Apologies for the rambling reply to my own post, but I had to write this all down to organise my own thoughts. In my experience, the only people who defend this system are the people who benefit from it (the foreign scabs) or the natives who benefit or who aren't yet affected. The intragroup peer network is largely the political, media, and public sector worker class, where, for example, are almost impossible to join without having gone through the brainwashing cartel that is modern higher education. Those without college education, as a raw cohort, certainly have worse life outcomes, lower income, higher disease burdens, higher crime rates. Many of them live in situations explicitly exacerbated by mass migration. Remember when it was an economic and inflationary disaster waiting to happen when lorry driver wages were spiking due to labour shortages after Brexit? In January 2021 in Britain, Median wages got HGV drivers spiked from £30,000 to £36,000, and the Treasury was so panicked about how inflationary this would ultimately be that they allowed 1.1million Boriswavers enter the country in the next 9 months. Did anyone ask the lorry drivers if they thought the wage increase was an economic disaster? Why is it a disaster when market forces raise the wage of HGV drivers from 50% to 60% that of train tram drivers? Apparently it will be another economic crisis when AI makes many forms of specialised information work cheaper, or even free. Not if you're the person that BUYS that specialised information work. A scarce resource just became abundant, so the people who used to do that are freed up to do something else. There's a sort of one-way looking glass force at play here, where it's treated at some unassailable, objectively and permanently concluded fact that some contentious issue in law or culture is allowed to remain the norm despite numerous, profound disadvantages of the system and poisonous second-order effects, whilst others are fair game to have the entire resources of the state thrown at them to avoid a comparatively unknown or minor cost to some new proposed Way of Doing Things. It was beyond the Pale to talk about anti-white racism in British institutions before the Nowak trial. You could do it but you were instantly marked off as some swivel-eyed lunatic or despicable boorish thicko with a broad accent and a penchant for flags. No more. Mass migration is next. It is an economic choice that too many people have too perverse a moral hazard to even be worth listening to. Fully half of mainstream discourse on migration and the economy or housing or the health service is an infohazards. Ideas so alien or inverting that it's almost not worth the risk learning what they are because they can be so seductive to anyone not versed in the Dark Arts. These ideas, these words which have no meaning to them, but are merely objects of Power, spells to control those that they would use instrumentally. Elon buying X can't be understated in its important on the long enough timeline. It's got advantages (and drawbacks) compared to every other Palantír. Ride the wave.

By this logic, the USA is a counterfactual of how wealthy Britain would be if it had never been a member of the EU.

There's discussion at the moment of how transparency has eroded in Scotland over recent years. Long 🧵on something I want to add. Anonymity for civil servants signing letters. It’s a backward step. I see why it’s happening. How it’s happening, however, is a different issue./

Even in the memes they draw of themselves, the black guys are cutting open the heads of white people

When I was younger I thought older people were racist because they came from a less enlightened period. Now I understand it's simply a matter of life experience.

Starmer is just the disposable heat shield of something larger behind him that never goes away no matter who you vote for.

The hour is late

Six months after this was posted we’ve seen today a few half-assed, reluctant, milquetoast murmurings of lukewarm regret about Dundee girl. It’s infuriating but not worth the effort. Just take note of who these people are and never pay them heed ever again on anything. Their opinions are ill-judged gross biased crap. Their role in the infosphere is Wormtoungish deflection, obfuscation, and demoralisation.

Chinese solar installations have collapsed

x.com/seanbamforth/status/19… Well well well Time to update your priors about the authorities and to put a bit more faith in people's guts.

x.com/Aidan_csc/status/19601… @Aidan_csc @PostFromProtest you can apologise whenever you feel like it

Since 3rd worlders have come flooding into my kids schools, one of my kids has caught a viral skin condition that is prevalent in Africa and almost unheard of in the UK. There is no “cure” for it and it can take up to 3 years for his body to clear it up. He is 6 years old.

Last year a Scottish girl was filmed defending herself from a hostile man. The police insisted this was "misinformation", and charged the girl. A Bulgarian man has now been found guilty of assaulting a 12 year old, with the judge finding he made "sexual remarks"

bbc.com/news/articles/cx2d83… How the turn tables

Dog might have torn her cruciate ligament. She abruptly stopped playing in the garden and came inside, doesn't want to put weight on one of her hind legs. Please dear God let this just be a sprained ankle.

