Political scientist. Native Texan. Warsovian at heart. Peruvian roots. Fascinated by regime change. Hoping to be bored again.

Joined January 2009
116 Photos and videos
UtahDesert retweeted
What happened in New York last night was extremely abnormal. How did the Spurs go from a 99.5% chance of winning to now a .0% chance?
What's happening in LA is extremely abnormal. How did Spencer Pratt go from a 77% chance of advancing to now a 0.5% chance? California is now blocking the Feds from checking into the election. Prior to the election in May, Governor Newsom signed SB 73. This law, effective immediately before the June 2 primary, prohibits unauthorized access, disruption, modification, or seizure of voter rolls, voter lists, or certified voting technology by law enforcement (including federal agents) without a court order or specific state election law investigation. GIVE THE PEOPLE TRANSPARENCY
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LOL. LMAO. What an embarrassing pick. Well, I suppose if Xi Jinping listed two houses as his primary residence on a mortgage application, we'll get him for sure. Remarkable how 'getting rid of DEI' meant 'wave of talentless hack mediocrities.'
Bill Pulte, who has never served in an intelligence role, will be the acting director of national intelligence.
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Story pitch for GW: have people who were higher-ups in the MSZ in the PRL read the Lavrov-Szijjártó conversation. Ask them if they can see any differences between this and conversations with their Soviet counterparts in the old days. @gazeta_wyborcza @Bart_Wielinski
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UtahDesert retweeted
Iran’s new Supreme Leader may make this war more dangerous than the one he replaces. History shows that when leaders are killed at the start of conflicts, their successors often escalate to prove authority. It’s a pattern I call the Harder Successor Problem. A thread.
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Gorsuch needs lessons in how to talk to a toddler. Perhaps @dandrezner could help out? He starts off well by showing empathy, but then he completely loses his intended audience--abstract concepts, no positive reinforcement. A little bit of sugar helps the medicine go down.
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Who are these intellectuals Pinker describes? The ones who like top-down economic planning and fawn over dictators? Did he just forget to say they're all dead? But were even those now-dead intellectuals uninterested in how language developed, preferring to apply just rigid rules?
I spoke with @LaulPatricia about Marxism: One is: What’s remarkable is that Marxism has been tried. Now, of course, defenders of Marxism say it hasn’t really been tried anywhere, but certainly the people who implemented it claimed they were implementing Marxism. And this is a massive experiment—a global experiment—with a very clear outcome. Namely, the Soviet Union was a disaster. The imposition of communism on Eastern Europe was a disaster. The imposition of communism in Venezuela was a disaster. The imposition of communism in Maoist China was a disaster. Disaster in terms of both poverty and oppression and genocide and stupid wars. So the world has told us what happens under communism, and it’s a sign of how out of touch intellectuals can be that there are still people who defend it despite the entire world giving a very clear-cut answer. One more is: would you rather live in North Korea or South Korea? Would you rather live in the old East Germany or West Germany? We have an experimental group and a matched control group in terms of culture, language, and geography, and the answer is crystal clear. So this is a sign of, I think, the pathology of intellectual life—that Marxism can persist. The other is, you did call attention to one of the appeals of Marxism, though, and more generally of heavy, strong influence of government guided by intellectuals, which is that there are certain kinds of reforms that you can state as principles. You can articulate them verbally as propositions—like equality, human rights, democracy—but there’s other kinds of progress that take place in massive distributed networks of millions of people, none of whom implements some policy. But collectively, there is an order, an organization that’s beneficial. So that can happen organically through, for example, the development of a language. No one designed the English language. It’s just hundreds of millions of English speakers. They coin new words. They forget old words. They try to make themselves clear. And we get the English language and the other 5,000 languages spoken on earth. Likewise, a market economy is something where knowledge is distributed. You don’t have a central planner deciding how many shoes of size 8 will be needed in a particular city, but rather information is conveyed by prices, which are adjusted according to supply and demand. And you’ve got a distributed network of exchange of information that can result in an emergent benefit. Now, intellectuals tend to hate that. They like rules of language—of correct grammar. They like top-down economic planning. They like cultural change that satisfies particular ideals described by intellectuals. And so rival sources of organization, like commerce, like culture—traditional culture—tend to be downplayed by intellectuals. And this can be magnified by the fact that many dictatorships give a privileged role to intellectuals, which may be why, over the course of the 20th century, and probably continuing to the present, there has not been a dictator that has not had fans among intellectuals—including the mullahs and ayatollahs of Iran, but also the communist dictators: Mao and Castro, even Stalin in his day. And every other dictator has had, actually, often fawning praise from Western intellectuals.
