SEVERE WEATHER THREAT MONDAY
(UPDATE SATURDAY 5 PM)
You know Iβll always shoot straight with you and never hype or sensationalize anything. So when I tell you to pay attention to the weather Monday, I really mean it.
A powerful cold front, strong upper-level winds, and plenty of storm fuel are likely to combine and produce scattered to widespread severe storms on Monday. The entire area is currently under a Level 3 (Enhanced) risk out of 5, but the Storm Prediction Center believes part of the Pee Dee and Border Belt into central North Carolina could be upgraded to a Level 4 (Moderate) risk in their next update Sunday.
In a setup like this, we could initially see individual rotating storms (supercells) develop from late morning through mid-afternoon. These isolated storms can produce strong tornadoes. After those move through, an intense line of storms (Squall Line) along the cold front may sweep across the area late in the afternoon, bringing the potential for damaging straight-line winds and a few tornadoes.
1. Is this a slam dunk? Still no. Cloud cover could limit the available storm fuel, and the front could move through earlier than expected, reducing the threat. However, the chances of that happening are lower than they were this morning. Just know that if we see sunshine on Monday, thatβs bad news because it increases the amount of storm fuel available, leading to more intense storms and greater tornado potential.
2. Even in higher-end severe weather setups, many people never see severe weather. Thatβs good news. However, Monday is one of those days where if you do see severe weather, it could be very bad. Thatβs why itβs important to stay weather-aware. Have multiple way to get warnings Monday by downloading our Weather Authority app now. Search βWPDEWXβ in your app store.
I'll have another update on Sunday.