$SIVE is the most compelling CPO/photonics exposure to me.
Addressing the disinformation: I haven’t sold and don’t plan to sell a single share.
I do think this ends up the next $80B
$LITE one day from ~$2.1B.
And I personally have plans to acquire more ownership support their M&A prospects.
I believe earnings transcripts will be strongly positive.
As in the part few months we’ve discovered:
> AlChip/Amazon private placements, which is positive for Ayar ->
$SIVE implying Trainium 4 design in
> Wiwynn Ayar CPO scale up
>
$JBL 1.6T optical transceiver ramp with Sivers incoming faster than markets expected (with relatively dramatic moat demand as much as they can produce)
> O-Net scaling up ELS efforts with
$SIVE
>
$YSS acquisition of
$SIVE allspace lead partner, designing Sivers into Space defense primes
> New CHIPS ACT funding for
$SIVE
>
$POET H2 volume ramp and their new $50m -> $500m order (with
$SIVE as light source)
> information discovery around
$AAPL using
$SIVE lasers for next gen consumer devices
> information discovery around links to Lightelligence (went public $10B MC) Lightmatter as likely customers.
> Celestial volume ramp with
$MRVL indicators.
> new customers working on TFLN with
$SIVE like Lightium
>
$AMD going with
$GFS for CPO, and GFS listing sivers as one of two laser suppliers
> Ayar removing
$MTSI /
$LITE from their website and signaling
$SIVE as primary source/sole source
> Ayar raising $500m for volume ramp (intel, Mediatek, Nvidia, amd etc)
> pluggable TAM expansion signaled from 2025 annual report
> Nasdaq listing expected soon
> MSCI small cap index / Nasdaq omx inclusion, making Blackrock, Vanguard and others passive buyers
> M&A signaled from 2025 annual report 2 new board members that have experience in that area
>
$NOK as likely customer from 2025 annual report.
>
$LITE getting cw bottlenecked from EML contracts,
$SIVE signaling capacity agreements in place with Win, making the a likely bottleneck owner chokepoint in CPO sector.
All of this market research was done before earnings.
Any results is just confirmation of supply chain mapping done.
I don’t think anyone cares about former quarter revenue since
$SIVE is an exceptionally compelling 2027 long, especially H2 onward.
Only thing I’m looking at are:
> TAM expansion of the overall photonics supercycle (eg. optical engine, ELS, pluggables) either from M&A or developments
> volume ramp expectations from existing companies
> Nasdaq listing timelines for more liquidity to support their M&A efforts
> any new customers signaled for CPO/Pluggables