Iran War assessment after 72 hours.
The resilience, missile/drone capacity and asymmetric strategy of the Iranian regime has come as a surprise to US-Israel.
The intent now, in next 3-4 weeks, would be to destroy nuclear, military and economic (oil and defence industry) infrastructure and continue targeting the political/military leadership hoping for a psychological collapse of the regime. The result is contingent on Iran’s residual ballistic missile and drone capacity.
If the regime remains resilient, then US will declare victory and try to negotiate favourable terms and exit, if at all it can.
Short of regime change it would be a political defeat for US-Israel. Boots on ground will lead to a bigger defeat.
A devastated Iran will have no reason to negotiate. It will switch to asymmetric warfare leading to prolonged turmoil in Middle East including political upheaval. Trump has opened Pandora’s Box.
Next one week will show up a more discernible trend.