Joined September 2021
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It was assumed that the US was in a structural change with it's privilege of global attraction to the USD however when we look at history these eras are never permanent. Historical events show even though money can be printed and financial markets can be controlled what cannot be
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What is so perplexing is you're going to look at @JoeRaia5's career arc, having literally done this same build and grow contracts journey before, take all the credibility and legal risk to go along with distorting market dynamics now rather than any time over the last 6 years especially when the cold start was a serious concern? And not cash out? Part of me thinks this was a serious inquiry they sent to CME/ICE - "hey we think abaxx is not being truthful on the plumbing behind building their exchange operations, can you tell us exactly how you build and put things together behind the scenes? You know share like proprietary industry secrets and key technical details that generate massive amounts of revenue so our small newsletter can call them out?"
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riskFULL ☣️ retweeted
Jun 12
As mention in May, I have no dog in the fight. Abaxx $ABXX.to is not my thing, I've never owned or shorted it. But I'll tell you one thing for certain, Josh Crumb is making @viceroyresearch look stupid today. If this were a boxing match the ref would have waved it off by now.
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Where there is smoke.. Timing with corporate event: Abaxx had just promoted strong growth (record May 2026 volumes, LNG activity) via press release on June 1. Viceroy’s bearish report landed 10 days later, challenging the bullish narrative. Classic activist short tactic to generate scrutiny/downward pressure. Evidence of coordination or alignment? Viceroy & Anson Funds (Admitted Research Discussions) In December 2024, amid a Bloomberg article by Tom Schoenberg on short sellers’ “secret talks and alliances” in a court battle, Viceroy publicly responded: “In our ‘secret talks’ with Tom ahead of his article, we asked him what stocks exactly we were ‘accused’ of discussing with other financial professionals. We have no idea what ideas we discussed with Anson. Tom could not provide an answer either.” Viceroy (via founder Fraser Perring) later clarified they have never had a 'financial relationship' with Anson Funds but “have discussed a few items on our published research” with them. This was in the context of broader allegations of short-seller coordination. A 2022 DOJ probe also scrutinized multiple short sellers and allies, including Viceroy and Anson Funds, for potential abuses. This shows some level of information-sharing/coordination on research topics between Viceroy and Anson, even if limited and denied as improper or financial. Viceroy/Myles (Public Amplification Rapid Alignment) Myles engaged almost immediately after the report (in a thread on June 11, 2026): He referenced “the findings,” with his own 30minute Claude session noted a “long track record of involvement in questionable projects,” went short a small (0.1%) position, and recommended caution for holders. Myles denied formal ties, stating only “respect for their work” and that his effort was casual (half an hour reviewing old companies after seeing the report) yet timing was sus. 3. Links to (redacted) They fit the same fintwit amplification network and was confirmed to have sent 6 individual DMs references to the research to shareholders with associated FUD: also linked to Myles. Viceroy (team incl. Gabe) initiated the Abaxx attack with a detailed bearish report timed after the company’s positive volume announcement, causing an immediate 13.8% drop. Myles provided rapid public amplification via his own analysis and short position. Viceroy has admitted limited research discussions with Anson Funds (Dec 2024 context). This forms a chain of alignment around negative corporate commentary which has drawn DOJ/FCA scrutiny for potential collusion or market manipulation in the past. Viceroy’s own posts acknowledge the perception of “secret talks.
Anatomy of a 🩳 short and distort “conspiracy” (fact, not theory): Step one: price goes up Step two: short sellers short without thinking too much, CEO is on Twitter and it “must be a retail promote”..hedge fund admittedly doesn’t know what a clearinghouse or a verifiable credential is Step three: ~half of all volume for better parts of full months is short selling and bid whacking, stuffing PR opens and failing to deliver etc, but price doesn’t go down much, so they solicit Canadian bank sales desks and the HF street in a flimsy “idea” to join the short, focusing a lot of the pitch on personally attacking the CEO (‘cause again, they don’t actually understand anything about the business). Step four: CEO calls out the “short selling conspiracy” early, often, warning shareholders of unnatural volatility—I take a lot of flak for it (morons keep saying I’m “blaming short sellers for his stock price”…nope, that’s part of their information game, to make the CEO sound like a conspiracy theorist looking for a boogieman, when if you read the actual damn tweets I’m just calling it [correctly] how I see as it’s paying out and warning shareholders) Step five: [criminal?] hedge fund solicits a lap dog for the dirty work of actually publishing a “hit piece” (I think multiple, but one finally takes the bone) Step six: the “reverse newsletter pump and dump” starts, ‘short and distort insiders’ who know it’s coming start popping up in social media and chat boards, can’t help themselves but to front run the report (either their ego needs to be seen in social media so they leak their information, or they start a position, or both). Step seven. CEO plants some information into the swamp just to make sure (lap dog eats it up). Step eight. The idiot conspiracy is finally revealed, even less professional, more slop and full of ad hominem geared to “retail” than expected…some Morgan Stanley client who has been shorting consistently for a month is immediately on the cover bid (but instead of calling it a reverse pump and dump, let’s use Andrew Left’s words, a “risk managment” cover at market open after the report 😂) ..some step down the line, rats all turn on each-other when the failed reverse pump and dump (short and distort) ends up in court, someone else goes to jail hopefully (don’t worry Mr. S, I’m keeping a personal piggy bank set aside on this one to help that happen)
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Lol that's your call to credibility? A hit squad in the poorest sense. Lmao
If @JoshCrumb spent more time disclosing material info such as when @Cboe had exited the building the many of other issues, he'd have our respect. He's now classified as a stock promoter, pure & simple. Tomorrow $ABXX.TO have some harder questions! #Done @viceroyresearch
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@Bprivateers69 do I confirm rules of engagement with @JoshCrumb or make contact?
