What if Biden Stayed in the Race? Wisconsin
🔴 Donald Trump: 1,719,927 (50.84%)
(Increase 22,301 votes, 1.24%)
🔵 Joe Biden: 1,597,462 (47.22%)
(Decrease 70,767 votes, -1.52%)
I'm going to do six more states for the Biden staying in scenario.
I have 5 decided: TX, NE, OH, VA, and RI. One more is in a poll in the thread.
Which one should I do first?
What if Biden Stayed in the Race? New Jersey
🔴 Donald Trump: 2,028,481 votes (48.82%)
(Increase 60,266 votes, 2.76%)
🔵 Joe Biden: 2,018,925 votes (48.69%)
(Decrease -201,788, -3.38%)
(I think this is 50/50 tbh)
Well, it seems TX AG Ken Paxton has earned the coveted Trump endorsement, so let’s revisit Paxton’s & John Cornyn’s weakest performances to gauge where they might land.
Cornyn’s weakest came in ‘20, winning by 10% while Trump won by 5.5%. Paxton’s was in ‘18, winning by 3.5% while Cruz won reelection by 2.5%. We can conclude that Cornyn does outperform the top of the ticket more than Paxton, but we should also consider environment, opponents and that Paxton has built up more baggage since then.
Should be an interesting runoff…