Sociologist | Public Scholar | Middle East Analyst | @UNESCO advisor for the Arab region. I explore fractured modernities of the Arab world & the Mediterranean.
Joined April 2011
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Amro Ali retweeted
Have they called Trump amalek yet?
Israeli Telegram channel with 180K members is in mourning and fury:
"God will curse Trump."
"The first war in Israel's history that we lost."
"We have to admit the facts: Iranians taught America a lesson."
"Hopefully in 10 years we won't be dependent on American idiots."
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Amro Ali retweeted
Jun 14
Al-Jazari's 13th-century robotic swordsman candle clock. The idea behind this design may have been inspired by an Arabic aphorism: "Time is like a sword, if you don't cut it, it cuts you". A reminder to seize the moment before it slips away.
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Amro Ali retweeted
Jun 14
The U.S. plan for drawing down its presence in the Middle East was locking in a new security architecture with Israel allied to the Sunni Arab countries via the Abraham Accords working together to manage the region. The Gaza and now especially Iran wars have completely upended this idea such that the U.S. is faced with a choice of many more years, or even decades, of close involvement in the region or simply exiting the situation without a solid day-after concept in mind.
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Amro Ali retweeted
Jun 14
Israeli official THREATENS to destroy every Arab country in the Middle east starting with Saudi Arabia and also threatens to destroy the United States if they support Iran.
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Amro Ali retweeted
Jun 13
This person stood at the White House podium and assured Americans the U.S. would find weapons of mass destruction in Iraq
Jun 13
I don’t trust Iran.
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Amro Ali retweeted
Jun 13
Israel is not capable of carrying out sustained military operations against Iran without intensive U.S. support at all levels. On top of that during the 12 Day War the U.S. military actually had to step in directly itself to attack the underground nuclear sites.
If President Trump decides to surrender to Iran, that means the Iranians will continue to keep even 1 percent of their nuclear program. In that case, Israel will act at the appropriate time to destroy Iran’s nuclear program in a military strike on its own. If a surrender agreement is actually signed with the Iranians, Israel will not be bound by it.
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Amro Ali retweeted
Jun 13
Dr. Foad Izadi, a professor of American Studies at the University of Tehran and a prominent analyst of U.S.-Iran relations has shared a detailed critique of the purported 14-point U.S.-Iran framework agreement. Izadi says the draft effectively asks Tehran to surrender its greatest strategic asset, control over the Strait of Hormuz, before receiving any irreversible concessions in return.
🔸Izadi argues that reopening Hormuz would immediately lower oil prices, help solve Trump’s political and economic problems, allow the United States to refill its strategic petroleum reserves, and give Washington and Israel time to repair and rebuild military capabilities damaged during the war. In his view, this would simply recreate the cycle of “attack, ceasefire, negotiations, attack,” while giving Trump ample opportunity to abandon the deal later.
🔸He further argues that meaningful sanctions relief cannot be guaranteed because the most important sanctions are imposed by Congress, not the White House, and that under the INARA framework, any agreement would require congressional approval that the pro-Israel lobby could block.
🔸Rather than sign the agreement, Izadi proposes Iran to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed for at least two more months, arguing recent oil sales provide enough revenue to weather the economic costs. He also urges Tehran to begin collecting transit fees from shipping through the strait, saying those revenues would eventually exceed Iran’s oil income.
🔸And Izadi calls for the publication of a list of regional desalination plants and oil facilities that would become “legitimate military targets” if Iran is attacked again. He says if U.S. or Israel attack Iran again, those facilities should be struck in a way that would take at least two years to rebuild, and not just damaged symbolically. Limited destruction would simply create reconstruction contracts for U.S. companies, he says, whereas prolonged disruption would keep global oil and gas prices elevated, crash the regional energy economy, and ensure that the cost of any future attack on Iran remains intolerably high.
Jun 12
جزئیات پیشنویس تفاهمنامه ۱۴ مادهای ایران و آمریکا یعنی
۱- بازشدن #تنگههرمز در قدم اول. یعنی حل مشکلات اقتصادی و سیاسی ترامپ. کشورها معمولا مهمترین اهرم قدرت خود را در قدم اول به طرف مقابل تقدیم نمیکنند.
۲- بعد از باز شدن تنگه هرمز و کاهش قیمت نفت:
ذخایر نفتی آمریکا دوباره پر میشود.
و در فرصت ایجاد شده سامانههای نظامی آمریکا و اسرائیل ترمیم و بازسازی میشوند.