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It's that window where a lot of money can be made.
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riskFULL ☣️ retweeted
$WGS Update: Bullish fireside chat at Goldman today, and the founder, director, and hedge fund manager purchased additional shares, paying as much as $56.50 per share. Per today’s filing, Eli Casdin bought another 200,000 shares of $WGS at prices ranging from $52.80 to $56.50 per share. Just in case you’re wondering if you’re too late to the party, apparently the smart money is still a happy buyer at $56.5. After the recent buying spree, Casdin and Meister now control approximately 35% of GeneDx, the company they helped bring public through a SPAC and a company that no one knows better than they do. The market’s problem with GeneDx is not growth. The company is still growing roughly 37% per year. The problem is reimbursement. Today, a whole genome test is reimbursed at roughly half the rate of a whole exome test. Think of it this way. A whole exome test is like watching the trailer for a movie. A whole genome test is like watching the entire movie. Yet today, the healthcare system pays more for the trailer than it does for the full movie. I don’t think that makes sense, and I don’t think it will stay that way forever. And obviously management and the smart money think the same. The reason is simple. Reimbursement systems move slowly. New technologies often become clinically useful long before insurance companies and government payors update their payment schedules. I also just got off the GeneDx Fireside Chat at Goldman. This is obvious: temporary problems, strong growth, an AI beneficiary, and a dataset built over 20 years that would take enormous amounts of time and capital to replicate. Long-term winner. To me, it’s as clear as day and night. Listen to it yourself. ir.genedx.com/news-events/ev… Management says this issue will take months to fix, not years. My thesis is not that GeneDx goes back to its pre-Q1 valuation of $70 once reimbursement improves. My thesis is that by the time reimbursement improves, which according to management and involved hedge funds is a question of when, not if, GeneDx will be a fundamentally different company: larger, stronger, and far more valuable than it is today. I think the average analyst 12 month price target of $90 is conservative. The company is currently growing roughly 37% per year. If that growth continues, revenue, adoption, and earnings power will be substantially higher by the time the reimbursement issue is resolved.
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*marked safe on $clpt move
I have winners and then I do things like sell $janx for $clpt on Tuesday. $regn was the icing on the cake.
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Most of my current short term trades are long bottom section of this. My view is based on certain market dynamics during the summer period this trend will extend. Obviously before the admin blows it up.
Algos gone wild today in quant / factor land Foreboding?
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ATB should have introduced previous desks that participated on deals in the past. It's a right of passage to trade below the deal price for the 5 months post close with $abxxf! Where's Jody, he should have been required meet and greet beforehand 😂
Interesting to close sub $54… something not adding up
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riskFULL ☣️ retweeted
Another reminder of the futility of backwards looking financial analysis. NTM EPS will roughly approximate the share price just two year ago.
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Now do $pct mike 🥺
In 4Q we talked about T1 energy $TE as a 5x return at $3.00 on ⁦@Hedgeye⁩ with ⁦@KeithMcCullough⁩. Many steps along the way have been accomplished. Kudos to them (and us!)!
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Over/under on Currie breaking 10 sitting director positions before year end?
Delighted to be Non-Executive Director and Co-Founder with Ivan Murphy (@eyemurph) of 1947 Oil & Gas PLC (@1947plc). A REAL US OIL PRODUCER!
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Quite literally the plot Jurassic World Dominion was based on.
BREAKING: Google is planning to release 32 million mosquitoes across Florida and California. The company has asked the EPA for permission to proceed, with the public given until June 5 to respond. The mosquitoes are infected with Wolbachia bacteria, which stops them from reproducing and slowly collapses the wild population from within. Google's previous Debug Project trial in California's Central Valley nearly eliminated mosquitoes from three test sites entirely. A separate trial in Singapore cut dengue cases by 70% within 12 months. Google has now released over 1 billion mosquitoes across four continents. This new proposal is the largest deployment in US history.
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POV you enter the private security contracting negotiation
someone call Dan Brown
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$WY TerraForge turning low-grade Southern pine/sawdust into biocarbon for a direct drop-in replacement for met coal in steel making is one path to adding >$1.5B in future earnings. Leveraging their existing timberlands/mills with minimal opex and zero capex needed for end users. First plant online in 2027.
Don't want to make a super detailed explanation now but I believe as far as well capitalized land controllers with above average liquidity, $wy will have superior levers to pull outside of where lumber pricing/demand moves(strong LT view) to create substantial value from here.
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Idk.. This is fucking hot. This does for me whatever the fuck bravo does for my wife.
$ORR David Orr's realized return by AUM bucket. $86M: 40.8%/yr. $165M: 44.5%/yr. $449M: 5.05%/yr. He scaled to a $476M peak in Feb selling to retail RIAs at 10.91% gross expense ratio. The ‘edge’ didn’t survive scale. Public data below:
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This was historical accurate representation of Buffett early DD process. Literally getting a job to scope the investment.
Forgot there's a cameo of Warren Buffett interviewing for the manager role in The Office Legend
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I think he is also a director or $borr and has be vocal about it but I love a good narrative. Maybe we can make a market for what he sells first.. might help the PnL too!!
Replying to @cap_zay
Pretty sure he joined twtr just to pump his shady stock so…checks out
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