$PPIH Q1 2026 Reflection: Demand Remains Robust, Margins Temporarily Hit, Outlook Bullish
DEMAND 📈
- Revenue increased and most importantly, it was due to volume in both NA and MENA regions. It means that demand is still very strong.
- It is also confirmed by the backlog compared to Q4'25 where new orders that came in Q1 are 65m, pushing a total backlog to 146m.
- One part of revenue was not realized due to the Middle East conflict, but at least no projects have been cancelled.
- On LinkedIn, you can see a number of open positions, and most of them have been created recently, especially for the NA data center segment. So the demand is "real"; no one opens the positions if they don't see a good return on those.
MARGINS ⚠️
- Gross profit has been hit pretty strongly. There is no breakdown by the cause, it seems its a mixture of things: ramping production in Ohio and Qatar, sales mix in Canada, higher margin projects in MENA delayed.
- My read on it is that the majority of them are temporary.; besides Canada, which might or might not be. MENA situation will get resolved eventually, leading to both repair new work for PPIH; Once operations in Ohio are set, NA will benefit greatly from operating leverage
OUTLOOK 🔮
Mngt expects both higher revenue and profit vs 2025. This is super interesting. So even with the current Iran situation affecting the whole region, extra costs associated with starting the production,...they still expect to increase profit. It means that the rest of the year we should see very strong results and looking further ahead with operations stabilising, 2027 might be the first year to show the real strength of the company, benefiting from "back to normal" demand in the Middle East AI demand from North America
VALUATION 💵
Currently, I think the market is taking the short-term view of the company, overemphasizing the operating issues that took place in Q1.
We have a company with 220m of market cap that did 20.7m of profit in 2025 and this year, despite all the issues mentioned above, is guiding to a higher profit.
Just to get to the same level as in 2025, not even grow(as mngt said), the average quarterly profit for the next 3 quarters needs to be 6m. If we are to annualize that, we are getting to 24m, not catering for the operating leverage that will take place and the potential data center demand that's difficult to quantify.
#DataCenter #AI