۳- این یعنی تکرار چرخه حمله، آتشبس، مذاکره، حمله. دشمنی افرادی که رهبر معظم انقلاب اسلامی را شهید کردند علیه ایران کم نشده. پیدا کردن بهانه برای خروج از تفاهمنامه برای ترامپ کار مشکلی نیست. ترامپ نباید بتواند ادعا کند که هزینه حمله نظامی دوم به ایران قابل تحمل بوده. آمریکا و اسرائیل با استفاده از این فرصت تنفسی، خود را برای حملات بعدی آماده خواهند کرد. طراحی برای کودتای دوم نیز در دستور کار است.
۴- تحریمهای اصلی علیه ایران تحریمهای کنگره است، نه تحریمهای قوه مجریه. به این ترتیب ترامپ با عنوان اینکه نمیتواند کنگره را مجبور به برداشتن تحریمها کند دبه خواهد کرد.
۵- از سال ۲۰۱۵ هر توافقی با ایران ذیل قانون اینارا نیاز به رأی مثبت کنگره دارد. با توجه به نفوذ لابی اسرائیل، کنگره به برداشته شدن تحریمها علیه ایران رأی مثبت نخواهد داد. نفوذ نتانیاهو در بین نمایندههای دمکرات و جمهوریخواه بیشتر از ترامپ است.
راهحل:
۱- لطفا این تفاهمنامه را امضا نکنید.
۲- لطفا لیستی از تأسیسات آبشیرینکن و تأسیسات نفتی هدف ایران در منطقه منتشر کنید. در صورت حمله مجدد به ایران، این تأسیسات باید به گونهای تخریب شوند که بازسازی آنها حداقل دو سال زمان ببرد.
تخریب محدود بازدارندگی لازم را ایجاد نمیکند. ترامپ به تخریب محدود این تأسیسات به عنوان پروژه بازسازی برای شرکتهای آمریکایی نگاه میکند. اما تخریب گسترده قیمتهای جهانی نفت و گاز را برای حداقل دو سال بالا نگه میدارد و بازدارندگی لازم را ایجاد میکند. مسیرهای جایگزین تنگه هرمز باید در اولویت اهداف ایران باشد.
۳- لطفا تنگه هرمز را برای حداقل دو ماه دیگر باز نکنید. در سه ماه گذشته ایران بیش از ۳۰ میلیارد دلار نفت فروخته، این مبلغ برای مدیریت اقتصادی دو ماه آینده کافی است.
۴- لطفا دریافت عوارض از تنگه هرمز را فراموش نکنید. بر اساس برآوردهای بینالمللی عوارض حاصل از تنگه هرمز میتواند بیشتر از دو برابر فروش نفت باشد. بخشی از راه حل مشکلات اقتصادی کشور همین است، نه در توهم رفع تحریمها ماندن.
mehrnews.com/x3cjcs
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Amro Ali retweeted
Jun 13
Gulf states are neither ideological nor suicidal like Israel, they will follow their interests, and although they thought for a long time that their interests were in a rapprochement with Israel, now they think that their interests depend on a rapprochement with Iran.
This is a major outcome of this war.
x.com/citrinowicz/status/206…
The growing rapprochement between the UAE and Iran undermines a key assumption that has shaped much of the Israeli debate over the past year, namely, that Gulf states would move closer to Israel, expand the Abraham Accords, or even support a more confrontational regional posture toward Tehran in the wake of the war.
In reality, many Gulf states are deeply frustrated with Israel. From their perspective, they were drawn into a regional crisis that imposed significant economic and security costs on them. Since the strikes on Qatar, many in the Gulf increasingly view Israel not as a source of stability, but as a potential driver of regional escalation.
As a result, there is little prospect of major new normalization steps with Israel absent dramatic progress on the Palestinian issue. Gulf leaders understand that the Iranian regime is not going anywhere, and they see no strategic benefit in trying to isolate Tehran or push it into a corner.
This does not mean that Gulf states have become naïve about Iran. They remain deeply aware of the challenges and threats posed by Tehran. However, their preferred strategy is de-escalation and coexistence rather than confrontation. From their perspective, maintaining channels of communication with Iran is a necessity, not a choice.
#IranWar
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Seven hours. All children.
Jun 12
Cardinal Zuppi read the names of every child who passed away in Gaza. It took him 7 hours.
