com/

This appears half way down the @WSJ homepage, a sign of diminishing interest? The U.S., Iran and chief mediator Pakistan agreed that a peace deal to end the war was nearly complete, though an initial agreement would only kick-start the hardest part of nuclear negotiations over the coming months wsj.com/world/middle-east/tr…

Grateful beyond words for our time together, all the meaningful experiences, and the friendship we share. Thank you, President Prabowo. I look forward to seeing you again. More to come… stay tuned. 🔥

🔺 BREAKING: Al Carns has resigned as a defence minister, he has announced in a letter to the prime minister shared on social media, following John Healey’s exit as defence secretary. 🔗Read more: thetimes.com/uk/politics/art…