Of the seven (now eight) ASR polls conducted, Sullivan led in just one, back in July–August of last year.
Meanwhile, Peltola has been at or around 50% for nearly a year. It’s hard to see how she isn’t the favorite here.
Alaska Survey Research poll | 6/4-6/7 LV
US Senate Alaska 2026
🟦Mary Peltola 49.4% [ 1.0]
🟥Dan Sullivan 44.2% [-0.4] (incumbent)
🟥Gerald Heikes 3.7% [-1.4]
🟥Dustin Darden 2.7% [no change]
(Change from 5/14-5/17)