Liberals could probably keep the right out of power across the West for a generation if they just gave up on replacement migration. The fact that they won’t indicates that this is their biggest priority, their reason for being.

Fraser once thought that being honest about mass migration meant admitting that it would be as high as 190,000 per year. Now he's using that kind of figure to indicate that it's over. Somewhere along the line, he must have lost his attachment to honesty. spectator.com/article/camero…

I don’t think that academics should do ‘hot takes’ on matters of the day. Their opinions are rarely better informed than anyone else’s and cloaking them in scholarly garb cheapens the principle of objectivity. With respect to what is occurring in Britain today, in my opinion a fundamental error right now is to let the churn of the daily ‘news’ cycle drive your analysis. The legacy media, the government, and the police have all forfeited any claim to credibility; they lie routinely, by omission and commission, and they are actively shaping the narrative to protect a failing political order. Strong-arming victims’ families, suppressing footage, and spinning every incident as isolated ‘far-right thuggery’ or random criminality is not journalism or policing, let alone governing—it is damage limitation for a system that has lost control of the streets and the story. Instead, fix your gaze on the structural factors. Demography, geography, economics, and the hollowing-out of institutional legitimacy matter far more than whatever grainy mobile-phone clip is being waved at us this week. Britain has imported, at scale and with minimal integration, populations whose cultural distance from the native majority is large and, in important respects, growing rather than shrinking. Parallel societies, concentrated in particular towns and cities, now possess the critical mass to sustain sustained low-level conflict and, when conditions align, more organised violence. The state’s monopoly on force is visibly fraying; its willingness to use what remains of that monopoly is selective and therefore delegitimising. Trust in the police, courts, and political class is in the basement and still falling. Economic stagnation and housing pressure sharpen every grievance. These are not transient conditions; they are the terrain on which coming events will play out. On the Belfast attacks specifically: the operators are clearly more security-conscious than has been the case with the migrant hotel and other protests over the last couple of years—masked, disciplined about visuals, limiting the evidential trail. Some attribute this to institutional memory of the Troubles. That may be part of it. But I suspect the more immediate and probable vector is simple tactical diffusion from the modern Left and anarchist playbook. Black Bloc methods, the utility of anonymity, the selective application of violence, the media choreography—these have been field-tested and refined for years in Europe and North America. The manuals are not secret and the examples are legion: Marighella’s Minimanual of the Urban Guerrilla, the writings of the Red Army Faction, Alinsky’s organising principles stripped of the moralising, the operational literature of the Global Justice movement and Antifa networks. Remove the Marxist dialectical claptrap and you are left with cold, competent observations about how small, determined groups can punch above their weight against a larger but slower and more constrained opponent. Diffusion of those techniques was inevitable once the incentives aligned. You don't need an aged ex-IRA uncle to tell you how to do these things. The internet and a library card will do it. I am wary of firm day-to-day pronouncements precisely because reliable, on-the-ground reporting is so thin. I am not in Belfast, the journalistic desert in this country is real, nearly every dead-tree media and teevee pundit is a literal know nothing. What I will say with higher confidence on account of my reading of such conflicts elsewhere in the world is that certain escalatory dynamics are now highly probable: Police over-reaction that produces a martyr or martyrs, further radicalising elements on all sides. Targeted assassination of a judge, prominent politician, or influential voice. A spectacular, Christchurch-style mass killing when some individual or cell concludes that only dramatic, indiscriminate violence will break the equilibrium. Stabbings and gang rapes will continue at their grim baseline; they are already normalised enough that they barely shift the political dial. The deeper pattern is polarisation, erosion of restraint, and the slow emergence of organised ethnic and ideological blocs willing to use force to defend or advance their interests. All of that is in accordance with the rules of the game of identity politics, which were created by the *very same* people now most frantic about the perilous consequences of their own ideology. The centre is not holding because it has spent years delegitimising itself and disarming its natural supporters. Watch the structural trends—demographic momentum, institutional decay, the diffusion of effective small-group tactics, the collapse of shared reality—more than the latest headline. The news will keep lying. The underlying physics of the situation will not.

Coined by the great Timur Kuran @timurkuran almost 40 years ago.