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Amro Ali retweeted
Jun 13
Netanyahu has decided to accept the Iranian deal. Security officials are despondent and see it as a disaster. Ynet brings some high level quotes from them:
1) A senior Israeli official said "Nobody is happy with this. We understand it is not good for us, and that it harms Israeli interests. What is troubling is that Israel cannot influence it. Its voice is not being heard."
2) The anger at Trump is palpable.: "Trump screwed us, we took the hit. We're no longer in the loop and can't really influence anything."
3) Israelis fear Iran will be economically revived: "They've blown money on the Iranians, who are getting everything they want. They'll build a missile corps, and we'll have to pour money into interceptors." Israel sees oil revenue flowing back into the exact capabilities the war was meant to degrade.
4) They don't believe a deal will adequately deal with the nuclear issue: "The real test of the deal is removing the uranium and destroying it. If that doesn't happen, the sense of a bad deal will turn into something more concrete."
5) They fear this will embolden Iran: "Iran has smelled that it can achieve things by force, and it will use that against its neighbors and against us."
6) The deepest worry is not military. It is perception. After months of direct fire, Iran is seen across the region as the side that took the pressure and did not fold: "the regional working assumption will be that it was signed under Iranian pressure and American capitulation, rather than the reverse."
Israel is concerned that Iran will be stronger, the US will be weaker and that the future for it will be bleak in the region. This war has been a disaster for Israel.
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Seems like this should be a bigger story in the U.S., and it would be if the firm was Russian, Iranian, Chinese…
Jun 12
Israeli firm BlackCore suspected of meddling in NYC, Scotland elections haaretz.com/israel-news/secu…
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Amro Ali retweeted
Jun 12
The Israel issue and the oligarchy issue are becoming increasingly intertwined. The U.S. is undergoing third world levels of media consolidation and it appears to be at least partly motivated by partisanship for a foreign country.
Jun 11
Former '60 Minutes' staffers are sick of seeing Bari Weiss destroy the show:
“She comes in as a self-declared ‘Zionist fanatic,’ and I’m sorry, but that should disqualify her from playing an editorial role in CBS News coverage of Israel.” variety.com/2026/tv/features…
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“Palestinian anger” is such a weird way to frame ethnic cleansing.
Jun 12
'They destroyed the future': Palestinian anger at rise in Israeli demolitions in East Jerusalem bbc.in/4eDbNAL
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Amro Ali retweeted
Jun 12
This article is 22 years old.
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The promise of colonialism has always been the same: surrender your dignity, abandon your dead, betray your people, and in return we’ll let you participate in your own subjugation. What an offer.
Jun 10
Netanyahu addresses the people of Lebanon:
Seize your future. Join Israel. Build safety and prosperity for all of our children.
And once Hezbollah is dismantled, the possibilities will be endless. And they are sky high.
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Amro Ali retweeted
Jun 12
An EU official accidentally told the truth and now all hell is breaking loose
🚨 EXCLUSIVE: EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas compared Israel to apartheid-era South Africa during high-level talks in Mexico – breaking ranks with the EU's official diplomatic line.
This is bigger than a slip of the tongue. Here's why it matters. 🧵 1/6
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Amro Ali retweeted
Jun 11
Hi @FBI, not sure if you saw but this guy working for a foreign-aligned thinktank seems to be calling for the assassination of an American citizen and journalist.
Jun 9
Ali Khamenei is gone. Yahya Sinwar is gone. Hassan Nasrallah is gone.
Now the most public advocate for the elimination of Israel may be Peter Beinart.
We’ll see how Mojtaba Khamenei and Erdogan evolve. For now, Peter is out front. Mazal Tov.
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Amro Ali retweeted
Jun 11
"They're not hostages. They're in prison for crimes."
the crimes
7 May 2025
Palestinian children being arrested for walking on a Jewish only street in the West Bank.
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Amro Ali retweeted
BREAKING: Elon Musk is expected to have a net worth of $1.33 trillion this year
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Amro Ali retweeted
🇪🇬🤝🇹🇷 For the first time in nearly two decades, Egypt and Turkey are holding joint air force drills with F-16 Fighting Falcons from both countries taking part.
As I’ve said before, defense ties between Cairo and Ankara are advancing far faster than most expected.
18 Sep 2025
Turkey and Egypt will hold the LARGEST naval & air drills in Eastern Mediterranean next week, their first in 13 years.
As Saudi Arabia seals a strategic defense pact with Pakistan, Cairo and Ankara deepen cooperation, laying the groundwork for Egypt-Turkey regional alliance.
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