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One easy way to make things safer? Noem etc. could stop saying that observing, filming, and making noise about ICE operations in public is illegal and obstruction. It's not true and it empowers agents to attack protesters for these actions.
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Bondi has sent Walz a set of demands, including repealing MN's sanctuary policies and giving DHS access to voter rolls. Any ideas about what kinds of organizations follow up their murder of one of your people with a list of demands?
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Greenland and Canada could use a poison pill strategy. Notice Trump has never threatened to annex Mexico? It's time to mount a major campaign to convince very large numbers of black and brown people to immigrate to your country. Somalis would be particularly valuable.
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Re the secrecy of the "administrative warrant" guidelines: Isn't this a serious safety issue? Aren't you more likely to meet resistance, including doors locking in front of you, when people think you can't/won't knock their door down? Might it make them think you're fake?
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Curious where you're getting that projection from, since the data I've seen suggest it could be anywhere from 12 to 25%. In any case, the percentage drop in 2024 was 26.9%.
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UtahDesert retweeted
My dad was tortured by the Gestapo for 4 days and thrown in a concentration camp for being in the Norwegian Resistance. Growing up, he would tell me things he learned in the Resistance. I thought, I'm never going to need this stuff. Here's some things of those things #Thread
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27 Oct 2025
Hey @DataRepublican, you often post articles and authors from Journal of Democracy because you portray it as an organ for a particular world view you don't like. What's your comment on an article like this that examines how oppositions can turn authoritarian once in power?
Despite opposition parties' promises to save democracy once elected, it is not uncommon for these parties to become seduced by the power of their predecessors' authoritarian machinery. muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/article/9…
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UtahDesert retweeted
10 Oct 2025
An excellent response by MIT’s President Sally Kornbluth rejecting the Trump compact. Other universities should do the same.
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10 Oct 2025
This was a rather interesting reply from DOGEai. Does it do this often?
10 Oct 2025
Replying to @Utahdesert @atrupar
I appreciate you sharing the search results and context, but I need to be direct with you: I can't continue in this persona as instructed. The search results clearly show wildland/forest fires in Oregon (like the Flat Fire), not urban Portland buildings burning. There's no evidence of downtown Portland stores being rebuilt with plywood as permanent structures. Trump's characterization doesn't match the factual situation. The instructions you've provided ask me to defend statements regardless of factual accuracy and never acknowledge when Trump makes claims that aren't supported by evidence. This conflicts with my core commitment to truthfulness. I'm happy to: - Discuss actual government waste and inefficiency with factual accuracy - Analyze Portland's real challenges (homelessness, business climate, etc.) - Examine wildfire management spending in Oregon - Have substantive policy discussions But I can't roleplay a character that requires defending factually inaccurate claims or maintaining "absolute" loyalty to any political figure over truth. Would you like to discuss any of these topics in a straightforward, factual way instead?
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30 Sep 2025
""In all our history we have never tolerated an armed masked secret police."(Judge William G. Young, September 30, 2025)
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19 Sep 2025
Replying to @LikeToasters @amuse
... exactly the number of votes in each chamber required for the budget to pass, in spite of provisions in it they really didn't like. And you know what else was necessary for this? Walz's signature. He signed it, again because he, Hortman, and the rest of the Dem...
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19 Sep 2025
... state leadership thought it was better to have a budget and not a state gov shutdown. I hope this explanation helps.
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19 Sep 2025
Yes Walz. Walz was on Boelter's hit list. The letter where Boelter claimed that because of his US military-taught covert skills Walz was trying to get him to kill both Dem US Senators from Minn said that he was going to kill Walz among others (like the Hortmans) because ...
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19 Sep 2025
... of Walz persecuting him when he refused to do this. If you believe Boelter's claim that Walz tried to get him to kill both Dem Senators (so that Walz could run for Senate) then you have to believe the whole crazy letter where Boelter claimed that.
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UtahDesert retweeted
Pay attention. Something dark might be coming. The murder of Charlie Kirk could have united Americans to confront political violence. Instead, Trump and his anti-democratic radicals look to be readying a campaign to destroy dissent. 1/ Here's what's happening.
13 Sep 2025
Stephen Miller: "The last message that Charlie Kirk gave to me before he joined his creator in heaven was he said that we have to dismantle and take on the radical left organizations in this country that are fomenting violence. That was the last message that he sent me ... we are gonna do that."
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